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Frank Blunt
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hey china !! 
are you 'out' too ?
waiting for that lower re-buy-in ?
this could be nearly as good as the $ 2.40 -to- $ 1.35 one !!!
at his point I'm expecting a gap-down open on Monday
in the $ 1.32 -to- $ 1.36 range, with likely a peek
below the $ 1.30 line before wed.
if it touches $ 1.24 at any point it should make the
'teens' price possible.
or, neil parker could do a press release about supporting
DC-Vax and pop that sucker up to $ 3.25 while I'm killing
my mouse button on the 'buy' screen !!! LOL ...
exactly... one of my hops-out was only across 4.5 cents giving me 192 free shares. I could have done that easily more than once a week if I were trading more aggressively...and that took only 2 hours ... in Commodities trading, this is a common strategy...
I almost got out today on the first pass down to $ 1.40, but I waited for the bounce and exited all shares at $ 1.43 AFTER I saw it penetrate the $ 1.40 on its initial run down to $ 1.36 ...
right now I'm out at $ 1.43,
with $ 814 profit on a $ 19,750 investment,
yeah, that's only a 4.2 % profit BUT !!!
4,481 of the 14,670 shares I sold today... I NEVER PAID FOR ...
( I had a $ 1.33 break even price on my core investment )
thanks to the earned shares !
so I had only bought 70% of the shares I sold. I earned the other shares by hopping over mini-downtrends while out of the market. I've always done that and always will.
my only goal once I decide to believe in a trading idea, is to get my break-even price as low as possible... I do that by dollar cost averaging my entry with multiple purchases as it is dropping 'if' it does that, and also by getting free shares by hopping out during intra-day / Intra-week mini downtrends. although, once I was out for two weeks after exiting at $ 2.41, and re-buying in at $ 1.35. that was SWEET !!!!
so, I'm dreaming about $ 0.96 re-buy-in of 21,368 shares !!!
leaving me at an even 50% free shares ! go 96 ! go 96 !
thanks a lot for that link. I always try to post links
also, for others that might be trying to keep up
is it common to say "keep up" to the people on these
forums that do not have a data chunk that I do ?
I am new to these things...
if everyone is expected to find a thing at the same time,
what is the point of these forums if we all know the
same thing at the same time ? what would we talk about ?
anyway. thanks TZOR
I expect anyone to block me who finds anything I ask / say
to be irritating since that is what that button is for
I suspect. I wish I had more time available for google
searches but I appreciate the links I find on here and
of course the time those save me.
I wish more people posted links as TZOR did.
then I wouldn't find myself on google so much trying
to verify something I was told on these forums ! LOL.
60 day, $3 warrants expire soon !
Chinatown , questions never bother me, and when I have time,
I always enjoy answering them. but not only is Social media
crippled by the absence of all the visual communication
cues we rarely notice face to face, but is too often
polluted with ill intent. that's why I sometimes do a two
part answer when I'm uncertain, which is often .
one in case they are genuinely curious and the other in
case they are otherwise. and nearly all the time, I "ask".
I would typically be reluctant to assume a person I know
nothing about is definitely experiencing a specific emotion.
only good poets are able to indicate such things in brief text.
about this oscillation period. One of the main tools
I use for a hop-out / in ... are trend lines, which require
a period of time to establish unfortunately. with calm
application it is not too hard to profit from the meaty
center of a trend in any direction, of any length without
much risk.
I almost never draw lines on Minute bars for indicating an
exit, but will often for a re-entry when already 'Out'.
right now, I am getting in / out 'conservatively' ...
I did one hop out / in successfully that was only a few
hours "out" ... only got 192 shares, but, it was part of
a multiday trend that I could realistically channel between
a couple of lines. but the lines I was using were over two
days long.
this down trend on the 'Day' bars, is about 6 months long and
it still hasn't completely pierced the roof of that channel.
which using my bars, is at about the $ 2.50 area.
