The problem is a loss in velocity. Which has started a cascade effect. It's not that he can't get the ball in the strike zone, it's that he's afraid to. Pitches he once had faith he could get past hitters are now off just enough that they're getting hit hard, and he's afraid. So instead he nibbles and throws just off the plate.
BTW, aside from the relatively smaller percentage of jobs where compensation is dominated by commission, there isn't anything different about setting a baseball player's salary on anticipated performance based on a skills assessment and past track record. Every person I've ever hired was hired that way, and their compensation package assembled on that basis. Why exactly should it be any different for a baseball player?
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