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SEDG is one I am watching. Currently I am waiting for entry signals to present themselves. Could be any day now.
The chart set-up looks a bit similar to me to the SNOW set-up you identified early. GLTY
Well played. I had forgotten your post. I put together a chart just now and liked it so much I just bought in myself. TY
I would expect the 200ma to be resistance, and a bounce back from it as occurred in mid May. This would be a place to take profits, then watch for a new entry to present itself. GLTY
Have a safe holiday tomorrow !
My comment back on June 16th.
As I showed Fri, SNOW has pulled back -46% from its high on 2/14, so that is one stock I am really looking for an entry. Both M65 and M12 are heavy into MD (mark down), so I like that a lot. Notice that SNOW had a very clear 3w down setup, but only gave one day to react before the bottom fell out. Will we see more of this kind of action, could.
As I also said Friday, trading SNOW would be swing trading at its best.
With the market as strong as it is, it is hard to find buys, but I keep watching.
Japan is a canary-in-a-coal-mine. Their predicament seems to be snowballing to a resolution that will cause $USD to move up.
Another Jenga piece removed from the tower...
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/will-japan-dump-u-s-treasury-securities/
Japan is in a trap. They can protect interest rates or the yen, but not both.
Here is an idea that may simplify your analysis process.
Using Stockcharts, two equities can be compared to each other. I created a chart that contains only the 12pmo and the 34pmo, and using this, compared two of the five you are studying.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=BIL%3AFLOT&p=D&yr=0&mn=0&dy=10&id=p64886580564
I added 'price labels' to the green 12pmo to mark 'relative' tops and bottoms.
You can then set up a list of all the possible pairing combinations and scroll through them once or twice a month to identify trends.
I took this a step further and placed them into a PowerPoint matrix format to make this comparison even simpler.
Unfortunately, StockCharts does not have any money market funds available to chart. Any ticker with the last two alpha characters being xx is not available on StockCharts. :(
GLTY
First of all I mistook your CY to mean current year, not current yield.
Now I understand what you are doing, but you are leaving out part of the actual gain of the etf not having to do with dividends. When they pay the interest they don't bring the price of the etf back to what it was 1 month ago, so there is gain or loss there also.
Not taking into account the dividends, the absolute price (without dividends) of the eft has risen from 50.64 from 12/29 to 50.865 yday. That is a .44% rise that needs to be accounted for. The yield from dividends would be on top of this.
It is just like calculating the gain for a stock that pays dividend. The dividend is only part of the gain. The difference is that for stocks, the dividend is a small part of the overall gain whereas for a MM etf the dividend is the biggest part, but not all.
I would think that the yield you calculated for Jul1 dividend would be over stating the actual yield for Jun, because they over paid the dividend and brought the price of the eft down from what it was when the dividend was paid a month earlier. This is a real loss for your account.
Weekly timeframe charts give a wider perspective. A daily time frame fits my trading style well.
The daily IWM chart continues to show the price action trendless and clustering around the 50 yard line. The 50ma. The chart is now showing the Bollinger bands are turning inward and tightening. Another trendless indicator. The 9ma and the 20ma are tight to the 50ma, and the 12pmo and 34pmo are tight to the 0.0 line too. No reason to leave the sidelines yet. Sit out and watch/wait for a trend to develop. GLTY
I find this a very interesting pattern. Looks like a pretty solid floor. Only real concern is that BP% took a hit today.
For the first time this year the monthly APR for FLOT and TFLO have fallen below SGOV.
However, the graph below is what I am watching for FLOT. The blue line is a 30day moving APR and the orange an 8-day MA. I drew a red trend line on the graph, and I think that tells the story. The trend is down, and I have now real reason to believe it is going to make a major move back up. With SGOV and FLOT running about the same, even if FLOT went back up and I wanted to get back in, the lost interest would be small compared to the extra that I gained.
So next week I will start moving my FLOT holdings over to SGOV.
Note: The spikes and dips of the 30 days moving APR is because I really don't have a way to get the actual 30 day data since the market is not open on the weekends. I picked the number of data points to include that gave me the best avg of 30 days. The actual 30 day period can range from 29 days (dips) to 33 days (peaks). But the trend in clear.
While I do follow macro news such as this, I don't trade based on it. I trade what the chart tells me.
Todays IWM chart below has not changed from previous post, and is telling me to stay away. GLTY
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AI
