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Doktornolittle

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Doktornolittle

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Wednesday, 04/01/2020 11:49:20 AM

Wednesday, April 01, 2020 11:49:20 AM

Post# of 701093
Horrible New Numbers US CVirus: New Deaths yesterday (912) almost triple the low number seen 2 days ago (363) which had been a drop from the day before (525). That number turned out to be an outlier bringing false hope.

Daily new cases also took a discontinuous jump up yesterday.

Chart circulating the news (if true) puts need for extreme measures in perspective stating "model" says w/o intervention # deaths now believed would have been in range {1.5M-2.2M} while with this extreme intervention range is expected to be {100K --> 240K}. For scaling, US annual deaths from flu are in the range {12K-->61K}.

So w/o intervention that model says CVirus deaths could have been about 67 fold that of the flu while with intervention more like 5.7 x that of the flu.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
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