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megamom. of course we know that "late spring" is an equivalent term for news releases "fast and furious" after LU verification - or "soon".
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An "ignore" feature would sure be nice here at I-Hub.
eom
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email from john howell 7/2, about the possibility of talks with Qwest:
"As you have no doubt gleaned from following our progress over the past year, the telecommunications industry is a very established, highly integrated industry. As a group, they do not make changes easily or quickly. However, in light of the demand for changes that will be inflicted on that staid
industry as a result of the broadband revolution, those that are in that arena that can make decisions and adapt quickly will be the ones to thrive in the future. In both the equipment manufacturing and the service provider sectors, there are a handful of players with that aggressive visionary attitude. Those are the ones that will be the early adopters of our
technology. From all that we have learned about Qwest, they would have to be included in that visionary group."
John Howell
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A quote from a book:
In Schwager's "The New Market Wizards," he lists 42 observations regarding success in trading.
"From number 28, called Learn to be Disloyal: "Loyalty may be a virtue in family, friends, and pets, but it is a fatal flaw for a trader. Never have loyalty to a position. The novice trader will have lots of loyalty to his original position. He will ignore signs that he is on the wrong side of the market, riding his trade into a large loss while hoping for the best. The
experienced trader, having learned the importance of money management, will exit quickly once it is apparent he has made a bad trade. However, a truly skilled trader will be able to do a 180-degree turn, reversing his position at a loss if market behavior points to such a course of action."
Conclusions: Experienced traders understand losing, or unprofitable trades, comes with the territory. The best way to preserve capital, or the application of sound money management, is to simply take a small loss early.
The less you lose, the more money you get to keep for the next opportunity. Also, by limiting losses to small ones, you can continue to bet until you hit a wining streak.
Possessing the humility to reverse a losing position if market conditions warrant such a decision separates the average traders from the superior traders. Let's say you went long too late on a position in a stock at the very point when the market turned. Conversely, you sold short at the very point when the market in the stock went bullish. If you take the loss quickly and then reverse the position to get on the correct side of a prevailing trend, you allow yourself the opportunity to turn a loss into a net profit."
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From Steve Harmon's Broadband News Hotline:
"Hotline: Profit Taking Slows Tech Stocks; Keep Stop-Loss Orders In Place.
Last year Warren Buffett likened the market euphoria to swimming naked. Well, this time around you at least need a Speedo or thong. In this Hotline we reiterate the 20% stop-loss protection.
As NASDAQ drops today on profit taking, we've seen this movie before: profit-taking after a substantial run in share prices the past two weeks. Starring investors who want more catalysts and don't have any clear ones given the economic data and the Federal Reserve's rate cuts.
It's profit taking in a market pause.
The first to take the hit are the fiber stocks since they often ran the most. We expect to see sideways or small trading range movement in NASDAQ, as the key barometer of the summer holding pattern. Summer is traditionally slow in technology but also a good time to carefully sift the opportunities.
In our analysis, the Federal Reserve rate cuts and President Bush's tax cuts won't likely be felt at the trickle-down level until fourth quarter 2001 at a minimum. While Wall Street priced in the cuts in the latest tech stock surge, we see the orders for new equipment, switches, chips, photonics processors, routers
and networking solutions won't likely start showing up until 2002. Real-world buying and selling doesn't move in Wall Street, Internet or CNBC time.
The coming buying frenzy for equipment to make networks faster, content multimedia and commerce instantaneous are all closer than we think but easy to ignore when the market has days like today.
The market has its Yin and its Yang. So we take a bit of both this time around. That's why it's important to think long term but keep trading techniques in place to protect portfolios. For those of you new here that means at a minimum have the 20% stop-loss order on each stock. This has its risk also since you could be stopped out on a wild trading day that swoons down and then soars up.
Using stop-loss orders means more work -- suggest your broker doing it, and make them accountable for doing it so no mistakes are made -- but also means more sleep at night knowing you're not naked to the market.
After each trading day or big run if stocks rise then set the stop loss 20% below the closing price per share that day. Ratchet up the stop-loss order so that
gains are locked in."
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Steve Harmon's Broadband News email monthly letter link. 30 day free trial. http://www.investools.com/c/server.pl/Newsletters/BRBN
Here's his list of 20 stocks in what he calls the Harmon Broadband
Commerce Index.
AKAM, ARBA, BEAS, BVSN, CHKP, CMRC, EMC, EXDS, IBM, INKT, ITWO, KANA, MSFT, NTAP, ORCL, SEBL, VITR, VRSN, VRTS, WEBM
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Telecom technology crams more data into copper wires.
