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Is there a link to explanation of his method?
TIA
Swampcracker
jwperk, wccawa, and gottfried,
thanks for the leads. I installed the Microsoft AntiSpyware program. It identified the 25 programs and files named iSearch.DesktopSearch.
But after it removed them, they were still there. I reran the program before and after rebooting and each time it finds the spyware.
Adaware and others find it but say they cannot delete. Is there a problem I'm missing here?
Thanks to anyone who can help. The spyware has really slowed me down.
Swampcracker
Help!
I have run spybot, adaware, and norton antivirus and still have 3 programs identified as trojans: counter.exe, delprot.sys, and edmond.exe.
Thanks in advance.
Swampcracker
What month did you buy on the straddle? I didn't play this one but in past found that there was often less volatility evaporation in the next month out.
Swampcracker
I think WTIC is forming a wave four with five to reach $37, then B wave up.
Swampcracker
Larry,
23.6% not 25%.
Swampcracker
Larry,
Fib support levels for a retrace of this move up from yesterday's low:
Stop = High -((High-Low) X Fib)
Stop 1 = 34.33 - ((34.33-32.46) X 0.236)
Stop 1 = 33.89
Stop 2 = 34.33 - ((34.33-32.46) X 0.382)
Stop 2 = 33.62
Stop 3 = 34.33 - ((34.33-32.46) X 0.618)
Stop 3 = 33.17
Swampcracker
On this trade since it has passed the stop, I would look at the 5 min chart for a fib retrace of this move up to get out. It just touched the 23.6% level and bounced. Maybe it will reach the 38.2% today.
Swampcracker
Larry,
I would use the close. You can run an analysis to backfit your stop loss to the ideal number of bars at the ideal point on the bar.
But trading a short term chart, in my opinion, calls for closer stops - mental stops.
However I use don't use this system. I use the 150% of volatility system because I don't trade the 30 min chart.
Swampcracker
At 33.66 the volatility on the thirty minute chart for SMH as defined by the 55 period Average True Range is 0.18. Exit at 1.5 times the volatility or 33.93.
Alternatively exit if the third bar is above your entry.
This assumes you are using position sizing to limit stop loss to a percent of your portfolio.
Swampcracker
Limiting losses with a stop, thus preserving capital, is key to a successful trading system no matter what your entry/exit setup.
Swampcracker
Zeev,
Could you suggest a basket of 4-5 stocks to buy next week and hold through January?
TIA,
Swampcracker
Thanks everyone.
Swampcracker
Can someone tell me how to stop the clicking noise when I use the pointer.
TIA
I'm not sure whether you're recommending SP2 or just telling me that's the location of the IE popup blocker. I noticed you've recommended deleting SP2 in previous posts.
Thanks,
Swampcracker
I believe I have the latest IE but there is no popup blocker under tools menu.
Swampcracker
I had Google toolbar and just added Stopzilla.
Will see if that works.
Thanks for a great thread.
Swampcracker
Good Morning,
I have Adaware 6.0 but I have started getting flurries of popups after I open IE. What is the best way to stop them?
Thanks.
Swampcracker
Short bonds: RRPIX
Zeev,
When I look at the $TYX or the TLT, which you trade, it seems to tell me that the market is expecting a recession to start late in the first quarter of 2005 - falling prices, weaker dollar, and weaker gold.
Is this consistent with your timing of your economic model? I haven't seen this discussed lately.
Regards,
Swampcracker
Zeev,
What do you think of XAU and HUI - double top? October is usually best month for gold equities.
Swampcracker
You've got my vote.
Swampcracker
Zeev,
Do you see rates bottoming out here with an upturn in economic activity to accompany the market rally? Or do you see this as a seasonal end of election year rally?
TIA,
Swampcracker
Thanks for replying. How do you measure to 91?
TIA.
Swampcracker
How do you get the 91 target?
TIA
Swampcracker
Zeev,
Is ONXX still on your list? Not much reaction to (earnings)announcement.
Swampcracker
I assume subscribers will continue to receive emails?
Swampcracker
Thanks. I have been building position in market for last two weeks and now margined long. Now thinking about exit strategy. This rally is broad, moving my large cap and midcap techs, biotech, energy, metals, and corporate bond funds. Small caps not moving much today.
Swampcracker
How far do you see this first leg up going before some pullback/consolidation?
Swampcracker
Only the market knows.
Swampcracker
I did have some good trades from you and am not unhappy!!!
I am trying to understand your meaning of "trigger."
Swampcracker
If the buy trigger for the INTC calls was exceeding the Friday high, then it seems that it would have triggered since INTC closed above Friday's high on Monday and Tuesday???
