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Re: BOREALIS post# 193417

Wednesday, 12/30/2020 9:29:29 PM

Wednesday, December 30, 2020 9:29:29 PM

Post# of 214674
Imagine an infectious disease that is at LEAST as transmissible as COVID-19 (including asymptomatic cases), but has a 10% - 20% case-fatality rate.

The reason diseases like Ebola haven’t become pandemics is:

1. It’s only infectious when someone is symptomatic
2. The disease progresses quickly, so people are usually bed-ridden quickly (and not out spreading it to others).

People call COVID-19 a once-in-a-century pandemic. I know, because I was one of those people early on. Now it’s abundantly clear to me that the more we infringe on the habitats of other animals - the more likely for zoonotic transmission. I wouldn’t be shocked if there’s another pandemic within the next 10 years. Given how easy it is to travel now (compared to 1918), spreading a virus globally can happen in a matter of a couple of days (depending on the location of patient zero - urban vs. rural?)

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