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Re: ergo sum post# 1616

Tuesday, 03/12/2002 8:37:25 AM

Tuesday, March 12, 2002 8:37:25 AM

Post# of 47139
Hello Ergo Sum,

I have the salt ready!

Let's first of all agree that a Test Case needs to mimic reality to some extend but need not to be a typical to represent the stock market as a whole. The fictitious stock history has good volatility and is therefore is a good Aim stock.

As for your results

Depending on your system structure, and the parameters you used, you will get many or few Sell/Buy Orders near peaks and valleys.

The question now is, if your system, with your parameter settings that you normally would use, gives indeed an end result of more than 34 000 then we like to know:

1) Is your system an AIM version you actually use and how does it work?

2) Did you use Trades as calculated by the AIM Buy Advice & Buy Order structures or did you adjust the Buys and Sells on the basis of your feeling using the know-how of the stock's future? It is easy to peek ahead at the dips and peaks and adjust the Buys and Sells accordingly. So, if you used prior know-how of the future then you are doing simply something you would not do with real stock. For example restricting the Buy Resistance in advance may force the system to buy only at the lowest dip, and you can make your system act as a Perfect AIM.

So, think about this, and try to look at this exercise as a System Test and not as a demonstration that your would make $ 14 000 profit on this type of stock if you ran into it...you might get into a volatile stock that fizzles out right after you bought it.

Anyhow, your yield of + $ 14 000 looks good, but you mentioned that you never went below 5000 in cash. This means essentially that you played with a 15 000 investment and ended up with $ 29 000, or a yield of 14 000 on the 15000 investment(93% ROI)...What type of a secret do you have?

Suggestion: Start your AIM at 15000 total 1/3rd cash and see what happens.

Regards
Conrad



Conrad Winkelman
What is Vortex AIMing? Look for my Vortex Discussion Forum:
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.asp?board_id=1341

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