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A move to your $10 year end prediction would be a welcome start.
Very impressive analysis.
Where did you get your experience in Biotech acquisitions?
“All of my predictions come true one way or another.”
No doubt!
Did you learn not to make stock price predictions after your major miss last week?
You mean the rule to buy back on any $0.10 drop?
I'm sure that OFP can tell her why she is mistaken.
Do you think we'll hit your "Monday 5.20's" prediction in the next 15 minutes?
Keep working it!!!
You got me believing!!
Work it baby!! Work it!!!
fait accompli.
.
[?fed ?käm'ple, ?fad ?käm'ple]
NOUN
.
a thing that has already happened or been decided before those affected hear about it, leaving them with no option but to accept it.
"the results were presented to shareholders as a fait accompli"
Perhaps you misspoke. I'm not sure how there would be a different interpretation of what you said.
So you don’t see BTD as essentially a guarantee of approval as does FRROL?
OK. Forget about making a price prediction. Would you consider a BTD a catalyst?
Is there any commission charged when you trade mythical shares?
What happens with the stock price with a BTD that could occur as early as February, as frrol has indicated is a reasonable possibility?
Frrol would appear to give a caveat to your "no meaningful catalysts" for the next 6+ months?
"I suspect the FDA is going to want to see the AVATAR trial (more data, and at higher dose for dose dependency effect), which is months away. And if results are good, and supportive of the US trial, we could see early approval for adults. It's also possible that in the interim we get BTD based on the US trial results, and which would make early approval (post-AVATAR) an almost fait accompli.
From the way the company is talking, I suspect we have applied for BTD (or submitting soon), so it's something to watch for around Feb/Mar."
Do you think that investors are smart enough to assess the broad meaning of a BTD that could happen as early as February? If BTD is essentially equal to approval, what does that do to the stock price as early as February?
Wrong!! After a meaningless conference where as you say, they rehash the same old garbage the price was 4.25 on 2/11. A week later it was up near $6. The conference that you mocked back then drove the stock price a week later?
And doesn’t the price always rise in anticipation and always crash after a conference?
Funny!
Nonsense!!!!!
There was no conference at that time.
What does that have to do with your predictions?
The stock price was $3.58 on 2/5, a few days after that announcement. There was no other news, no conferences. There was no other news until the end of the February. The stock prce rose to around $6 around 2/18. What drove that rise? It certainly did not appear to be the 2/3 announcement.
If that is the case, why were you predicting a stock price of $10 by the end of the year months ago?
The question is valid. You imply a catalyst is needed to drive the stock price. If that is true, what was the short term catalyst that drove that price movement back in February? There was nothing on the short term horizon back in February.
That’s a non-answer.
There was none.
What was the near term catalyst last February when the price made a significant run before the pandemic sent the market crashing?
How much do you think the families were being paid for their positive observations?
Raja, you are on a roll today!
Be wary of confirmation bias.
Bio,
That post has as fine a finish as any from my Rare Malts collection!
You rock Bro!!!
Kudos to Biostock! You had the guts not to straddle the fence. The only thing bigger than your "AI Thingy" are your balls.
At least someone has some.
Still needs to play out, but I'm liking our chances.
Has two years passed already Bob?
Dr. Leo Marvin
Let me be the first to tell you that I will miss you these next two years. I have really appreciated your insight. I just hope someone can fill the void, remind me that there is nothing to see here for considerable time to come and to keep me grounded. Best wishes to you and see you in a couple!!!!
During what period did George Perry serve on the Anavex SAB?
Would the company’s legal council advise against a press release with baseless claims that would drive 6,000,000 shares to change hands?
Would the company not follow the advice?
You’re not connecting dots, are you?
Funny, I didn’t suggest one way or the other..
Does that mean that my Anavex lump of coal will be bigger than yours?
That must have been one hell of a job interview especially with a candidate that understands the sector and the indications being pursued.
“We’re really not sure if we need you. We will know in the next couple of weeks. 90%+ of drugs fail in this arena. Hope you are not leaving a solid position to come aboard here, but we’d like you to start pronto. Pay no attention to the deadlines that we missed.”
“Thank you so much. I accept.”
“unfortunately, if you are not smart enough to decline, we would not want you.
Exceptionally done Bio. And all without condescending sarcasm. How refreshing!