Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
My last post for some time ( with 1 post a day it is hard to spam the board anyway):
The next few days/weeks will be a complete roller coaster. Many on this board, based on their posting history, will sell at a much too low price. I am not faulting anyone who takes profits and in these markets a win is a win.
We will see the panic posts/selling on the slightest retrace. The shorts (who have covered and holding on to the shares, will be at play on every level and likely make some profits as traders who follow momentum will likely be the losers if they don’t get in early.
There will be a lot of negative things being put out there to scare retail investors and some will fall for it. I hope that cool heads prevail in the short term as I think we will all be rewarded in the longer term. Good luck to all who are invested and don’t forget to wear your seatbelt so you don’t get thrown off in one of the many turns and twist’s we will see.
With all the information due this week it will be interesting to see how the market responds. I sure hope the get an extension on the Q and release it Wednesday or Thursday after close.
You will likely not see an update to clinical trials website until just before the publication of the journal article. There’s simply no need to do it before that.
Just a reminder.
People who borrow shares to short are usually trading with them. So when you see a lot of short activity, it doesn’t always means that the amount of shorting shares have increased. It is shorts selling-covering-selling-covering all day long. At times, they might own more shares than they have borrowed if they buy at a level they feel is a temporary bottom. That just gives them more ammunition for selling later at a higher price.
But LL is not going to say anything meaningful. ??
Slow and controlled walk up, while shorts get to cover a little at a time.
I absolutely love opening iHub after the close each day and skim through the panic ridden posts when the SP dips a few %. I find it amazing that people who don’t trade are so worried about the ebb’s and flows of the SP. it means nothing in a binary stock. But it does give me a laugh.
Today was MM’s 1 - Day traders 0 if you keep score.
They must have done that this week. Today before run up I got a few hundred thousand shares ‘returned’ from shorty. These were borrowed a month ago so they likely gave up and took a small loss.
My guess is that quite a few warrant holders have a short position against a small percentage of their warrants. My guesstimate is around 12M of the 28M shorts are from hedging warrant holders. I would not blame them and for the rest of us, they will have to cover as well, so it has no influence if we get positive results.
Anyone selling NWBO shares in the next 4-6 weeks are not paying attention. I have no clue if we get TLD/journal in the next 4-6 weeks, but based on available information it is clear that the company expects/hopes we will.
The attempt to suppress the share price is still strong. It is clear from watching the price movement that this is a very costly attempt for the ones trying to move it lower. They are completely failing in getting retail on the selling train and are just digging themselves in a deeper hole as this gets drawn out. This is good if we start getting some anticipation buying over the next month. Hopefully retail will resist helping them out and they will eventually give up their resistance. Be patient and let’s see how much longer they can keep this up.
Just some clarification.
I have never shorted NWBO.
I have ‘rented’ out my shares and likely added over 100k shares from the ‘rental’ income.
Since all of the financing done since DL have been toed to post TLD pricing for any discounted shares, the rental of my shares have absolutely no influence on the financials of the company.
I did not rent out any shares prior to DL.
On a side note, 80% of the current rented out shares were done when the price was in the low 70’s to low 80’s. The rest was done in the 1.20’s and they have yet to return the shares. As with all borrowing, I am not privy to when they were actually sold on the market, but I highly doubt they held on to them.
I am very long term oriented in my investment thesis and I understand that those who are waiting for TLD don’t want their shares to be tied up. My agreements are time specific, so I am sure of a date when the shares must be returned. I am fairly certain that we will see news before that date, so the covering will be helpful when we do get news.
I am still on my 1 post a day hiatus so will not be able to post any responses. I do not know when that will end as I have not received any communication from admin regarding the length and reasoning behind my limitation.
Have a wonderful day and enjoy the next 4-5 weeks.
I am double dipping from you guys. I have borrowed your ‘crew’ a lot of shares and getting paid each day. When results come out I will benefit even more due to the covering you guys will have to do. A complete win/win for me.
Agree, the real value is down the road. It will come when the commercialization is realized. The bump TLD/Journal will have is significant but not compared with the value in a few years.
I can say with very close to 100% certainty that we will see NOTHING from NWBO on April 27 in regard to ASCO. They will not have an abstract. I only have one post a day, so cannot respond to any responding posts. The two biotech experts in my company will go as far as to say it is 100% certain that there will be no abstract at ASCO. They have an enormous amount of contacts and experience in the industry, so I rely on their expert opinions. They both have significant holdings of NWBO. They both expect TLD/Journal within the next 4-6 weeks.
So he is putting his money where his mouth is, Not just making claims without being vested.
Ah, so the specials program in the UK, is regulated by the FDA? You really know your stuff.
I think the financials are the most important documents a company put out. BUT if the clients are financially illiterate like you, it is futile for them to read the financials.
This has nothing to do with FDA or SEC. This has evolved over time in order to avoid lawsuits.
