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Dr Bala

09/24/20 12:24 PM

#310317 RE: OilPatch #310314

You are an expert at quod erat demonstrandum by reductio ad absurdum. Thanks.
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sukus

09/24/20 12:30 PM

#310318 RE: OilPatch #310314

Hint.. Hint..
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IkeEsq

09/24/20 12:42 PM

#310321 RE: OilPatch #310314

RE: OilPatch

I have mentioned this before but essentially I see four possibilities for the way NWBO acts, because they are acting very much as if they have a winner that is going to get approved and to my mind have been for some time.

1. They have a winner and it will get approved and they have enough data and experience to recognize this despite being blinded.

2. They are deluding themselves. They have spent the last decade-and-a-half working on something they convinced themselves is the cure and they are wrong. Now, like many of us, they are the victims of confirmation bias and they twist everything to the positive and discount all of the warning signs that they are mistaken.

3. They realize they are wrong but are hoping for the best, that at least one of the RAs will approve DC-Vax despite only marginal improvements in survival. Positive thinking creates positive results, right?

4. They know the test failed and they are trying to milk the stock for as much as possible.

Based on the data we have gotten over the years, I am inclined to believe that the answer is #1 but that is simply my opinion. I think that #4 is very unlikely based on my experience with pump-and-dump stock schemes. You don't put this kind of effort into a pump-and-dump, especially for this small a return.

The move up from high teens to mid-thirties a few months ago is what a pump-and-dump looks like. Someone touts the stock, gives projections and a slim rationale (short-killers) and they pour some money into the stock to get the price moving and their minions follow along like lemmings as the originator dump their shares at a profit. Self-fulfilling prophesy that the stock goes up. Usually this would be followed by a crash as the house-of-cards collapses.
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flipper44

09/24/20 12:45 PM

#310323 RE: OilPatch #310314

Personally, I would not use that as a primary confidence metric. For instance, Argos leased a huge building for manufacturing just before failure (and in Argos case, I believe they knew what was coming). Infrastructure readiness and expenditure can be a very helpful clue, but some companies in the past have, IMO, cynically used it to keep the investment doors open a while longer. With NWBO, I think their moves are sincerely based upon expectancies, but it is not a primary metric for confidence.
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exwannabe

09/24/20 1:14 PM

#310331 RE: OilPatch #310314

- Linda Powers make a presentation at the American Brain Tumor Association 2020 National Conference?


LP has been doing the talk circuit for 15 years,

- NWBO buy Flaskworks?


LP has been building CDMO capacity for 15 years.