Swampcracker
Thanks for a great job on the charting.
Swampcracker
Zeev,
Can't help but butt in here re: US isolationism. Union Banking Corporation and other creations of Brown Bros Harriman (New York), the merchant bank run by Averill & Roland Harriman and Prescott Bush, were central to the financial web of support enabling Fritz Thyssen to fund the SS. Harriman funded the eugenics movement in the US which hosted Nazi "race doctors" who were given free rides on the Harriman owned Holland American shipping line to US conferences. The Dulles Brothers of Sullivan & Cromwell (New York) arranged the package trade and financial deals that allowed Hitler to build up the war machine. The war machine was built by Prescott Bush as director of Nazi owned US companies such as Seamless Steel Equipment Company, et.al. These assets were seized from Bush and Harriman in the early 40's under the Trading with the Enemy Act. Harriman and Dillon Read (New York) were instrumental in preventing the bankrupt German Steel Trust from being turned over to Konrad Adenauer, instead insuring that it returned to their client Nazi Fritz Thyssen. Hitler's American patrons worked politically to discredit efforts of the German government to rein in the SS in the 1920's.
The concept of US isolationism vis a vis Hitler is, I believe, a smokescreen for the active financial, economic, and political promotion of Hitler and his backers by the top financail powers in the US then and now.
Regards,
Swampcracker
Do you think we will get a shortable double top on BZH?
Thanks,
Swampcracker
How do you like NVDA for a short play?
Thanks,
Swampcracker
Zeev,
I know you haven't been so keen on war as the solution to the Saddam problem. I wanted to share this with you and the thread.
Swampcracker
Reckless Administration May Reap Disastrous Consequences
by US Senator Robert Byrd
Senate Floor Speech - Wednesday, February 12, 2003
To contemplate war is to think about the most horrible
of human experiences. On this February day, as this
nation stands at the brink of battle, every American on
some level must be contemplating the horrors of war.
Yet, this Chamber is, for the most part, silent --
ominously, dreadfully silent. There is no debate, no
discussion, no attempt to lay out for the nation the
pros and cons of this particular war. There is nothing.
We stand passively mute in the United States Senate,
paralyzed by our own uncertainty, seemingly stunned by
the sheer turmoil of events. Only on the editorial
pages of our newspapers is there much substantive
discussion of the prudence or imprudence of engaging in
this particular war.
And this is no small conflagration we contemplate. This
is no simple attempt to defang a villain. No. This
coming battle, if it materializes, represents a turning
point in U.S. foreign policy and possibly a turning
point in the recent history of the world.
This nation is about to embark upon the first test of a
revolutionary doctrine applied in an extraordinary way
at an unfortunate time. The doctrine of preemption --
the idea that the United States or any other nation can
legitimately attack a nation that is not imminently
threatening but may be threatening in the future -- is
a radical new twist on the traditional idea of self
defense. It appears to be in contravention of
international law and the UN Charter. And it is being
tested at a time of world-wide terrorism, making many
countries around the globe wonder if they will soon be
on our -- or some other nation's -- hit list. High
level Administration figures recently refused to take
nuclear weapons off of the table when discussing a
possible attack against Iraq. What could be more
destabilizing and unwise than this type of uncertainty,
particularly in a world where globalism has tied the
vital economic and security interests of many nations
so closely together? There are huge cracks emerging in
our time-honored alliances, and U.S. intentions are
suddenly subject to damaging worldwide speculation.
Anti-Americanism based on mistrust, misinformation,
suspicion, and alarming rhetoric from U.S. leaders is
fracturing the once solid alliance against global
terrorism which existed after September 11.
Here at home, people are warned of imminent terrorist
attacks with little guidance as to when or where such
attacks might occur. Family members are being called to
active military duty, with no idea of the duration of
their stay or what horrors they may face. Communities
are being left with less than adequate police and fire
protection. Other essential services are also short-
staffed. The mood of the nation is grim. The economy is
stumbling. Fuel prices are rising and may soon spike
higher.
This Administration, now in power for a little over two
years, must be judged on its record. I believe that
that record is dismal.
In that scant two years, this Administration has
squandered a large projected surplus of some $5.6
trillion over the next decade and taken us to projected
deficits as far as the eye can see. This
Administration's domestic policy has put many of our
states in dire financial condition, under funding
scores of essential programs for our people. This
Administration has fostered policies which have slowed
economic growth. This Administration has ignored urgent
matters such as the crisis in health care for our
elderly. This Administration has been slow to provide
adequate funding for homeland security. This
Administration has been reluctant to better protect our
long and porous borders.
