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Re: SFSecurity post# 43610

Friday, 04/19/2019 5:19:16 PM

Friday, April 19, 2019 5:19:16 PM

Post# of 47083
Hi Allen, Re: Sandbox Results vs backtested data..........

My settings are slightly different from Mr. Lichello's "AIM-High" but
not too much so. Yes, I'm using 10% Buy SAFE but only zero on the sell
side. My minimum trade value is 10% of Portfolio Control, so that might
give you a difference from my method, too.

My best buy was at $11.99 back at the end of October, 2018. It then
bounced upward for a short while only to retest that low at the end of
December, 2018. So, my LIFO turn on those last shares was over 38%,
about which I won't complain!

I've also been adding 5 points to Buy SAFE with each sequential buy. So,
SAFE had risen from 10% to 25% by the time the October buy took place.
Now that I've had a sale, it's been dialed back by 5 to 20%. I drop the
Buy SAFE with each sequential sale or 'vealie' until it gets back to my
10% starting point.

Order size in shares is 10% of holding on the Sell side and 12% on the
buy side as minimums. That works out closely to the 10% of Portfolio
Control value for minimum trades. When my cash reserve has swollen to be
near my current risk threshold, then if I get a Sell signal, I'll either
do a 'vealie' or just sell 5% so I don't over-shoot my cash target.

CY Trade History
Date % of shares bot/sold Price/Share
Start 8/28/2017 +100% $13.32
09/29/2017 - 10% $14.8106
11/06/2017 - 10% $16.45
03/07/2018 - 10% $18.27
04/30/2018 + 12% $14.94
10/05/2018 + 12% $14.00
10/24/2018 + 12% $11.99
04/17/2019 - 10% $16.62


So, I think there are several reasons why our results don't match. I'm
using the same methods with most of the 10 sand box stocks.

Buy from the Scared; Sell to the Greedy.....

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