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Friday, February 27, 2004 3:58:17 PM
Fast forward to today, and 64-bits is still irrelevant on the desktop, not to mention mobile.
Assuming you are referring to current applications, I agree.
However, from an economic viewpoint 64bits are relevant at the time they play a role in buying decisions.
This will be the case until at least Longhorn, which will service >95% of desktop OS market share, supports it and the required drivers. Longhorn is what? 2006 now?
I agree on this navigational waypoint. So, second half of 2006 is about after half of the useful life for a System purchased this year. Which makes a perfect leverage to switch over to a 64-bit operating system by then.
Thats why I believe 64-bit is highly relevant already today for educated users - I would hope this rationale will kick in for corporate purchases already this year. For the consumer side I am confident that as word spreads that 64 bit promises benefits for gaming and video stuff you bet 32bit will become a no-no very soon for gaming kids. As soon as that, publishers will have little choice to tout this horn.
WRT to elmer, i sure hope he will be continued to be proven wrong with his hypothesis that AMD will fail to deliver on the manufacturing side (again) with K8. They did not in the current node - although the progress is far less impressive as with their 180nm copper process in 2000 when they doubled clockrates within a year or so. Very much more unimpressive on the yield side, but that is no miracle with more layers and larger die on SoI.
Actually, i guess elmer would have been pretty right on the manufacturability of K8 (at least in the current node) if AMD had not designed lots of redundancy mechanism into K8 - what elmer did not know, at least he never mentioned this turf even when asked about.
K.
Facts are irrelevant to the emotional brain
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