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donotknowityet, it's called groupthink.
It turns them into fanatic supporters and they ban questioning posts.
INSM will see $0.60s possibly $0.50s after news of dilution.
Can you explain to me how covering a short position lowers the price? Do you even know what covering is? It's buying pressure and increases the PPS, not the contrary.
Bolt08,
you've obviously never heard of fluctuation. This is not MSFT or Walmart, INSM is a complete speculative stock with wild fluctuations. You're new to this aren't you. Welcome to the stock market. Good luck as you begin your investing journey.
Current Issues:
This is a public forum is it not? What good is this board if it's just dictated by useless and hopeless pumping? I already told you my logic. I said the best buying opportunity for INSM is only weeks away. You can buy shares at a steal and hold long term or short term, either way, you can make a great deal of profit.
And no, I honestly don't know the SEC policy regarding the PPS sub $1 and delisting. I want clarification. I analyze corporations on financials: revenue, cash flow, trends, historical data, and self computed forecasts. I am not an SEC reg type of guy.
My position is this: The uncertainty coupled with the most likely case of heavy dilution will drop INSM to $0.60s for a short timeframe (minutes to hours, a day at the most). This will be the best buying opportunity in a LONG time. My posts will not affect what's in store for INSM. From there, I will unload with the bounce back to $1 or hold, have not decided yet.
I'm just saying that a reverse split or delisting threat is just another uncertainty added to the laundry list of problems for INSM. The longer INSM stays in the dark and things remain uncertain, the more the PPS will sink. These issues threatening INSM include:
Just to name a few...
What will the royalty % be?
Will IPLEX receive an injunction?
Can IPLEX turn a profit with their short stature indication?
What amount of dilution are we expecting?
Are we in danger of getting delisted?
Is a reverse split a possibility?
Buying shares at these overvalued prices is ridiculous. Wait until $0.60s after financing is announced. And do you really think my posts affect the PPS? NO.
Can someone give me some info:
Okay, I'm not trying to bash. I just want some info for clarification. What are the listing requirements for the Nas?
Possibility of reverse split in order to flee delinquincy?
This is a simple question, labeling me a basher just shows you can't handle your losses.
"on sale now @ .99 may not last long"
This will last long... we will see $0.60s soon. They don't have enough cash to get through Q1 2007. Dilution weeks, even days away.
Honestly, could possibly dip to $0.50s.
Buy4Long,
people are completely misinterpreting what I'm saying. They think I'm bashing but I'm giving them advice for the best buying opportunity that INSM will see in years (possibly ever from here on out).
What I'm saying is that the best buying opportunity is just a few weeks away. Wait for news of dilution, panic selling will dip INSM to $0.60s-$0.70s for a short window (perhaps 30 minutes to a few hours, one trading day at most). It will instantly recover to $0.80s to $0.90s and then drift its way slightly above $1.
From there you can hold strong and long or sell for a significant fast gain. I'm just saying that if you wait a few weeks and buy a boatload, you can increase your holdings tremendously at dirt cheap or make a sizeable gain.
Just because people don't understand the situation, they bash me. I understand the situation and am going to make a lot of money. What is funny is that I've posted this simple message and people still don't get it. LOL.
Thurly, you wrote "Ignores the possibility of a EU or ROW partner."
I also ignored the possibility of an injunction. Fair enough?
Buy4long,
Yes, additional financing can come from a partnership, debt, or stock issuance. But let's be honest and realistic. Which is it going to come from? Stock issuance.
Does INSM have a history of large debt financing? No. Who will lend money to a corporation that will most likely continue to lose $15million a quarter for the next 5-10 years?
Stock issuance, mark my words. Don't be foolish, it's going to be announced most likely in a matter of weeks.
Partnership, give me a break, how long have you cheerleaders been talking about a partnership. I'm not here to bash, I'm here to make money.
This stock is known to fluctuate widely. It'd be best to purchase at $0.60 when financing news comes out and dump at $1.20 with a bounce. That'd save you 5-10 years waiting for this corporation to become a $1 billion dollar market cap corp to achieve a PPS of $2.
Am I not wrong?
Analysis of $1 billion market cap & PPS
I've been thinking of how many of you tout that INSM will be a $1 billion dollar market cap corporation "one day". I've been thinking and it doesn't seem that great.
