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uzualsuzpect

11/13/09 3:31 PM

#120253 RE: mordicai #120252

Well said Mordicai.

mrmrsfirstman

11/13/09 3:48 PM

#120257 RE: mordicai #120252

well put. i have been trying to convey that the last day or so, but you're forthright and eloquent post hit the nail on the head. if the objection to the fdic's motion is upheld that is tantamount to awarding wamu the 4 billion and a huge step toward admitting that wamu was grossly undervalued - we will have much to be thankful for come the 24th.

YEE

11/13/09 3:53 PM

#120260 RE: mordicai #120252

There have been arguements and legal proceedings to clarify what $ or assets belong to whoever parties - ONE simple thing I hope the Judges will look at : If the seizure of WamuBank was illegal = transfer to JPM was illegal too.

Conclusion is EVERYTHING has to be returned + PENALTY !! Simple enough ??

Jestiron

11/13/09 4:59 PM

#120287 RE: mordicai #120252

Thank you for your response Mordicai! I need to process the info in there a bit,..


Jestiron

11/13/09 5:02 PM

#120289 RE: mordicai #120252

Yes! This is the clarification I needed: "The argument about the savings bank not being in receivership is important, because the fdic has only statutory authority under paragraph 9.5 of the P and A over deposits sold through the receivership."

Awesome! Thanks Again Mordicai!

AJest

bluebird50

11/13/09 5:19 PM

#120293 RE: mordicai #120252

Thanks again Mordicai.....

JohnnyWinter

11/14/09 12:20 AM

#120325 RE: mordicai #120252

"In any event, it appears the savings bank was worth billions. So whether it was owned or not by the holding company, the holding company is still entitled to damages in the amount of the fair liquidated value of the savings bank. If owned by the seized bank, the bank bondholders get paid with remainder to the holding company. "

Thank you for saying that, and I agree 100%. Too many people fail to realize that if more is paid for the BANK, the BANK CREDITORS WILL GET PAID. I personally feel, however, that there is no way that the DC court will appraise the value of the bank at more than $15 billion, which would not benefit WMI as a shareholder of WMB.

"The argument about the savings bank not being in receivership is important, because the fdic has only statutory authority under paragraph 9.5 of the P and A over deposits sold through the receivership. 85% of the money in the summary judgment was in the name of the holding company at the savings bank...so the fdic has no power over it. Those deposits were outside the receivership. Neither does JPM."

imo, the $4 billion does nothing for the shareholders which is why I don't laugh when one can purchase shares at .121.

The NOLs and tax refunds are not a slam-dunk case for WMI, imo, and the tax-sharing agreement isn't as powerful as some people think. If the losses were generated by WMB, they will go to WMB.

"With the deposit and the tax refunds, commons are in the money !!!"

The #s don't support that statement. With the deposit and the tax refunds the preferreds could be considered in the money, but not the commons, and therefore, everything else is not gravy imo.



JohnnyWinter

11/14/09 3:05 AM

#120340 RE: mordicai #120252

mordicai What's your take on this ?

"24. The Debtors are currently insolvent. The Debtors' financial position subsequent
to the loss of their primary operating asset, WMB, is reflected on their schedules filed with this
Court which indicate $4.48 billion in assets and $7.83 billion in liabilities. This reality is further
bolstered by the presumption of insolvency afforded debtors pursuant to section 553 of the
Bankruptcy Code for the 90-day period immediately preceding the petition date See 11 U.S.c. §
553(c). It is the setoff applicant's burden to establish otherwise. In re Balducci Oil Co., 33 B.R.
847, 850 (Bankr. D. Colo. 1983). Although the Debtors have asserted claims to certain assets such as trust preferred securities and prospective tax refunds, both JPMC and the FDIC have
asserted claims against the Debtors for more than the total amount of such assets.
Further,
more than $100 billion in claims have been filed against the Debtors' estates in these chapter 11
cases. While a significant portion of these will not likely be allowed, they are further evidence
that the Debtors are currently insolvent and would be at the time of any exercise of Section 9.5.
Therefore, invocation of Section 9.5 would consist of a postpetition procurement of a debt of the
sort that section 553(a)(3) of the Bankruptcy Code prohibits from forming the basis for any
setoff."

Now I know where they are going with the section 9.5 argument, but the following item is what should be considered troubling to shareholders imo.

38. The further delay imposed on the Debtors threatens to derail the Debtors' chapter
11 cases. The $4 billion in Deposits are significant estate assets CRITICAL to the Debtors chapter 11
process. The recent amendments to the Bankruptcy Code impose a HARD DEADLINE of March 10,
2010 on the Debtors' exclusive period to file a chapter 11 plan. If the Debtors recover the
Deposits from JPMC, they will be well-positioned to file a plan in advance of their exclusivity
deadline. Without the Deposits, however, the Debtors will not be able to construct a viable plan
BENEFICIAL TO THEIR CREDITORS.
"


http://www.kccllc.net/documents/0812229/0812229091112000000000001.pdf


I understand that it is possible that additional value could be added to the estate in the form of refunds, nols, and other claims, but even with the deposits and the tax refunds, I just don't see the common shares staying alive.


