I am replying to my own post from one year ago. I find it amazing that no one changed their views even as their premise was proven false. I always look back at my written thoughts and try to correct my mistaken assumptions. I was ridiculed for just posting my trend assumptions without showing actual bets. I suppose if I had W. Buffett's ear I would be more interested in his take on the future than his daily bets.
As for my future expectations it seems I am in line with Roubini's. 2016 is my target for the big fall. Everything to date seems to fall in line with that analysis. EU and China have the political will to reverse their slow down. When all major nations are rising the debt pressures will rise with rates.
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