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Monday, December 09, 2019 12:06:12 PM
That said, does the value of the company increase as Direct closes in on approval, certainly, but that may not be the case until years later even if the FDA is willing to consider approval out of a Phase 2. At the earliest I think it would be a 2023 approval, by that time DCVax-L should be developing a substantial revenue stream, with DCVax-Direct coming on line, well over $20 billion could be the asking price. Of course it may not be nearly that early, the FDA may insist on a Phase 3 which probably couldn't complete for at least 5 years, say 2008 at the earliest. The question by then would be, how high might the stock price be by then. I believe that earnings at that time could easily be into double digit billions, especially if off label benefits of use of the drug were clear. A P/E of 30 would certainly be reasonable if Direct was anticipating approval near term. That would give a market cap near or in excess of $100 billion. I don't believe that BP will permit NWBO to grow to this point without consummating a buyout.
Gary
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