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Re: up-down post# 192

Monday, 07/14/2008 9:26:08 PM

Monday, July 14, 2008 9:26:08 PM

Post# of 254
U.S. bank shares plummet amid stability fears

Monday July 14, 7:08 pm ET
By Dan Wilchins


NEW YORK (Reuters) - The shares of major U.S. banks plunged on Monday amid fears about the sector's stability following Friday's seizure by regulators of IndyMac Bancorp Inc (NYSE:IMB - News) as withdrawals by panicked depositors led to the third- largest U.S. banking failure.

"It's the cockroach theory. You don't just have one bank failure -- when you have a big bank go under, there's always more than one," said James Ellman, president of hedge fund Seacliff Capital, who is short some financial stocks, but also owns some shares of trust banks and asset managers.

The shares of Washington Mutual Inc (NYSE:WM - News) and National City Corp (NYSE:NCC - News), which have significant exposure to mortgages, plummeted, leading both to issue statements intended to reassure investors and depositors.

Also hurting Washington Mutual shares, Lehman Brothers Inc analyst Bruce Harting wrote that the largest U.S. savings and loan could face $26 billion in losses, with $21 billion from mortgages.

Monday's declines also came a day after the U.S. government pledged emergency support for mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM - News) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE - News).

Washington Mutual shares closed down $1.72, or 34.7 percent, at $3.23, while National City fell 65 cents, or 14.7 percent, to $3.77.

The broader Standard & Poor's Financials Index (^GSPF - News) fell 5 percent, dropping to its lowest since October 1998.

As the credit crunch wears on, companies previously seen as strong are looking increasingly frail, investors said.

"The fear factor is in play," said Michael Nix, portfolio manager Greenwood Capital Associates, whose fund owns shares in Wachovia Corp (NYSE:WB - News) and regional bank BB&T Corp (NYSE:BBT - News).

Monday's rout in banking stocks also hurt investment banks. Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc (NYSE:LEH - News) declined 14.1 percent to $12.40 and Merrill Lynch & Co (NYSE:MER - News) lost 6.3 percent to $25.88.

The collapse of IndyMac, one of the largest U.S. banking failures ever, was particularly sobering to investors, analysts said. Hundreds of worried customers lined up outside IndyMac branches in California on Monday to withdraw their money.

"We have money we are afraid we are going to lose," said Jitesh Patel, a doctor from Burbank, who took a day off from work to withdraw his money from IndyMac. "I wish we were a little more savvy."

Regulators said the renamed IndyMac Federal Bank will cover insured deposits, mostly up to $100,000, and initially cover 50 percent of uninsured deposits. But that left people with more than $100,000 in the bank particularly anxious.

"I have $360,000 in this bank and I was misled by this bank," said Robert Clark, a Glendale resident. "I gave the names of my mother, my sister and my brother on the account so I thought I would be insured. I don't know what to do. I really don't know what to do."

Gerard Cassidy, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said on Sunday that 300 U.S. banks might fail over the next three years because of credit losses and tight capital markets.

WRITE-DOWNS

In his report on Washington Mutual, Lehman analyst Harting said the thrift will be unprofitable until credit costs normalize, around the second half of 2009.

Harting said write-downs on bad loans could force the thrift to set aside another $4 billion for the second quarter, creating a loss for the period of $1.48 per share.

Washington Mutual, in a statement following the market close, said its capital level "significantly exceeds" regulator minimums and that it has more than $40 billion excess liquidity.

National City, meanwhile, said it was experiencing no unusual activity by depositors or creditors.

The large U.S. Midwest regional bank and one of the nation's 10 largest banks, no longer offers many kinds of home loans now considered too risky, but has been saddled with billions of dollars of such loans on its balance sheet.

"Investors are out there saying, if this happened to IndyMac, why not Nat City?" said Matt McCormick, a stock analyst at Bahl & Gaynor Investment Counsel in Cincinnati.

The Cleveland-based bank put out a statement assuring the public it was fine.

"Clearly there is a lot of market speculation broadly today," National City spokeswoman Kristen Baird Adams said. "We are experiencing no unusual depositor or creditor activity."

The largest bank in Tennessee, First Horizon National Corp (NYSE:FHN - News), said it will announce its second-quarter results on Tuesday, earlier than planned due to increased market speculation. Its shares dropped 25 percent on Monday.

Adding to concerns about the banking sector, mid-Atlantic regional bank M&T Bank Corp (NYSE:MTB - News) said on Monday that rising credit losses from residential real estate pulled second- quarter profit down 25 percent.

The shares of the Buffalo, New York-based bank closed down $10.88, or 15.6 percent, at $58.82.

http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/080714/financial_shares.html?.v=6














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