Here's the calculations:
$35,000,000 Q3 cash and cash equivalents
- 15,000,000 average Q burn rate
- 7,500,000 legal damages immediately put in escrow per law
- 2,500,000 legal expenses (lowball estimate)
------------
$10,000,000 cash & cash equivalents after Q4 (in about 2 weeks)
INSM won't have enough cash to last even 1 more quarter. Q4 ends in 2 weeks. INSM will most likely run out of cash in 14 weeks. Financing will most likely be announced within a matter of weeks.
With a current price of nearly $1, corporations offer a slight discount in financing operations when placed privately, so they'll have to dilute about 60,000,000 more shares to raise about $50,000,000. This will in turn obviously lower the PPS.
But how far can $50,000,000 take INSM? With an average burn rate of $15 million, that's only enough cash to make them operational for less than a year. That's considering an average $15M burn rate not including extra expenses of further clinical trials. Also, we know that they won't be pulling in revenues from IPLEX sales to the short stature market, don't argue with me, argue with the lousy sales figures, look for yourself and be realistic.
So by Q1 2007, INSM will have approximately 160,000,000 shares o/s. I predict PPS will be sub $1. Let's take a safe guess and predict INSM starts selling IPLEX heavily for other future indications and breaks even in 2010. That will leave a 3-4 year gap for further dilution. Issuing 60 million shares each year for 3-4 years, so 3.5 years, will mean an additional 210,000,000 shares. So roughly a total of 400,000,000 shares o/s by the time INSM becomes a breakeven company. With 400 million shares, a billion dollar market cap would equate to a $2.50 PPS.
This is not even taking into consideration the compounding effects of dilution and PPS and even offering more than 60,000,000 shares on an annual basis. I'm just saying that INSM can become a billion dollar corporation, but even if they do, you'd be lucky to see a $2 PPS. I personally feel that INSM needs new management. Their ability to do science is great but they are not the best business men, especially when it comes to financing.
About Injunction:
Your post is completely off and skewed from the truth.
#1 Doesn't matter
#2 Doesn't matter if drug is better, this is a legal issue not science.
#3 Doesn't matter, thousands of companies have batch problems, you speak like they aren't capable of manufacturing it at all.
#4 Says who? Just because they pull off IPLEX from the market is not a disservice. How is it a disservice when there is an FDA approved substitute for the same indication? You want to argue Increlex is dangerous? Then argue with the FDA.
The matter of injunction is law and business. It absolutely does not matter that IPLEX is better. You guys are taking injunction way too lightly. I'm just trying to warn other potential buyers that the price is going down from here. Way overvalued right now.
B/C
#1 Revenue forecasts way off. Short stature market shows to be unprofitable
#2 Dilution of most likely 50-60 million shares to dilute shares o/s
#3 REAL possibility of injunction
chem24_2000
I see that you've been posting on ihub for a month. My body is still readjusting back after my trip from Europe. I just started looking at INSM again. I'm not surprised to see us at a standstill for the time being.
I wanted to ask you:
1) When was the time frame for Iplex's product launch?
2) And when is Increlex's product scheduled to launch?
Also, I've been playing a lot of poker over here.
XXXXX XXX
Starboy, I hope you've been doing well. I see your still on the IDWD board. Get yourself out of that mess.
Heads up. Ticker Symbol: INSM
INSM will either double or triple in 10-12 days.
Don't say I didn't warn you.
Hector
SUWN with bird flu treatment in addition to their other core competencies, positive EPS, I would have to say 200-300% ROI in weeks not months. 50% ROI very likely, easily. No sweat. Earnings out in 2 weeks, numbers WILL be good. Listen to their interview, practically gave it away, I don't blame him, he's a Chinese scientist and doesn't know what to say/what not to say at an American interview, lol.
Liquidity not an issue. 7 million shares traded at $0.23-$0.26. That's almost $2 million worth traded today. Average volume keeps getting bigger.
Bid/Asks are not wild, but still OTCs, you know how it is.
Check it out.
USDC agreed to distribute Stevia and that will be their 2nd product. Looks like someone has faith in them.
Yes, I would advise you to listen to the broadcast. Looks like we're here early.
Earnings in 2 weeks? Did I hear it correct from that Chinese man from the broadcast? Looks like their fiscal year ends April and their 10Q will be released in first week of Dec. according to the Chinese exec.
It's funny how he basically stated that Stevia sales are up.
Funny. See you all at $1
SUWN $0.20 PPS $0.05 Earnings Per Share. Question, did I hear it right from that Chinese man from the broadcast... "the 10Q will be out in 2 weeks"? That's from 11/17.
