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I just discovered UVIX and SVIX...entering at the right time shorting UVIX and holding for years seams like a good strategy...how is this possible??? Looks like UVIX might go up for a week or 2 then go back down...
New headline
Why Next Week's CPI Number Will Be A Big Miss
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/one-bank-reveals-why-next-weeks-cpi-number-will-be-big-miss
If this happens, I would think this would be very positive for the market. Rate cuts would be back on the table.
well one more day till platform merge >
fingers crossed for a non event over the weekend >
everything is set up so we see what happens
also weekly reports on Thursday released 1030AM may affect #natgas prices ... looks those who have privvy info get news @ 10 and the prices show at that time...today's report was bullish...
https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/weekly/
This would be funny if it wasn't so spot on...
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/QIcJaNUt9xY
it's not just 1 link...Freeport Lng is not responding to inquiries so peeps are using other services to monitor feed NG flow...lotsa info on the X site using key terms such as #natgas and #freeportlng and this site tracks vessels coming and going into Freeport https://www.vesselfinder.com/?imo=9945435 ...I'm still learning about what moves prices but I've learned more on twi tt er than anywhere else...
That sound like a good routine. I probable watch the markets too much when I am just around. But several days I am gone. I have no issue trading EOD until 8pm.
Also, I have taken another cue from you and simplified my daily swing trading routine.
I now typically check the charts 30 to 60 min after the market open to get a feeling for the day, then mostly stay away until 60 to 30 min before the market close to make decisions and enter trades.
Seems to be working for me. GLTY
We are aligned. I am watching and waiting for a strong move one way of the other. Conviction of some kind. Until then, I wait/watch. GLTY
I am waiting/watching for the EMA10 to cross above the EMA20.
...and for each of the Big Three, waiting/watching for a M65 green histogram bar to appear.
BTW, I am still holding onto a small BOIL position. I am staying close to the exit door though. If/when M3 heads towards 0.0, and CCI30 goes below 100, I will exit.
I like what I see on my QQQ trend chart. After what looks like a good 3 wave count down, we are now in wave 3 of an up count. Wave 3 got off to a good start on Fri when it gapped at the open. M65 line has flatten from the previous drop and M12 has crossed zero which is a very strong signal normally. For sure this chart is telling me not to worry. Having said that, I am not complacent, but vigilant.
Maybe this headline will keep this pullback short and shallow.
Goldman: "Our Buyback Desk Is Very Active Again" With $5.5 Billion On Deck Every Day This Month"
SPX etc: there is a cycle analyst on X (David F) with excellent timing comments on multiple markets. Today he advocates(?) a short in most markets with rationale that the longer term cycles of approx 35weeks is rolling over. , towards a low in July, and the 36day cycle is/has topped. With longer term and shorter term cycles topping together, this is classic timing for a short.
Can you provide a link?
It's too bad the author didn't mention #freeportlng as being the real reason NG has been going up...the export facility is now operational...we just don't know how reliable the operation is...
Wow, you played that right today. Grats!
I coulda made alot more $$$ but I was happy to sell my $BOIL calls friday and didn't want to think of losing that $$$ back today since #natgas has wild swings...This came out this morning and there is a Vessel docked at Freeport...there are more ships waiting to get in...https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-natgas-flows-freeport-lng-125755329.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
nice Bird in Hand
Exited BOIL AH for a gain of 12.1%
I am only playing short term swings.
LIVE.....every body can see..NOT HIDING CHARTS NOT POSTING DID charts ..RE-POST...$BOIL 30.....Daily...trend today HH 2D.HH...look like change...OPINION....
30..ADX
https://schrts.co/rRXgEHwn
Daily...today trend HH..
https://schrts.co/ucmbjjbM .
U r right I didn't have enough time to read about what happened back then...I lived through it and Vegas grew leaps and bounds until 2009...Covid, and China is to blame, screwed the world over and it's taking awhile to recover...
