AI
Saturday, December 08, 2012 8:49:57 AM
Hi Toof
There seems to be a disconnect between your model portfolio example and your actual results investing in a real stock. What do you attribute that too?
In real life you can't choose every individual stock correctly I suspect.
Actually things run pretty well on course. A disconnect with a fictitious Demo as my Penny Stock Portfolio will of course always be the case. This also is true for any fictitious Test Price Structure.
My Spy Demo runs for 2 years on January 3rd, and I ïnvested" in it as if a sonservative investor would have done with real money. No disconnect on that one. . It is ratherconservatively executed and reflects reality for a conservative oersin. Of course I realize that SPY is an Index, so a conservative approach even with an AIM-like method would not create spectacular results. I would be interested in what other AIMers got on SPY for the last 2 years!
Per Dec. 7 the Vortex Results are:
SPY
ROTAC yield based on "invested" start capital of $ 20000 = 6.64 %/yr
The Buy & Hold Yield for the same period = 6.02 %/yr.
ROTAI yield based on the Equity purchases = 13.4 %/yr.
Average invested Capital at Risk = 6776 !!!
PostNL
The Stock that I actually bought on December 3rd dipped 2.5% on Dec 4 and came right back and went higher. I bought only a small package worth € 1327 with a € 10 Trading cost. Just for some experimentation. . . and to Test the Vortex Optimization Package on a real case. The stock is rather volatile and I like that. For the last 1/2 year is was I estimate About +/- 20 and 30 % between the Trading Range.
ROTAC based on € 2500 Capital Investment = 5.6%/yr . . . without the € 10 Trading cost the yield = 46 %/yr
I know it means little as yet, except that the volatility is doing its work! What Post NL will do in the long term is of course crucial.
ROTAI = 11 %/yr. . .without the € 10 cost it is 120%/yr.
Average Investment = 1327(not counting the € 10 Trading cost).
Average Investment = 1337 counting the trading Cost.
Profit in 4 days = € 1,69
Trading Cost is recovered but if I sell now it will cost € 10 again.
In VORTEX all trading costs are included as investments in the ROTAI Formula. In this sense the yield figures are conservatively calculated.
There seems to be a disconnect between your model portfolio example and your actual results investing in a real stock. What do you attribute that too?
In real life you can't choose every individual stock correctly I suspect.
Actually things run pretty well on course. A disconnect with a fictitious Demo as my Penny Stock Portfolio will of course always be the case. This also is true for any fictitious Test Price Structure.
My Spy Demo runs for 2 years on January 3rd, and I ïnvested" in it as if a sonservative investor would have done with real money. No disconnect on that one. . It is ratherconservatively executed and reflects reality for a conservative oersin. Of course I realize that SPY is an Index, so a conservative approach even with an AIM-like method would not create spectacular results. I would be interested in what other AIMers got on SPY for the last 2 years!
Per Dec. 7 the Vortex Results are:
SPY
ROTAC yield based on "invested" start capital of $ 20000 = 6.64 %/yr
The Buy & Hold Yield for the same period = 6.02 %/yr.
ROTAI yield based on the Equity purchases = 13.4 %/yr.
Average invested Capital at Risk = 6776 !!!
PostNL
The Stock that I actually bought on December 3rd dipped 2.5% on Dec 4 and came right back and went higher. I bought only a small package worth € 1327 with a € 10 Trading cost. Just for some experimentation. . . and to Test the Vortex Optimization Package on a real case. The stock is rather volatile and I like that. For the last 1/2 year is was I estimate About +/- 20 and 30 % between the Trading Range.
ROTAC based on € 2500 Capital Investment = 5.6%/yr . . . without the € 10 Trading cost the yield = 46 %/yr
I know it means little as yet, except that the volatility is doing its work! What Post NL will do in the long term is of course crucial.
ROTAI = 11 %/yr. . .without the € 10 cost it is 120%/yr.
Average Investment = 1327(not counting the € 10 Trading cost).
Average Investment = 1337 counting the trading Cost.
Profit in 4 days = € 1,69
Trading Cost is recovered
but if I sell now it will cost € 10 again. In VORTEX all trading costs are included as investments in the ROTAI Formula. In this sense the yield figures are conservatively calculated.
Conrad Winkelman
What is Vortex AIMing? Look for my Vortex Discussion Forum:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=1341
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