I also am using multiple sets of trend lines, longer term
bars for exits, and shorter term bars for re-entry.
my goal is to earn another 10,000 free shares by sept.
there is also the issue of 'Price Compression' when this low
in value. meaning that going down a dime from 2.80 -to-
2.70 requires less 'compression' of value, than say going
down from 1.30 -to- 1.20 ... picture it like compressing a
sponge between your hands and changing its thickness as
a percentage from uncompressed, to current, while imagining
the logarithmic pressure curve differences to compress
from 70 - 65 % vs, 35 - 30% ...
so, I increase my skepticism and conservative-risk ratio
as prices get closer to 0% , than I use at say above $ 3.
if you private msg me your email, I send you the list of
all my entries and exits, including date-time, price
and share volume. and I'll explain how I ended up with a
$ 1.33 break even price and 30% free shares.
I don't mind privately validating that list with actual
screen grabs of my Ameritrade 'Transactions' screen, since,
honestly, that would not afford anyone the opportunity to
cause me any harm. and I'm certainly not embarrassed by
my trading decisions the last four months, LOL.
not to say I am unfamiliar with that shame a few times !
and i'll happily answer any 'why' questions that
you care to ask.
ps: Are you intending to ask me this again at
any future downwards oscillations ?
or just this one ?
I'd like time to actually prepare a
more educational response regarding
'two dimensional trading' if that's
a yes. since it is a topic I love
and enjoy discussing.
I've traded myself into 4,400 free shares since mid Jan.
I passed my series 7 exam in NC back in 1982 and worked
for a firm there. I'm not totally uneducated
and having made over 30% on this stock since new years.
I might be doing a few things correct. though, no one
is 100 % ... on one of my 5 hops in / out, I lost 466 shares
just a few weeks ago.
thanks for the heads up about my incorrect date.
and my vetting policy now includes all sources
I may not be reading posting anymore at 4am LOL...
even if my neighbor keeps me awake !
best regards !!!
how many million will NWBO get if those 60-day-warrants get converted into shares ? I remember reading that the 60 day warrant was for 5.88 million worth of shares at $ 3 ...
or in shares, about 1,960,000 shares ...
here's the mystery, how many of these 5.88 mil, 60 day
warrants were handed out to investors ?
you estimate about three ? what if it's six ? that
would be 12 million in shares for the dilution-math ...
or about a 10% Dilution, that drives the share value
down as we all know. ( 6 = $ 35 Mil. )
what if there are 12 of those warrant contracts ?
( 23,520,000 shares ... a 20% dilution then )
point is, nothing I read indicated how many of the
60 day warrant contracts were created.
if you saw text that indicated a definitive number,
please share the link . ooo ! 12 contracts = 70 Mil !!!
that would be 70 mil for NWBO, 20% off the share value
for holders. and I never thought long term investors
really will ulcerate over what a share price does
between the time they decided to have confidence in the
company and product, and the time they expect to hit
pay-dirt. unless you sell low, an interim low-share-price
is kinda meaningless.
so if we get diluted, at what start value to we put
into the calculator to dilute us from ???
if the newly freed up money woodruff just grabbed is
used to not just convert his warrant contract(s) but,
to also buy float shares ? hmmm, what happens to a price
when a large influx of buying happens for a couple of
weeks ? all the sellers get de-inventoried ?
many would switch from sellers to holders as the
ratio of buyers goes into the 20 / 1 ratio over sellers.
our float pool was barely 25ish percent of all shares
just before the last dilution, maybe 19% now ? that's
a tiny pond to a fund manager.
where will it peak to ? $4, $7, a dilution from $9.50
wouldn't make too many people cry LOL...
if I were woodruff, I'd buy float shares till there
were no more sellers left in that little pond, and when
the price hit about $ 10 a share, I'd trickle my new 60-day
shares into the float at a slow rate, and have my Feb
investment back in my hands after only about 90 days.
remember, the actively traded shares by us peasants
is not likely more than about 30 million shares. all the
rest are sitting long term in the hands of the primaries,
not being bought and sold regularly like ours are.
a kind of small pond really.
with woody looking at it with a hand full of big pond cash.
that's what I'm almost doing LOL ... no loans tho,
I hate debt. but I moved a chunk of my savings into the stock.
