Amarin Corp Plc (AMRN)

[chas1232123]

In a prior post (#70918) I gave estimated RR (relative risk reduction) for various P (placbo rate) assuming event 967 had not occurred yet as of Feb 2, 2016. If we assume it could take up to 60 days before we find out that event 967 has occurred, that gives different (lower) minimum RR values, which I give here. (Amarin didn’t answer when asked if they would announce promptly when event 967 is reached.)

So, here are my estimated minimum RR values for various P (which is approximated as constant) assuming event 967 had not occurred yet 60 days ago (December 6, 2015):

P Rate (%) Risk Reduction (%)
5.0…………. 9.7
5.2…………. 17.0
5.3…………. 23.8
5.4…………. 27.0
5.5…………. 30.1
5.6…………. 33.0
5.8…………. 35.9
5.9…………. 38.7
6.0…………. 41.4
6.2…………. 53.6