SERVING GOD, FAMILY, AND COUNTRY!
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
you have a good name
10 investing rules tailor-made for tough markets
Now's a gGood time for a refresh of a timely set of rules from a former Wall Street strategist, Bob Farrell, who pioneered the technical analysis of stock movements. Farrell also broke new ground using investor sentiment figures to better understand how markets and individual stocks might move.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-investing-rules-tailor-made-for-tough-markets-2011-08-17?pagenumber=1
FERS, FERS-RAE, FERS-FRAE… What Does All This Mean?
http://www.fedsmith.com/2014/04/07/fers-fers-rae-fers-frae-what-does-all-this-mean/
200 SMA = 200-period simple moving average
OT: Masters Pool
The 2014 Masters Pool is now open for business!!!
http://investorshub.advfn.com/Golfs-Major-Championships-GMC-2442/
1. You pick 5 players for the tournament. You can only pick 1 player from the top 5 in the world ranking. The top 5 are Woods, Scott, Stenson, Day and Mickelson.
You must also pick a tie breaker total score...even par for the 4 rounds is 288.
2. Teams must be submitted prior to the first group teeing off on Thursday April 10th.
3. Must have fun
4. The winner will be the team with the highest total dollar total at the end of the Tournament.
5. Points will be deducted for spelling mistakes and poor punctuation.
6. All of Fred's decisions are final.
7. No gimmees or mulligans allowed.
8. Void where prohibited.
9. Late entries will be allowed but you can only pick from players that have not teed off.
Dark Market
Check out the extent of the dark market...
http://news.yahoo.com/dark-markets-may-more-harmful-high-frequency-trading-122620667--sector.html
Amex Institutional Index
The AMEX Institutional Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 75 stocks most widely held as equity investments among institutional equity portfolios. The index is designed to reflect the performance of their core stock holdings.
Many of you know that following what Institutional Investors are doing is critically important for investors. With over 50% of all the daily volume coming from Institutional Investors each day, it makes them the "big guns" in the stock market. Going against them is always a bad idea ... if they are selling and you are buying, you will lose the game.
One thing for sure ... if the Institutional Index is not "on the way up", then the rest of the market is NOT going to be "on the way up" without them.
One thing I like about the Institutional core holdings index, is that it can't get manipulated. And because of that, technical analysis levels are usually "right on" ... just like in the old days.
John Murphy's Analysis of 4 Apr 14 Market Action
http://stockcharts.com/members/analysis/20140405-1.html
Thanks Ed :)
Hi Ed,
Who do you see as the cannabis industry leader?
Perry
John Murphy's Analysis of C Fund
S&P 500 UPTREND IS OVERBOUGHT
Although the trend in the S&P 500 is still up, some weekly indicators raise some short-term concerns. One is the fact that the 14-week RSI has touched overbought territory at 70 and is slighty lower than its fourth quarter peak. That potential "negative divergence" suggests that the uptrend is overextended. The weekly MACD lines overlaid the on the weekly prices are also at a critical spot f[color=red][/color]or the SPX. After turning down during January, two lines are still negative. As I suggested in a February message, for the uptrend in the S&P 500 to have staying power, the weekly MACD lines need to turn positive. The current position of two lines shows that an important technical test of the market's uptrend is taking place. A failure of the two weekly lines to cross would increase the odds for a market pullback. The green bars below the chart show the MACD histogram testing its zero line. The histogram needs a crossing above zero to reverse the negative signal given during January.
Hi RW,
At the time I made my decision C and I had the best relative performance among C, I, and S. I wanted to keep some powder dry for the next retracement and S was the loser.
Good luck RW!