I learned about NWBO from my neighbor last Nov and bought my first 1,600 shares at $ 4.81 Last Nov 20th. since then I've gained 4,481 free shares from hopping off the oscillation peaks.
and from selling stuff I was already gonna sell anyways.
my Limo, my Portable welding business on a trailer, two boats...
( I'm not Duddly Moore in the Movie Arthur, the Limo was one of my many little jobs )
every time the price dropped enough for another buy-in to lower my 'Break-Even' point a healthy amount that's what I always do. my entire focus is on getting my break even price as low as possible... the rest takes care of itself.
I finally ended up with 14,462 shares partially from jumping out on down turning peaks and buying back in at the bottoms. 4,481 of my shares I didn't pay for so I have a $ 1.33 break even point.
it was a $ 1.15 break even but
I bought 4,439 shares at $ 1.62
when I sold my sailboat last week,
which moved my break even point up 17 cents.
my first peak-hop was in Feb.
I sold all my 5,750 shares on Feb 17 at $ 2.42, then,,,
Bought back in on the 29th at $ 1.86 for $ 7,400 shares with
zero added cash, free shares are the best shares !
then hopped back out again at $ 1.82 when the trend resumed that same afternoon to only buy back in again at $ 1.35 on Mar 16th.
ending me up with 10,067 shares. I was out over two weeks that time, right after the dilution... that was my "dilution payoff'.
- trading the way I do, stock dilution is just another payday.
except dilution downtrends are the most reliable ones of all.
I exited again on march 23rd at $ 1.456 then back in on Mar 28th at $ 1.426 giving me another measly 192 free shares for a new total of 10,259 ... only a 3 cents profit on that mini hop.
then another hop for less than a day on Mar 30th exiting at
$ 1.496 and reentering that afternoon at $ 1.434 yielding another 438 free shares, ( total 10,697 ) only a 6.4 cents hop.
but I lost those on Apr 5th on a mistaken downtrend ...
( - 466 shares )
then I put my sailboat money in last week. I'm gonna keep hopping in / out most certainly. I want to earn as many shares as possible before the sept fda report deadline. my goal is to gain at least another 6,000 shares by then.
since I'm sitting on 30% free shares I'm stoked.
if I could get my printing business sold for the $ 4,200 it is listed for, I'd dump that in there also !
if I keep my 85% successful "Hop Ratio' going,
I should have over 20,000 shares by sept,
and a break even price of about 97 cents / share ...
if woodford buys float shares, ( it will be a lot so not a lot of detective work will be needed ) , then when he's done making the $ 3 warrants profitably convertible into returned-investment, followed by trickling those shares back into the float market, that would be a good hop for me !
they have to get the share price far enough above the $3 warrant price, to not only return their recent investment, but also for room for the share price to absorb them returning 6 ?, 12 ?, 20 ?, million shares back into the float pool without getting below their aggregate profit target share price.
well, "IF" that is what happens of course ...
we should know in about 8 days.
a press release about the Parker institute supporting DC-Vax would certainly help out. since two of the six listed centers on the Parker-press-release ARE DC-Vax sites.
very nice list / post !!!
about the vague video info ...
if this was intentionally constructed to imply that
big deals are afoot, the goal is to fluff the price for
the quick-pay, 60-day warrants recently dispersed,
as to not disappoint the small remaining investors
pool willing to invest in NWBO. there will be another
inference if this one fails to make a $ 3 warrant
valuable. they will need between $ 3.50 / 4.25 to
make the 60 day warrants worth the time of the
investors who recently accepted them.
when the warrants are converted at $ 3 / share
divided by 5.88 million ? ( about 1.9 mil new shares )
per contract issued, ( how many contracts ? ) ???
there will be some small additional dilution from
that. I expect a 30% retracement from the point the
60 day / $ 3 warrants are converted into shares.
--- that's my suspicion at this point.
AI
