Excellent post and analysis. I agree that the transactions were most likely buys for all the reasons you mentioned. Also, if you look at the days on which the transactions took place, they were (mostly or) all green days which would make sense only if he was buying.
I hadn't thought about it being intention, but that makes sense as well. Not nice to screw shareholders around like that though, but the world isn't a nice place so nothing is shocking.
I'm still waiting to start buying again once the technicals improve, but I'm looking forward to the ensuing run once it does.