I'm going in today as follows:
G 30%
C 40%
S none
I 30%
John Murphy's Take on the Markets, 8 Feb 14
http://stockcharts.com/members/analysis/20140208-1.html
Amex Institutional Index
The AMEX Institutional Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 75 stocks most widely held as equity investments among institutional equity portfolios. The index is designed to reflect the performance of their core stock holdings. The XII was developed with a base value of 125 as of June 24, 1986. ***Effective on May 19, 1998 there was a 2-1 split of the index value. Components are shown here at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/cp?s=^XII
Many of you know that following what Institutional Investors are doing is critically important for investors. With over 50% of all the daily volume coming from Institutional Investors each day, it makes them the "big guns" in the stock market. Going against them is always a bad idea ... if they are selling and you are buying, you will lose the game.
One thing for sure ... if the Institutional Index is not "on the way up", then the rest of the market is NOT going to be "on the way up" without them.
One thing I like about the Institutional core holdings index, is that it can't get manipulated. And because of that, technical analysis levels are usually "right on" ... just like in the old days.
Did the NYA Index breach its support?
Unfortunately, yes.
Its not a good sign, even with the Fed trying to hold the market up for the sake of the economy. Today's NYA chart shows the breach, and that will pose a problem for the Fed this week.
Historically, new Fed chairpersons are always tested when they come into their new positions. Janet Yellen starts today, so this could be a volatile week.
Please click on the link below for today's complete commentary and chart:
http://www.stocktiming.comMonday-DailyMarketUpdate.htm
Marty Chenard
StockTiming.com
2806 Byrd Road
Morganton, NC 28655
>Tel: 828-296-1200<
Heads Up F Fund Investors
Are Bonds in Trouble?
Last week, we commented that Richard Fisher's (of the Dallas Fed. Reserve) said that the Fed should cut bond buying activity fast ... even if the stock market tumbles.
Why mention this again?
Because Mohamed El-Erian just announced that he will be leaving PIMCO in mid March. You have to wonder why he's leaving. Just a week ago, he commented that PIMCO was ready to push harder on the equity asset side (worried about bond yields?). Did that create a division of loyalty or conviction between Gross and El-Erian? It was Gross who commented that El-Erian would take over his spot when he retired (he's 69 now).
Putting the two events together (Fisher and El-Erian ... aka the Fed and PIMCO) makes you wonder if there is a connection that you should be concerned about?
_______________________________________________
Today's posted chart takes a look at the 30 year Bond yields. The recent low was made in July of 2012 and the yields have been up trending up since then ... in spite of the Fed.
Note the current battle ground where the resistance and the support are converging on each other. The current concern is about which way the 30 year yields will break ... to the upside or downside? Bernanke is pushing for the downside, but Fisher is saying whoa ... we are getting into bubble territory. This should have bond investors concerned with their antenna up.
_______________________________________________
Please click on the link below for today's complete commentary and chart:
http://www.stocktiming.com/Wednesday-DailyMarketUpdate.htm
The incredible gold-interest rate correlation
by Mark Hulbert
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-incredible-gold-interest-rate-correlation-2014-01-22
Art's Market Message for 17 Jan 14
-------------------------------------
-- SMALL-CAPS AND LARGE-TECHS LEAD THE MARKET
-- AD LINE AND AD VOLUME LINE BREAK OUT TO NEW HIGHS
-- REVISITING A LONG-TERM TARGET FOR GOLD
-- DOLLAR CHALLENGES KEY LEVEL
-- SEASONALITY FOR S&P 500, GOLD, OIL, DOLLAR AND TREASURIES
-------------------------------------
http://stockcharts.com/members/videos/20140117-1/
Market Bulls Should Consider These Charts
http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/lance-roberts/market-bulls-should-consider-these-charts
Recommended TSP Timing Service
Our bud, coolhand, has launched his TSP advisory service--congrats Jim!
Check it out @ http://www.tsptalk.com/coolhand.php
Best of luck coolhand!
Thanks RW.
I didn't get in as the follow thru from Tuesday was tepid. Let's see what happens on Thursday a.m.
If I see decisive strength, I'm in as follows: 30% I, 50% S, and 20% C. These percentages are based on relative strength analysis among our stock choices.
May the Force be with you RW.
I'm considering moving back into stock funds on Wednesday myself. Let's see what happens Wednesday a.m.