So it will be out first week of Dec.? Their fiscal year ends April, so looks like we'll get numbers soon.
He basically gave away insider info. He commented the reason why Stevia was down this Q and basically said, this Q's numbers are going to be awesome.
Funny.
Excellent Broadcast:
listen to this presentation of SUWN
http://www.investorcalendar.com/CustomEvent/conferences/arch_investment/111705/index.htm
Yes, the potential here is amazing. Lots of money to be made.
SUWN, has the treatment for the bird flu, has the product for the artificial sweetner, and the vet. market. I'm very excited about this company because China is progressing.
Seems like China is a very lucrative market. This will look like CESV.
Let's get some more posters here.
I bought in suwn b/c i know it will be a good company in the mid/long term. They have the products for the bird flu and sweetners. And China is progressing fast.
They'll mimick cesv imho.
Lots of money to be made there. They're trading at a P/E ratio of under 10. Watch the money to be made.
what do you mean 5 million more shares to go?
I just got in today.
New Stock:
Bought IDWS at $0.15 and sold at $0.40s. Bought and made a boatload. Anyone who's familiar with this board can attest to that.
I would not recommend buying IDWD. Too risky. Come join me in CESV. I just got in today. P/E ratio is nearly 6. They are a high growth company and making $0.75 a share.
CESV earnings are out, I believe mid Nov. This should be their strongest quarter. Stock is extremely cheap right now. Around $4.20. I'm expecting this to be $6 to $7. near Jan. 50-75% ROI in 3 months, would not be bad.
Hope to see you there.
WEX is severely undervalued. I can't believe we're floating around with a P/E ratio of 7. This is screaming undervalued.
Our market cap is $13 million and we're on tracking to having revenues of $30 million this year.
Clear indication that this is undervalued.
Bought WEX threw out IDWD:
I threw out IDWD because there's a fairly good chance that they're BullShitting. At that price level, it's not worth it to find out.
I wanted a safer play so I went with WEX. P/E Ratio of 6. Unbelievable. EPS of $0.50.
I wish everyone the best~
I have bigger fish to fry. I'm still interested in HISC more than IDWD for the time being. And I am particularly interested in one other stock.
I still do have an eye on IDWD. I'll be waiting to hear how the dividend plays out. For me personally, it's too risky at these levels, $0.40-$0.50.
Also, it worked out better for me anyways. I got into HISC at $0.07 and now it went up nearly 35% for me. From my exit at IDWD, at $0.39, it's up about 25% from that point. Nearly the same so I'm not kicking myself at all.
I was pleasantly satisfied with my 250% ROI in 2.5 months withn IDWD. I will be involved with IDWD once again if the circumstances are right. I have a feeling they will be. We'll see soon enough.
Good finds. If WEX gets beaten down more tomorrow, I will definitely jump in. If it goes up, forget it.
That was a funny shake out. Very funny. I just discovered WEX 15 minutes ago. Hopefully I'll get in tomorrow. Is there anything I should know about that company?
All I know is that they might not be able to renegotiate with that client. And also the decrease was due to lackluster performance. But I believe it was good, but not great. But still, the expectations must have been way too high for that kind of drop.
We'll see tomorrow. Any comments? I'd love to hear them.
Any new plays in BB/penny world?
I'd love to hear them.
yea, i suspect idwd to drop significantly soon. Maybe I'm wrong. But if I'm right, I'll wait for blood then take advantage. We'll see.
Starboy, what's your take on HISC? I see that you've been traveling in and out of HISC just as I have. Of course each time making money. Feel free to private message me if you don't want to share publicly.
I feel the most attractive positive qualities are:
*Move to the BBs
*Strong Sales Forecast
*Reputable Management
*Audited Financials are legit
*Profitability
*Share Buy-Back
*Product Line
I feel the strongest negatives include:
*Too much reliance on CyberTracker
*Perhaps too optimistic/unrealistic sales forecasts
*Unpredictability (after all this is still a PK)
But the more positive qualities is what makes me come back for more. This is all a risk/reward and pros vs. cons game after all. My time horizon for stocks are short. Very short. I see a long term investment as a few months. And I have absolutely no loyalty to a stock/any stock. That's how you get killed.
Do I see this at $1. Probability states no. But then again it's improbable not impossible. I can definitely see this in the $0.14 range again. I see mid $0.20s for a brief period as a strong possibility. This is all of course, in a short time frame. 6 months from now, whole new story, whole new discussion.