Who can run a data-intensive business with 36 employees using only one phone line?
http://www.oregonlive.com/technw/oregonian/index.ssf?/technw/oregonian/fn_21vodsl30.frame
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Email Exchange Today with John Howell:
Sent: Wednesday, May 02, 2001 10:49 AM
To: jhowell@newvisual.com
Subject: Plans for Nasdaq Listing?
hi john,
Is there a company plan in place to get NVEI off of the OTC
and onto the Nasdaq? A plan to get the shareprice over $4
for the requisite 30 days?
Lot's of shareholders feel very in the dark these days about
what's going or not going on. Can more communication happen
between you guys and shareholders?
thanks,
richard
__
Richard,
Thank you for your continued interest in developments at New Visual. As we move forward on developing products using our proprietary transmission technique, we will make announcements regarding significant events. We are also working on implementing improved communications in addition to
significant press releases.
John Howell
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Encouraging Message from John Howell: In response to an email
query I sent to him on Friday.
part of my emaiL:
"hi john,
are you still confident that our tech will be well-received
by the marketplace?
his response this morning 4/23:
"Richard,
I am more confident than ever that our solution to the last mile dilema will find a very warm reception.
John Howell"
-----Original Message-----
From: Richard Barager [mailto:richard_lmt@yahoo.com]
Sent: Friday, April 20, 2001 4:12 PM
To: jhowell@newvisual.com
Subject: Seeking some reassurance about future developments
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The relationship between FH and NVEI is definitely synergistic. Their ability to promote whomever will be greatly enhanced by CU@OCx.
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Response to my market cap question:
"Richard,
In the VCall the question was asked, as you just have asked, what is a projection of our future market cap? Without any evidence to answer the question, it was answered by comparing where we fit into the telco market by looking at others who had recently entered that market. It was noted that Juniper and Sycamore and Broadcom were players in the broadband sector but
didn't offer a technology as far reaching as New Visual was proposing. It was left to the listener to speculate what our market cap could someday be as compared to the other players. Over time, we do expect to make significant contributions, as these previously mentioned companies have.
Will we have a similar market cap? Who knows? It remains with you to speculate as to whether our last mile solution will add value to the existing infrastructure and how the investment community will value that contribution."
John Howell
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This morning I sent the following email to John Howell. Next week I'll post here with whatever response he sends back to me.
My email to JH:
"Good Morning John,
During the VCall Interview with Dody H at the beginning of NVEI's
relationship with CCEC, Ray (publiclly) compared NVEI's future market cap potential to Juniper and Sycamore. The numbers $10 - $15 billion were suggested.
Now that we are experiencing a massive nasdaq meltdown and bear market, what is the current management thinking about likely eventual market cap for NVEI?
Is it still reasonable to expect NVEI to exceed $2 billion in market cap? I assume it's not an SEC violation for you to conjecture about this as the original conjectures were public.
If you can't, or choose not to speculate, I'll understand. Just fishing for clues here."
richard
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In February "megamom" posted a conversation with John H. where he was quoted as saying, "after the LU verification PR's would be coming 'fast and furious'. Is this "fast and furious" something like "soon"?
Frankly I'm VERY tired of language such as this being used by management with intent that SEEMS to me to be manipulative toward shareholder emotions.
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Excuse me Greg. Meant to say I don't look at WS numbers often.
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Greg, yesterday's volume at Webstreet was the same as posted on Askresearch - 611,900 shares traded. I look at Webstreet's numbers except while I'm making a trade. Askresearch.com gives me RT charts and T & S for $25 per month.
richard
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Here's a link to an article about VDSL. Below is the introductory
paragraph.
"The VDSL Experience
Very high speed DSL, like Jimi Hendrix's guitar work, arrived before its time. Hopefully, unlike Jimi Hendrix, the companies selling VDSL will survive to be appreciated. But beware the cold distance, the hour is getting late."
http://www.isp-planet.com/technology/2001/vdsl.html
richard
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Good morning folks. familyinvestor quoted the following thought
: "Isaacson said that until new business models evolve replacing the "mantra" that things on the Internet should be free, he doesn't expect much progress in the Internet as entertainment medium."
I don't understand this line of thinking. TV as we know it is mostly free (if you disregard your cable bill and PPV). Even though mostly free to consumers, TV generates plenty of revenue for the networks thru advertising.
If I was able to watch a streaming event life on the net, I wouldn't click through the ads any differently than I do on TV at present.
richard
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Pengy, in reference to your RB post alluding to the fact that the writer isn't "thinking outside of the box".
It's incumbent upon John & Rich & Ray and the new PR firm to make sure that reporters are given enough information so that they can catch the vision of what's possible with this tech.
Perhaps we as shareholders can help management to be better communicators to the world. It's simply not fair nor reasonable to expect Ray and John and Rich to be as expert in communications as they are in technology.
richard
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Beta testing of the New Wheel technology is a perk we would all enjoy as shareholders and "early adopters" of this new tech. I suppose a license agreement between NVEI and our local telcos and/or ISPzz would be required for us to get in on early testing. Any thoughts out there about this possibility?
richard