Do I think IF WMI gets the money in "the deposit" that they are going to give it all to the creditors?

Of course I don't think they'll do that. I think they will issue new stock and pay their creditors in part cash and part new paper so they have some cash left to operate as a viable business. New stock means wamuq shares will be cancelled, and that my friend, is part of the beauty of chapter 11 reorganization from a company's perspective. Wipe out the shareholders, preserve as much cash as possible, pay off creditors, and start with a fresh, clean slate. Even if WMI gets its assets up to $11.3 billion and ends up with the same liabilities of $7.83 billion, that would be enough to cover preferreds and not commons, but imo, they could wipe out the preferreds too if they did it right.


I would love to hear your comments on these thoughts.

the_nose

11/14/09 9:24 AM

#120350 RE: mordicai #120252

Not sure I've seen this posted before - Sept 25, 2008 OCC approval letter of merger between JPMCB and WMB/FSB:
See footnote 8 where "certain procedural requirements of the BMA are inapplicable to any of the transactions..."

http://www.occ.treas.gov/ftp/release/2008-114a.pdf

jackie2wamoongleason

11/14/09 11:39 AM

#120358 RE: mordicai #120252

mor us longs and strongs also feel it.....KABOOOOM TO THE WAMOOOOON VERY SOOOOON

JohnnyWinter

11/15/09 12:27 AM

#120437 RE: mordicai #120252

"24. The Debtors are currently insolvent. The Debtors' financial position subsequent
to the loss of their primary operating asset, WMB, is reflected on their schedules filed with this
Court which indicate $4.48 billion in assets and $7.83 billion in liabilities. This reality is further
bolstered by the presumption of insolvency afforded debtors pursuant to section 553 of the
Bankruptcy Code for the 90-day period immediately preceding the petition date See 11 U.S.c. §
553(c). It is the setoff applicant's burden to establish otherwise. In re Balducci Oil Co., 33 B.R.
847, 850 (Bankr. D. Colo. 1983). Although the Debtors have asserted claims to certain assets such as trust preferred securities and prospective tax refunds, both JPMC and the FDIC have
asserted claims against the Debtors for more than the total amount of such assets
.

Further,
more than $100 billion in claims have been filed against the Debtors' estates in these chapter 11
cases. While a significant portion of these will not likely be allowed, they are further evidence
that the Debtors are currently insolvent and would be at the time of any exercise of Section 9.5.

Therefore, invocation of Section 9.5 would consist of a postpetition procurement of a debt of the
sort that section 553(a)(3) of the Bankruptcy Code prohibits from forming the basis for any
setoff."

Now I know where they are going with the section 9.5 argument, but the following item is what should be considered troubling to shareholders imo.

38. The further delay imposed on the Debtors threatens to derail the Debtors' chapter
11 cases. The $4 billion in Deposits are significant estate assets CRITICAL to the Debtors chapter 11
process. The recent amendments to the Bankruptcy Code impose a HARD DEADLINE of March 10,
2010
on the Debtors' exclusive period to file a chapter 11 plan. If the Debtors recover the
Deposits from JPMC, they will be well-positioned to file a plan in advance of their exclusivity
deadline. Without the Deposits, however, the Debtors will not be able to construct a viable plan
BENEFICIAL TO THEIR CREDITORS."


http://www.kccllc.net/documents/0812229/0812229091112000000000001.pdf


I understand that it is possible that additional value could be added to the estate in the form of refunds, nols, and other claims, but even with the deposits and the tax refunds, I just don't see the common shares staying alive.


Do I think IF WMI gets the money in "the deposit" that they are going to give it all to the creditors?

Of course I don't think they'll do that. I think they will issue new stock and pay their creditors in part cash and part new paper so they have some cash left to operate as a viable business. New stock means wamuq shares will be cancelled, and that my friend, is part of the beauty of chapter 11 reorganization from a company's perspective. Wipe out the shareholders, preserve as much cash as possible, make creditors whole, and start with a fresh, clean slate.

Even if WMI gets its assets up to $11.3 billion and ends up with the same liabilities of $7.83 billion, that wouldn't even be enough to "cover" preferreds and not commons, but imo, they could wipe out the preferreds too if they did it right.

(also, people might want to learn what the following really means):

"Assuming that the Conditional Exchange had been completed in accordance with the terms of the relevant
documentation, on a pro forma basis, WMI’s financial statements would reflect (a) a credit to shareholders’
equity of approximately $3.9 billion upon issuance of the new classes of preferred stock; (b) an investment in
subsidiary (i.e. WMB) of approximately $3.9 billion upon contribution of the Preferred Securities by WMI to
WMB; and (c) an immediate and corresponding write-down of such investment in subsidiary."

I would love to hear your comments on these thoughts.