Friday, March 14, 2014 6:44:17 PM
1. How would you conjecture the pie chart for the customer base?
a. Apple
b. Non Apple
2. How would you conjecture LQMT share of this revenue?
a. 25%
b. 50%
c. 75%
d. 100%
3. How would you conjecture timing distribution of this revenue?
a. front loaded year 1
b. back loaded year 2
c. flat line year 1 and 2
If you do 1*2*3, you can wildly conjecture the revenue possibility for the next 12 months.
If you pick 1b*2d*3a, you can get $10 million revenue
If you pick 1a, you get $0
Assign probability of all your conjecture point, you will have an idea what kind of revenue you "likely" will have for 2014.
Keep in mind, latest 2013 finance data shows they have 1M revenue and 6.1M loss. This translates operation cost of close to 7M.
Once you get that figured out, please share your excitement with us.
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