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Post# of 425915
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amarininvestor

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amarininvestor

Re: amarininvestor post# 75687

Friday, 03/25/2016 4:05:24 PM

Friday, March 25, 2016 4:05:24 PM

Post# of 425915
AVII, please ignore this post. Obviously this cannot be calculated correctly, as there is no way to know what is a FIRST vs subsequent event.

Pretty much I just realized we know a lot less than we would like about the chances of interim stop. We can still follow the TOTAL number of events. However we do not know whether any given composite rate (regardless of how low it is) may be enough for an early stop.

Happy to hear others thoughts
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