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Re: rogers5729 post# 274124

Tuesday, 03/31/2020 9:22:16 AM

Tuesday, March 31, 2020 9:22:16 AM

Post# of 701100
I agree with everything you say, and said nothing different except the following: With the observed changes in these curves there is absolutely reason to be hopeful that we will soon see the rate of new daily cases drop. If so, that will be a big deal. We have been seeing an exponential rate of increase in the number of daily new cases, and now we are seeing a very small linear increase. It might not make that turn downward for 2 years, but just looking at the curves, it looks more likely to be 2 days to 2 weeks. It probably does not make sense to expect the down curve to look like the up curve, as I have talked about, but I qualified that, as I have qualified everything else. I have not differed from what you are saying in detail, though maybe so in the gist and spirit. We need to remain very cautious and I already see people being lax as of yesterday as the weather had improved in California, and I agree, that is dangerous.
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