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Re: OldAIMGuy post# 45271

Friday, 04/30/2021 3:55:49 PM

Friday, April 30, 2021 3:55:49 PM

Post# of 47133
Hi Tom.

Can't post to that board, so I'll just drop it here instead

Precious metal do buy
When the Dow/Gold is high
I tell no lie.


On a per decade rotation, starting from 1972 in the absence of earlier years data, buying either stock or gold according to the decade start Dow/gold ratio you might have opted to hold gold 1972 to 1979
Stocks 1980 to 1989 and again 1990 to 1999
Gold 2000 to 2009
Stocks 2010 2019

For a US investor so doing, nominal total returns 18.4% annualised
(14.1% real (after inflation))
versus 10.6% for all stock (6.6% real).

UK/British Pound adjusted 20% annualised (13.9% real).

Start of 2020's Dow/Gold indicates ... gold.

Clive.

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