Exactly. My understanding is this particular 'leader' is responsible for Bidenomics.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live/2023/07/18/jared-bernstein-us-economy-bidenomics/
I watched the short clip. Sadly this is the type of people leading us.
good review of that era >
kind of a longish read but all the points are in there of time lines 80's / 90's >
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/a-surplus-if-we-can-keep-it-how-the-federal-budget-surplus-happened/
Reich bio >
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Reich#:~:text=During%20his%20tenure%2C%20he%20implemented,increase%20the%20national%20minimum%20wage.
I don't understand what was wrong with the 90's rate of growth and why was it so bad??? I remember we had a surplus...very first time in my life...the Gingritch stole Christmas...ADA became very helpful for American workers...I moved to Vegas in 91 and saw a lot of growth since then...how did Reich affect what happened in '09 ???
This sums the mess we are in well. This is what the Jenga tower is made from.
Yep > I recall the Reich days > sadly
If not for him doing that "interview" I would not have posted that vid.
More validity to the cesspool of DC
So Robert Reich was his former boss and mentor. That fits.
I said in my previous post Jared Bernstein is one of the Bidenomics puppet masters. Correction, he is the Head Puppet Master. Even worse!
I am convinced the upcoming recession will be worse than the housing crash of 2007/2008. Much worse actually. Keep cash ready for the next Big Short.
No dancing allowed though. GLTY
Confirmed > no words can explain this >
I am angry. I am walking around the house this morning fuming. I cant believe this is real.
At first I thought it was a parody, a Saturday Night Live skit or similar. Nope.
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/watch-bidens-head-economic-advisors-try-explain-government-borrowing
Jared Bernstein is one of the Bidenomics puppet masters...
https://www.cnn.com/videos/tv/2023/08/16/amanpour-golodryga-bernstein-bidenomics.cnn
I was working from home yesterday and had CNBC on in the back ground. I was struck by all the talking heads praising J Powell/J Yellen and trying to blow sunshine up each others skirts. Reminded me of Ponzi scheme characters.
So much effort applied to put lipstick on this pig of a market and keep it from a big fall before the election.
wasn't that fun >
"Gap Ratz" delight, AAPL in AH and RPTs in premarket > perfect mix
$SVXY....daily ..trend HH...with GAP under w7up 5/03/2024......
RSI14 ... 60.69 at print > above 70....?
...https://schrts.co/EJvYhpkx
SVXY
UVXY..
08:30 In uvxy 350 @ 30.35 >
Vol got destroyed > see what happens
Good trade!...you hit your target, now just wait for the next one. Im looking for a set up on KOLD.
just closed out my $BOIL options @ 1.20 ... it may go higher but I am really happy with this trade...BOIL was around 14.57 and climbing...#natgas was around 2.41...A new ship just entered the #freeport that's why the run up prolly but the ship is LPG designated...
$BOIL 30.....Daily...trend today HH...look like change...OPINION....
30..
https://schrts.co/wpMMSjPF
Daily...today trend HH..
https://schrts.co/ucmbjjbM
yep, that would be the 6th trading day. not sure how quickly the "Proshares" site updates the holdings, supposed to be daily but we will see.
They updated from May to July last month so this will be a test to see if they roll to Aug....Or next month in June roll to Sep.
The decision to roll over 2 months out might not be a set rule, but an attempt to smooth out the decay. The cantango seems to be easing up.
There is not even 2c difference between Aug and Sep contracts.
Dont underestimate KOLD. I am up with KOLD +34% and lost a little with BOIL -8% this year. My daily chart is not working right now, since we are more or less in a tight channel. So Im looking at 15,30,60min TFs.
If you got something that works...stay with it.
I used to scan the public charts pretty often looking for ideas. One of the two guys I really liked had it on his charts as MACD 80,90,10. I used that for a while as I was first getting started, but thought it was too slow. I tried several combinations, but settled on M65,90,10.
The M65 indicator you use, and I have adopted, I am finding it more and more useful for the swing trading time frames I like.
I have never seen such a very long duration MACD used before. Where did this come from? What was your inspiration for its creation?
Just curious.
next Wednesday $BOIL an $KOLD begin their rollover to a future month of #natgas...
Yep 2011 / 2012 >
good reads
04 / 2011
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=61854998&txt2find=beta%20team
12 / 2011
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=70103909&txt2find=beta%20team
https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=70051705&txt2find=beta%20team
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