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curlews

07/24/12 11:38 PM

#11756 RE: Bobwins #11755

NVS,v/novuf - Bobwins, I do still like Novus a lot. I have sold some of my energy stocks, but have held onto all of this one. It was in a long downturn like most small Canadian oil stocks, but it broke out of that downtrend a couple of weeks ago, and is looking better now. And another point in its favor is the insider buying at the end of June, by the company and also by a director, Michael Halvorson (150k shares at .62).

http://www.canadianinsider.com/node/7?menu_tickersearch=nvs

jersey27fan

07/25/12 9:30 AM

#11757 RE: Bobwins #11755

Bob,
Bryan Mill Iradesso Report

Great resource, thanks much.

Andy

bunky

07/25/12 11:56 AM

#11758 RE: Bobwins #11755

annualized q4 c/f ???

Where did you get the 0.70 c/f from q4???

i thought their Q4 c/f was 0.06???

Thank you

CharlieB


p.s...they have guided for 0.33 c/f for 2012...do you feel 5x c/f is still fair valuation???

farwest

07/25/12 10:25 PM

#11763 RE: Bobwins #11755

Novus - they won't meet cash flow guidance as they are assuming $95 WTI. They continue to significantly outspend cashflow even assuming their generous energy prices. So debt will continue to rise. They already trade at full value on 2P NPV10 after tax basis, so current EV is one of the most generously valued in Canada - expecting much share appreciation is not realistic methinks.

While Novus has decent land package and outlook, they are not cheap - looks like it will take several years to get to self funding status - in the meantime, they are increasing debt. And with WTI looking to hover closer to $80 than $95, their production growth will slow as they tap out their credit facilities.

Novus is following the tired old game in Canadian juniors where they "grow" via debt in the hopes of finding a buyer before their debt load crushes them. Go look at high netback Arcan/SCS and see how that's worked out...

Bobwins

08/14/12 2:28 PM

#11881 RE: Bobwins #11755

NVS.v/NOVUF +.01 to C$.72 lower oil and ngas prices dropped netback a little but still excellent results due to increased production and 13/13 success in drilling. Added a big new acreage position of 46 net sections so Novus has 625 Viking locations + whatever they gained with the new acreage. Many, many years of drilling in the inventory. They are going to have to hustle to reach yearend goal of 4500boepd and .20 cashflow for Q4.





Novus Energy Inc. announces second quarter 2012 results and significant Viking acreage expansion
Not for distribution to U.S. news wire services or dissemination in the U.S.

CALGARY, Aug. 14, 2012 /CNW/ - Novus Energy Inc. ("Novus" or the "Company") (TSXV: NVS) announces that it has filed its unaudited condensed interim financial statements and management's discussion and analysis ("MD&A") as at and for the three and six months ended June 30, 2012. These may be accessed through the SEDAR website www.sedar.com and at the Company's website www.novusenergy.ca.

Novus is pleased to report that its 2012 Viking oil drilling program continues to progress on schedule. The Company has drilled, with 100% success, 34 Viking oil wells in the Dodsland area of Saskatchewan, with 26 completed thus far. Corporate production should exceed 3,300 boe/d within the next ten days as newly completed wells are placed on stream. Production will steadily increase through the balance of the year as additional wells are drilled and placed on stream.

In addition to the 124 net sections of Viking rights the Company holds in the Dodsland area of Saskatchewan, Novus has recently amassed 46 net sections of crown lands prospective for Viking oil in the Provost area of Alberta, on trend with the Company's existing Dodsland assets. The lands the Company has acquired are proximate to historical vertical Viking oil production and recent successful horizontal drilling activity on both sides of the Alberta/Saskatchewan border targeting Viking oil. Novus believes the assembled acreage meaningfully increases the Company's future drilling and development inventory. Drilling on these lands is planned for early 2013.

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

Production revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2012, increased 102% to $16.74 million from $8.29 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, production revenue increased 106% to $35.28 million from $17.16 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Funds flow from operations for the three months ended June 30, 2012, increased 192% to $8.58 million from $2.94 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, funds flow from operations increased 213% to $19.24 million from $6.15 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Net income for the three months ended June 30, 2012, was $1.09 million versus a loss of $760 thousand recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, net income was $3.93 million versus a loss of $2.09 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Net capital expenditures for the three months ended June 30, 2012, were $17.08 million versus $18.13 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, net capital expenditures were $35.21 million versus $30.38 million recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

At June 30, 2012, the Company had net debt of $48.29 million.

At June 30, 2012 the Company had estimated tax pools of $240.42 million.

