A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board

[fuzzymath]

Tom, a turnover rate question: do you have an idea of about how long a typical stock is held using the AIM method? I know that you may have consecutive buys and consecutive sells as different price levels are reached. But, is the typical period between a buy signal and a sell signal a matter of months? weeks? quarters?

I'm wondering, because I have one market index model (Model #3) that switches signals much more slowly than my other models. And I'm wondering if this particular model might be useful as an indicator of when "AIMing" might have a greater likelihood of greater profitability.

We "know" that pretty much all stocks are correlated to some extent to market movements (their "beta" indicates this). I have very good models for outperforming the market indices long term, and ESPECIALLY during Bear Markets. If we had a model that outperforms market indices and outputs signals in a timing that could be synchronized with AIM timing, we might have an excellent way to make Bear Markets highly profitable, rather than simply minimizing our losses...


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