As an investment advisor, this is one of the examples of why I tell my clients to not read the quarterly statements and the annual report. People who has very little experience in financial reporting will look at a 10K and NEVER invest in any company. What you are citing is just one of many statements that lawyers make sure a company inserts in the risk section, so that in the incredibly rare instance that something like that was required because of some trial mistakes, they will not be sued by shareholders for not mentioning the risk. I am sure you can find 10+ other risk statements that makes it look like the world is falling apart for NWBO and that they will declare bankruptcy the day after the financial report is issued. I understand this is not something most people know, but when posting on a message board, people should do just a little research about financial reports prior to citing them. Good luck with your future investments.
I would make a small friendly wager (symbolic) that TLD/Journal article will be before that time frame. I am well aware that it is completely out of their control, but I feel fairly certain that it won't be long. Too much is riding on this for the entire biotech industry with the guidance of the use of external controls. I am solely basing my opinion on what my biotech friends are telling me. They are also serious investors in NWBO.
Agree. Day traders and MM's taking profit after 10% upward move is expected. Two steps up, one step down is a great moving equity.
Have fun. Might come to Vegas for NFL draft.
Mutual funds and index funds might be more up your alley.
Another post that shows a complete lack of investment knowledge. Anyone with access to non-public information are prohibited from trading in the equity/stock. From the time of DL, they have been prohibited from buying shares.
Patience. We might get there AFTER commercialization in a few years, but I was only referring to Positive TLD in a Journal article.
I am pretty sure my "Bottom" valuation have always been around $1B, fully diluted. I could be wrong, but that number sticks in my mind and have been for some time. That is not to say that it will hit that bottom or be sold at that price in the example from my last post.
If you look at the share price in relation to market capitalization, this little rinky dink outfit is worth close to $1B!!! (fully diluted) They have pretty much zero income and yet, the market thinks it is worth close to $1B. We went to $2.50 in anticipation of TLD a year and a half ago. We now have much more information regarding patents and the combo trial using DCVax-L in both and all three arms, depending upon which trial you look at.
I understand that time has not been on the side of NWBO in regard to the release of the trial results. I have my own idea of what is holding it up and will keep that to myself. If the $2.50 is any indication ($3.5B MC, again, fully diluted), then I would think that we will get to a point of between $5-8B IF the result is positive. We will see an additiponal upward move for each of the future milestones, such as approval and commercialization.
In the event of not so stellar result, I think we are dependent upon these combo trials as to the future valuation of the company. It might take an initial hit, but I think it will get bought out at roughly the price we are at now. The data and potential for combination trial success is simply too high for this to become a worthless penny stock.
JMHO
Which according to a few posters, means nothing for her as long as she makes a few hundred thousand for her ownership of Advent.
As with any other non-approved product that has been granted specials status, the company will not be required to be able to manufacture product for all who wants it. It was the same when NWBO had a 4-5 patient a month capacity in London. I do think they will be able to be at max capacity or close, once the journal article comes out, but not everyone can afford to pay for this themselves.
Based on what I have been able to see, Flaskworks should be certified within the next 12 months. I also think that CRL will be able to ramp up very quickly. The approval will not happen in near term. I think we will get approval within the next 9-15 months. I understand that some people are floating the notion that we will get approval within 6 months from Journal article. In my opinion, anything that ties approval to Journal article is not true. Those are completely separate events.
Please read my post. I said that approval might be tied to manufacturing, BUT not to released of TLD/Journal. No argument that they will be required to show that they can handle manufacturing prior to getting approval. I am not that worried about that right now. I think that they will be able to handle it from day 1.
His daily posts about us being down, are very funny. We have been at same level for over a month. The panic posting here is incredible. I like your posts and if not on OTC, you would be 100% correct. Let's see how much longer it will stay in this range pre-news. The reason for lack of volatility is the exit of day traders who were probably tired of being pushed around. With more volume, they might come back in and we will see some more volatility. If you think the results will be positive, you would want the short interest to go up prior to news. That will add a little fuel to any upswing on good news.
None of that has anything to do with TLD/Journal. The RA's would never hold that up. They might hold up approval until manufacturing is in place, but TLS/Journal is not anything the RA's would put limitations on.
It's not so much the tax rate as it is the deduction of the loses incurred in the US company over the years.
I find it interesting that some people believe that any negative (or positive for that matter) posts on this anonymous message board have ANY influence on the share price.
Not worried about that. The key is whether you think the trial results will be positive or negative. Everything else, including the time from x or y and the time to x and y. is just noise. All I worry about is that we keep getting signs that we are moving in the right direction. There's plenty of those. Timing is the least of my worries, but seems to be the lone reason so many posters (Not aware if they are actual investors) seem to be panic posting daily.
Hoping for 700+...
as a 20 year plus investment advisor and portfolio manager, I have signed 100's of NDA's when negotiating investments in both public and private companies.
It all depends on what is disclosed in the process. If no non-public material information is disclosed, there's no need for any non-disclosure. If, however, in the process there will be disclosure of non-public material information (Such as opening up books in a merger) it is guaranteed that there will be a non-disclosure signed.