A.I.M. Users Bulletin Board

[SFSecurity]

Hi Tom, I'm curious why there isn't a sell of CY before $16 when the last low price was around $12.5? $16 is about a 30% increase and given you say you set your SELL safe at 0% with a 10% SAFE I would think there would be a sale.

I ran a backtest using monthly data with $20k, 80% shares (1065 shares to start with) and 20% cash, 10% BUY safe, 0% SELL safe, 100 share minimum trade, $500 minimum trade, $5 commission and got only 2 buys and 2 sells. The last sell showed up as April 1st and sold 145 shares. The two buys were on 10/1/18 and 12/1/18. Total return was 6.43%/year.

I reran the backtest using weekly data and got better results, 12.8%/year. Part of the difference was based on the weekly entry point as the price on 9/4/17 was $1.55 (1187 shares to start with as a result)less than the monthly on 9/1/2017. Nonetheless, there was still a sale of 130 shares on 4/1/19 so I'm quite puzzled that you did not have a sale around that time.