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Re: Doktornolittle post# 274125

Wednesday, 04/01/2020 1:06:47 PM

Wednesday, April 01, 2020 1:06:47 PM

Post# of 703716
I don't think you fully understand the difference between a "linear" increase and an "exponential" increase. When you say "now we are seeing a very small linear increase" -- it's just patently false. Even if it flattened out now, we're looking at 20K new cases per day. That's a *huge* linear increase, even if it's not growing exponentially. You're looking at the difference in changes, rather than the changes themselves.

To go back to high school calculus -- you're looking at the derivative, when we need to be looking at the integral. We care about the area under the curve (i.e., new cases), not whether the curve is flat (an increase in the daily new cases). Even one new case shows that transmission is not under control and the problem continues to grow.
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