I'd probably get out at low $0.20 with a 200% ROI. I just got back in few days ago after IDWS. But hey, I'll settle for a 100% ROI if we see teens again. We'll see.
Just trying to be realistic. But then again, this is PKs, unpredictability can go both ways. With new information, my targets may change for the better or worse. Time will tell.
Chuckermfla,
I see IDWD as a good stock. I chose to transfer all my funds into HISC because it's my personal opinion that it will be a better play.
Why? Because HISC is going to the BBs. Which means filings, less risk, and of course... a bump in the PPS.
I had doubts about HISC bearing fruit on the cyber tracker. But now I see that they are serious about it and it looks as if things will pull through. Glad to be back here.
I used to have a position in HISC so I am well familiar with this one. Of course I have to give my thanks to IDWS, because it allowed me to triple the shares of HISC I am holding right now than I was 2.5 months ago. So I am very thankful for how IDWS played out for me.
The real reason I got out is simple. Pure greed. I'm betting this plays out better and faster than IDWD.
Do you hold a position here?
Hey Laptop, I just got out of IDWS to put all my funds into HISC.
I see IDWS staying flat or trending downward until further clarification is made about the audit. Just my opinion.
I see HISC as a safer and better investment for the time being. I am looking forward to the HISC conference call and what new news or updates that will bring.
It's good to be back into HISC.
How big do you think the short position is Humbletrader?
I've seen the volume trade 1-2 million on some days last week. The float is 2.5 million. There's no chance in hell that the whole float will trade over. Most of the true float is most likely unreal/shorted shares.
The short position is clearly in the millions. Possibly ten to tens of millions? I'm suspecting it might be. These bashers are clearly paid. Their employers must be going insane and pressing them hard.
You're right a massive short position exists.
I agree with your post humbletrader: "But if the continued bashing keeps up, I have not many other choices but to assume that my original suspicions of a gigantic short position out there is most probably true. "
These bashers are here for a reason. I would suspect that a massive short position exists. I never believed in "paid bashers" until I became involved with this stock. Other bashers on other boards bash for fun.
These bashers are clearly paid. It is non-stop. They occupy this board 24/7 and quickly respond within minutes to any positive posts. You must question their constant presence.
They are obviously on the clock. I'm suspecting on time and a half for many.
995ad.com ranking increased again. This is excellent news. Check it out for yourself. Ranking went up to 97,221 for the three month average. This is up approximately 9,700 sites. Very good trend. The move up is excellent and steady.
Officers own restricted shares. Read the press releases. It's in black and white. In fact, there's a PR which states that none of the officers have sold. Obviously bashers know this but are in fact... PLAINLY love to lie. It's not even a twist, statements like that are flat-out lies.
Goes to show you how little bashers know. Perhaps their reading comprehension is just poor. Can't blame them.
This proves that officers have not sold. Ha. How are you going to respond to that?
Datatech should not be in jail. She was only fending off the party of bashers that were sent here by their employers. I don't understand why all these bashers get to spew nonsense and people who have genuine knowledge, information, and DD get jailed. It shouldn't be this way.
Bashers are clogging up and making this board go to hell.
I can't believe how much money IDWS is going to make me. I've already made a boatload and continue looking forward to the rest of the truckload that's awaiting.
We've only just begun the start upwards. The price is very elastic. We were at $1.25 when IDWS began trading. Guess where we're headed to. Above and beyond? I think so.
Bashers can say what they want. I'm still getting a $1 dividend very soon.
And can you guys believe these bashers? Seriously. What is up with these guys. You don't think they're here just for our sake do you. Look how hard they're trying and quickly they're sitting here waiting to respond. It's kind of funny what kind of odd jobs there are in America. But then again, maybe these guys are outsourced bashers. HAHAHAHA.
Bashers out on full force. Obviously here for a reason. They claim they own no stock. They're here to "guide us" and enlighten us and save us.
How funny. I really wonder what they're pay is. Can't be more than $9 an hour. But then again, they receive time and a half for desperate situations such as these.
Tell your employers they better cover because they're about to get squeezed.
Bill Gates was arrested, here's his mugshot:
http://www.mugshots.org/misc/bill-gates.html
Oh no, we all better sell MSFT. He must be a thief... OMG.
George Bush was also arrested a long time ago. Oh no, our country is screwed now.