In foreign policy, this Administration has failed to
find Osama bin Laden. In fact, just yesterday we heard
from him again marshaling his forces and urging them to
kill. This Administration has split traditional
alliances, possibly crippling, for all time,
International order-keeping entities like the United
Nations and NATO. This Administration has called into
question the traditional worldwide perception of the
United States as well-intentioned, peacekeeper. This
Administration has turned the patient art of diplomacy
into threats, labeling, and name calling of the sort
that reflects quite poorly on the intelligence and
sensitivity of our leaders, and which will have
consequences for years to come.
Calling heads of state pygmies, labeling whole
countries as evil, denigrating powerful European allies
as irrelevant -- these types of crude insensitivities
can do our great nation no good. We may have massive
military might, but we cannot fight a global war on
terrorism alone. We need the cooperation and friendship
of our time-honored allies as well as the newer found
friends whom we can attract with our wealth. Our
awesome military machine will do us little good if we
suffer another devastating attack on our homeland which
severely damages our economy. Our military manpower is
already stretched thin and we will need the augmenting
support of those nations who can supply troop strength,
not just sign letters cheering us on.
The war in Afghanistan has cost us $37 billion so far,
yet there is evidence that terrorism may already be
starting to regain its hold in that region. We have not
found bin Laden, and unless we secure the peace in
Afghanistan, the dark dens of terrorism may yet again
flourish in that remote and devastated land.
Pakistan as well is at risk of destabilizing forces.
This Administration has not finished the first war
against terrorism and yet it is eager to embark on
another conflict with perils much greater than those in
Afghanistan. Is our attention span that short? Have we
not learned that after winning the war one must always
secure the peace?
And yet we hear little about the aftermath of war in
Iraq. In the absence of plans, speculation abroad is
rife. Will we seize Iraq's oil fields, becoming an
occupying power which controls the price and supply of
that nation's oil for the foreseeable future? To whom
do we propose to hand the reigns of power after Saddam
Hussein?
Will our war inflame the Muslim world resulting in
devastating attacks on Israel? Will Israel retaliate
with its own nuclear arsenal? Will the Jordanian and
Saudi Arabian governments be toppled by radicals,
bolstered by Iran which has much closer ties to
terrorism than Iraq?
Could a disruption of the world's oil supply lead to a
world-wide recession? Has our senselessly bellicose
language and our callous disregard of the interests and
opinions of other nations increased the global race to
join the nuclear club and made proliferation an even
more lucrative practice for nations which need the
income?
In only the space of two short years this reckless and
arrogant Administration has initiated policies which
may reap disastrous consequences for years.
One can understand the anger and shock of any President
after the savage attacks of September 11. One can
appreciate the frustration of having only a shadow to
chase and an amorphous, fleeting enemy on which it is
nearly impossible to exact retribution.
But to turn one's frustration and anger into the kind
of extremely destabilizing and dangerous foreign policy
debacle that the world is currently witnessing is
inexcusable from any Administration charged with the
awesome power and responsibility of guiding the destiny
of the greatest superpower on the planet. Frankly many
of the pronouncements made by this Administration are
outrageous. There is no other word.
Yet this chamber is hauntingly silent. On what is
possibly the eve of horrific infliction of death and
destruction on the population of the nation of Iraq --
a population, I might add, of which over 50% is under
age 15 -- this chamber is silent. On what is possibly
only days before we send thousands of our own citizens
to face unimagined horrors of chemical and biological
warfare -- this chamber is silent. On the eve of what
could possibly be a vicious terrorist attack in
retaliation for our attack on Iraq, it is business as
usual in the United States Senate.
We are truly "sleepwalking through history." In my
heart of hearts I pray that this great nation and its
good and trusting citizens are not in for a rudest of
awakenings.
To engage in war is always to pick a wild card. And war
must always be a last resort, not a first choice. I
truly must question the judgment of any President who
can say that a massive unprovoked military attack on a
nation which is over 50% children is "in the highest
moral traditions of our country". This war is not
necessary at this time. Pressure appears to be having a
good result in Iraq. Our mistake was to put ourselves
in a corner so quickly. Our challenge is to now find a
graceful way out of a box of our own making. Perhaps
there is still a way if we allow more time.
The money trust, i.e. the central bank will thrive and consolidate power as they suck up the assets of the failed businesses. They control the currency, upon all of which our government pays interest.
Its only a matter of them deciding when to pull the plug as they did in 1933.
Swampcracker
The big banks will raise rates to harvest gargantuan profits from the low interest mountain of debt that they have provided to business, government, and individuals. They always have.
Why not let the Bush government be the fall guy for the economic contraction which will follow. From the banks' perspective, alternating between bad cop Republican administrations and good cop Democratic administrations will keep the electorate's eye on the circus.
Swampcracker