Corporate operating netbacks for the three months ended June 30, 2012, increased 5% to $41.95/boe from $40.12/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, corporate operating netbacks increased 27% to $46.71/boe from $36.90/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Viking operating netbacks for the three months ended June 30, 2012, decreased 16% to $50.68/boe from $60.61/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, Viking operating netbacks decreased 12% to $56.54/boe from $64.49/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

A summary of financial results for the three and six month periods ended June 30, 2012, along with the comparative periods, are outlined in the following table:

Three months ended June 30 Six months ended June 30
2012 2011 % Change 2012 2011 % Change
Financial
(000s, except per share amounts)
Revenue 16,737 8,286 102 35,279 17,157 106
Funds flow from operations 8,583 2,938 192 19,243 6,146 213
per share - basic and diluted 0.04 0.02 100 0.10 0.04 150
Net income (loss) 1,090 (760) n/a 3,934 (2,092) n/a
per share - basic and diluted 0.01 - n/a 0.02 (0.01) n/a
Capital expenditures, net 17,076 18,130 (6) 35,210 30,382 16
Net debt 48,292 23,849 102 48,292 23,849 102

Weighted average shares outstanding
basic 190,985 170,018 12 184,058 169,138 9
diluted 192,893 170,018 13 188,846 169,138 12
OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

Average daily production for the three months ended June 30, 2012, increased 119% to 2,887 boe/d from 1,318 boe/d recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, average daily production increased 97% to 2,816 boe/d from 1,430 boe/d recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Average daily oil and liquids production for the three months ended June 30, 2012, increased 155% to 2,153 bbls/d from 844 bbls/d recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, average daily oil and liquids production increased 132% to 2,178 bbls/d from 940 bbls/d recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Average daily natural gas production for the three months ended June 30, 2012, increased 55% to 4,402 mcf/d from 2,841 mcf/d recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, average daily natural gas production increased 30% to 3,828 mcf/d from 2,940 mcf/d recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Above average precipitation during the second quarter hampered field activity for over a month. In spite of this, corporate production during the period increased to 2,887 boe/d, up 5% from 2,745 boe/d recorded in the first quarter of 2012.

During the second quarter of 2012, Novus drilled 13 wells (13.0 net), all of which were Viking horizontal oil wells in the greater Dodsland area. Eight wells (8.0 net) were completed by June 30, 2012. For the first half of 2012, Novus drilled 26 wells (26.0 net), all of which were Viking horizontal oil wells in the greater Dodsland area. Sixteen wells (16.0 net) were completed by June 30, 2012.

Corporate operating costs for the three months ended June 30, 2012, decreased 39% to $9.96/boe from $16.30/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, corporate operating costs decreased 38% to $10.79/boe from $17.32/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

Viking operating costs for the three months ended June 30, 2012, decreased 53% to $7.38/boe from $15.63/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011. For the six months ended June 30, 2012, Viking operating costs decreased 33% to $7.64/boe from $11.43/boe recorded in the comparative period of 2011.

A summary of operational results for the three and six month periods ended June 30, 2012, along with the comparative periods, are outlined in the following table:

Three months ended June 30 Six months ended June 30
Operational 2012 2011 % Change 2012 2011 % Change

Production
Oil & liquids (bbls/d) 2,153 844 155 2,178 940 132
Gas (mcf/d) 4,402 2,841 55 3,828 2,940 30
Oil equivalent (boe/d) 2,887 1,318 119 2,816 1,430 97

Sales price per unit
Oil & liquids ($/bbl) 81.19 94.36 (14) 85.10 88.38 (4)
Gas ($/mcf) 2.06 4.01 (49) 2.22 3.97 (44)
Oil equivalent ($/boe) 63.70 69.09 (8) 68.83 66.27 4
The full text of the June 30, 2012 condensed interim financial statements and associated MD&A can be found on the Company's website at www.novusenergy.ca and on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

Novus has completed the installation of the main infrastructure in the Flaxcombe area by adding 11,000 meters of emulsion lines that tie into the main transmission line feeding our facility. Thirty-six wells currently have gas conservation and are tied in, with new wells tied in as they are completed. Load water recovered is being handled by our company owned disposal facility. Produced water coming into the main facility is injected into a second well tied into the plant while sales gas flows to a sales line, making it an enclosed system.

Additionally, upgrades have been completed at our main facility. It is now fully enclosed and electrified with two treaters and treating capacity exceeding 13,000 bbls/d. The facility also has 11,000 bbls of storage.

All of these initiatives have enabled the Company to realize some of the lowest operating costs in the area, which will continue to decrease as we develop our sizeable inventory.

