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trocprofit

04/01/20 11:58 AM

#274516 RE: Doktornolittle #274514

Fauci also stated models are only as good as the assumptions made to calculate them. The 100-240k model assumes more spikes like NYC in other large metros. If mitigation is working as he hopes he feels the number can be much lower, probably closer to the 60k bad flu season. All depends on general public doing their part with distancing, IMO.

Dr Bala

04/01/20 11:59 AM

#274517 RE: Doktornolittle #274514

The number of deaths are supposed to peak in the next two weeks and then taper down. Let's hope the death toll won't be as bad as predicted.

flipper44

04/01/20 11:59 AM

#274518 RE: Doktornolittle #274514

The good news is that shelter at home is bringing new fever cases down. This should translate into less daily hospitalizations in a few days.

longfellow95

04/01/20 12:07 PM

#274519 RE: Doktornolittle #274514

Very regrettably, the US and UK refuse to learn lessons from Asian countries, particularly S Korea, where there is no lockdown but everyone wears a mask, testing is widespread and available to anyone, re-purposed drugs are used and deaths have dropped to a relatively small trickle.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-31/hospitals-tell-doctors-they-ll-be-fired-if-they-talk-to-press

learningcurve2020

04/01/20 2:32 PM

#274574 RE: Doktornolittle #274514

50,000 projected deaths from seasonal flu in 2018.