Replies to post #43610 on A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board (AIMUSERS)

[OldAIMGuy]

Hi Allen, Re: Sandbox Results vs backtested data..........

My settings are slightly different from Mr. Lichello's "AIM-High" but
not too much so. Yes, I'm using 10% Buy SAFE but only zero on the sell
side. My minimum trade value is 10% of Portfolio Control, so that might
give you a difference from my method, too.

My best buy was at $11.99 back at the end of October, 2018. It then
bounced upward for a short while only to retest that low at the end of
December, 2018. So, my LIFO turn on those last shares was over 38%,
about which I won't complain!

I've also been adding 5 points to Buy SAFE with each sequential buy. So,
SAFE had risen from 10% to 25% by the time the October buy took place.
Now that I've had a sale, it's been dialed back by 5 to 20%. I drop the
Buy SAFE with each sequential sale or 'vealie' until it gets back to my
10% starting point.

Order size in shares is 10% of holding on the Sell side and 12% on the
buy side as minimums. That works out closely to the 10% of Portfolio
Control value for minimum trades. When my cash reserve has swollen to be
near my current risk threshold, then if I get a Sell signal, I'll either
do a 'vealie' or just sell 5% so I don't over-shoot my cash target.

CY Trade History 
 Date                % of shares bot/sold      Price/Share 
 Start 8/28/2017           +100%                 $13.32 
 09/29/2017                - 10%                 $14.8106 
 11/06/2017                - 10%                 $16.45 
 03/07/2018                - 10%                 $18.27 
 04/30/2018                + 12%                 $14.94 
 10/05/2018                + 12%                 $14.00 
 10/24/2018                + 12%                 $11.99 
 04/17/2019                - 10%                 $16.62

So, I think there are several reasons why our results don't match. I'm
using the same methods with most of the 10 sand box stocks.