Replies to post #3637 on A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board (AIMUSERS)

[jibes]

Hey Tom.

The rate of decline in risk slowed for this week's report primarily because of greater confusion by investors. This confusion will evaporate quickly, just like market Speculation did and give us a bullish signal in the next few weeks, I feel.

I'm with you on this. It seems to me that as it was over done on the upside a few years back it's now being overdone on the downside and unless some doomsday looms on the horizon things should be getting better soon.

As Aimers we love these excesses.


Jibes
AIM Re Bal at:
http://jibes0.tripod.com/trendseeker.html

[fuzzymath]

Tom, a turnover rate question: do you have an idea of about how long a typical stock is held using the AIM method? I know that you may have consecutive buys and consecutive sells as different price levels are reached. But, is the typical period between a buy signal and a sell signal a matter of months? weeks? quarters?

I'm wondering, because I have one market index model (Model #3) that switches signals much more slowly than my other models. And I'm wondering if this particular model might be useful as an indicator of when "AIMing" might have a greater likelihood of greater profitability.

We "know" that pretty much all stocks are correlated to some extent to market movements (their "beta" indicates this). I have very good models for outperforming the market indices long term, and ESPECIALLY during Bear Markets. If we had a model that outperforms market indices and outputs signals in a timing that could be synchronized with AIM timing, we might have an excellent way to make Bear Markets highly profitable, rather than simply minimizing our losses...


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[Toofuzzy]

RE:The AIM/IW Report is available at

http:/www.aim-users.com/3bbs.htm

Hi Tom You posted this at 3:30 pm and it is now 11:30 pm and your site still shows the last update from 6/24. Just thought I would let you know.

Looking foward to seeing the IDIOT WAVE go down some more. I will be glad when the market goes up again though, so we can all go back to complaining that AIM is having us hold too much cash and how we would have been better off if we just stayed fully invested. >>>GRIN<<<

toofuzzy

Take the road less traveled. It will make all the difference.