Corporate operating costs have continued to materially decrease, falling to $9.96/boe in the most recent quarter, a decline of 39% from $16.30/boe recorded in the second quarter of 2011. The Company's second quarter 2012 operating costs for its Viking production were $7.38/boe.

Based upon the stable production rates, high economic netbacks, significant recoverable reserves, and attractive drilling and completion costs in the Dodsland area the Company has experienced to date, Novus plans on maintaining an aggressive drilling program on its current acreage and will continue its efforts to further consolidate and expand its position within the area through acquisitions. With a strong technical team and continual evolution by industry and the Company in lowering costs and improving production in the Viking light oil play, Novus is once again poised to exhibit strong growth through the balance of the year.

VIKING ACREAGE EXPANSION

Novus has recently assembled 46 net sections of crown lands prospective for Viking light oil in the Provost area of Alberta. This new core area is a complementary extension to the Company's existing Dodsland assets and provides the Company with a significant opportunity base, on trend to its existing Viking oil assets. The lands the Company acquired are near existing vertical Viking oil production and recent successful horizontal drilling activity on both sides of the Alberta/Saskatchewan border targeting Viking oil. The Company believes that the expertise it has acquired in developing its Viking oil assets in Saskatchewan will be directly transferable to its new Alberta based acreage. Novus believes the assembled acreage meaningfully increases the Company's future drilling and development inventory. Drilling on these lands is planned for early 2013. The Company intends on releasing further details concerning the location of its acreage on its website (www.novusenergy.ca) in the latter part of August.

OUTLOOK

Novus continues to implement management's business strategy of creating per share growth in reserves, production and funds flow through acquiring, exploiting and drilling its core Dodsland Viking light oil play.

The Company has 625 net high quality risked Viking oil drilling locations on its 124 net sections of land in Dodsland based on an eight well per section drilling density. This already significant opportunity base does not reflect the ability to down space from eight to 16 wells per section or the future potential to water flood the reservoir. Novus believes that the development of the Viking resource is in its early stages and that there is further significant upside to recovery factors by applying secondary recovery methods. The 625 Viking locations do not include potential locations on the Company's recently acquired Alberta Viking lands.

Novus has existing credit facilities of $65 million and will have the limit reviewed again by October 1, 2012, once its third quarter capital program has been completed. The Company believes it is prudent to review its borrowing base in light of the significant level of capital activity thus far in 2012, and the increase in reserves and associated production.

Novus will continue to actively drill its existing land base and remain focused on expanding its presence within this large oil resource play. The Company's extensive Viking acreage position and the predictable and economic nature of its production will allow Novus to continue to drive production and funds flow growth through future development of this repeatable resource play.

Novus remains optimistic about its future prospects. The Company is opportunity driven and is confident that it can continue to grow its production base by building on its current large inventory of development prospects. Novus is in the midst of a significant level of development activity and is pleased with the progression of its drilling and completion operations to date. The Company expects to see material increases in its production levels in the second half of the year.

Bobwins

10/07/12 10:06 PM

#12191 RE: Bobwins #11755

NVS.v/NOVUF C$.91 nice move up from C$.69 when I made my original post on 7/24/12.


Looks like Novus is getting some attention. This is from David Pescod's daily email newsletter.

Schaefer in his latest letter suggests that Novus Energy is
one he hopes to take a look at shortly, but in just the last
few days, the lads at Canaccord’s Morning Coffee have written
an interesting piece on the company—a story that many
believe at some time will be a take-over story.
They write, “Shares of Novus Energy have been active of
late as rumours on the street swirl around the company being
a possible take-over candidate. Late last week the rumour
mill began churning faster as chatter indicated that
NVS had received two take-over offers, both of which were
rejected by the company. Canaccord Genuity Energy Analyst
Steve Toth has long commented that he feels Novus will
be bought by a bigger entity. In the next coming weeks, it is
expected that the company will announce news on its credit
facility. It is expected the credit facility will be increased by
$5-$10 million. Additionally the market is expecting an operational
update from the company given its activity over
the past few months and an updated corporate presentation
with a land map highlighting its newly acquired acreage in
the Provost Viking play. An increased credit facility should
be viewed positively by the street as the company will exit
the year with net debt of $68 million. Investors also believe
that 2013 street production estimates will gravitate higher
on the back of continued operational success. The street is
currently forecasting 2013 production of 4,277 boe/d versus
Toth’s estimate of 4,800 boe/d. As a gauge, Toth expects the
company to exit 2012 at approximately 4,200 boe/d.”
Bellatrix Exploration
Novus Energy