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Re: bayfisherii post# 571

Monday, 05/01/2006 12:42:35 AM

Monday, May 01, 2006 12:42:35 AM

Post# of 10911
bayfisherii... you win the PBOY for your comments and encouragement to crunch the numbers. I didn't want to add my two cents until other folks were given a chance to chime in and give their opinions. But if you look at Block 2, it could be argued that at a price of $55.00 ppb and Production at 91.25 mbopd that the numbers would looks something like this:

P = $5.01875 billion

minus Royalty (full 5%0 = $4.76781 billion

minus Cost Oil of $500,000,000 = $4.26781 billion

minus Tax of 50% = $2.131391 billion

R Factor of 2.5 allows for 25% profit = $533,477,500

ERHC gets 22% = $117,365,050 for next 25 years!

You can use an Excel spreadsheet to work the PV of that number based on 6, 7, 8, 9, 10% or any percentage you want to use, but that comes out to $3.0 billion at 0 percent or $4.00 a share with no PE multiple.

Bottom line is that it's pretty safe to say the current market price is a good buy and undervalued when you consider the potential.

BCNU

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