Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[rafunrafun]

TIMING OF EVENTS, PER TODAY'S PR & CONFUSION...

Oneset of 80% - 1st HALF of 2017
DMC analysis of 80% - 3rd Q of 2017
Oneset of Final - 4th Q of 2017

Oneset of 60% occurred on March 31, 2016
DMC analysis occured on September 12, 2016 (5.5 months after 60% oneset)

Interesting how today's forecast for 80% and Final are in both, halves and quarters. IMO the fact that the forecast of oneset of 80% is 'H' instead of 'Q' (as are the oneset of final and 80% analysis) means that it is tracking to occur in late March / early April - otherwise they would specify the Q and not the H. IT IS THE ONLY PERIOD FOR WHICH AMARIN USED H INSTEAD OF Q.

Here is what doesn't make sense to me... It will take 11.5 - 12.5 for 323 events between 60% oneset and 80% oneset to occur (from March 31, 2016 to late March / early April, 2017). How could Amarin predict that the same amount of events (80% to final) will occur in 4th Q?

If we use even the lowest range (see above, 11.5 months) for the 80% oneset, that's mid March, 2017. If we use the same 11.5 for final, that brings us to late February of 2018, certainly not 4th Q of 2017 as forecasted by Amarin.

Events can't possibly speed up by that much, as opposed to events between 967 and 1290. So how is the 80% oneset forecasted so late or how is the final event forecasted so early???

Thoughts?