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The bet is over 9 in the Yankees-Twins Game

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees 9 ov - 105


The Yankees can closeout the Twins with a win on Saturday night in front of the home crowd. Phil Hughes gets the start for the Yankees. He's 17-8 with a 4.23 ERA in 29 starts this season. Hughes is 11-4 with a 4.66 ERA in 18 home starts with 13 of those games going Over the total. The righty faced the Twins last May and gave up three runs and six hits in five innings of work. Delmon Young (2-5), Jason Kubel (2-3), and Denard Span (1-2) all hit Hughes well in limited at-bats. The Twins average 4.7 runs per game on the road and they are hitting .273 as a team this season. The Yankees bullpen is 13-5 with a 3.96 ERA at home this season which is nowhere near as good as their road numbers.

Minnesota’s Brian Duensing may be showing some wear and tear as a starter with his last few performances on the mound. He gave up 4 runs to the Blue Jays, 5 runs to the Tigers, and 3 runs to the Indians. None of those three starts lasted a full seven innings which will force the Twins to dip into their bullpen. Duensing pitched four innings against the Yankees this season and he gave up two runs and two hits over that time. Last October, the lefty started against New York and in that game he gave up five runs and seven hits in 4.7 innings of work. Curtis Granderson (2-7), Marcus Thames (3-6), Robinson Cano (2-4), Derek Jeter (1-3), and Mark Teixeira (1-3) all have hits against Duensing in his career. The Yankees hit .292 as a team and they are averaging 5.8 runs per game at home and 5.5 runs per game in this series so far. Minnesota’s bullpen has blown 11 saves on the road this season. In 49 games where the total has been 9 to 9.5 at home, the Yankees have gone Over the total 32 times. We expect another high-scoring game tonight so we’ll recommend a play on the Over between the Twins and Yankees.