I wonder who's planning on taking Bbry? Microsoft is out of the pictures as they bought out Nokia. I guess it's IBM.

Looks like it's going down again

Thanks Mr green

Bbry going north

Man with bbry I dont understand this stock at all. They are sellig phone s world wide and stating that its one of the best phones and still stock is sitting at 14.40-15.25. I am just waiting for it to hit 17 again so I can sell it and get out. Rather investbin bdsm

Noe its at -.48

Download a tool called stock tracker give you accurate market value

Wow stocks down pre market .45

QuoteIndex

Research In Motion Ltd (BBRY): Today's Featured Technology Winner

By TheStreet Wire -?06/18/13 - 5:00 PM EDTTickers in this article:?BBRYEditor's Note: TheStreet ratings do not represent the views of TheStreet's staff or its contributors. Ratings are established by computer based on metrics for performance (which includes growth, stock performance, efficiency and valuation) and risk (volatility and solvency). Companies with poor cash flow or high debt levels tend to earn lower ratings in our modelResearch in Motion?(BBRY) pushed the Technology sector higher today making it today's featured technology winner. The sector as a whole closed the day up 1.0%. By the end of trading, Research in Motion rose $0.54 (3.8%) to $14.84 on average volume. Throughout the day, 31,681,239 shares of Research in Motion exchanged hands as compared to its average daily volume of 31,857,100 shares. The stock ranged in a price between $14.26-$15.00 after having opened the day at $14.32 as compared to the previous trading day's close of $14.30. Other companies within the Technology sector that increased today were:?Applied Micro Circuits Corporation?(AMCC), up 20.0%,?Vitesse Semiconductor?(VTSS), up 19.6%,?Net Element International(NETE), up 16.9% and?Datawatch Corporation?(DWCH), up 16.7%.EXCLUSIVE OFFER: Jim Cramer's Prot?g?, Dave Peltier, only buys Stocks Under $10 that he thinks could potentially double. See what he's trading today with a?14-day FREE pass.Research In Motion Limited, doing business as BlackBerry, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of wireless solutions worldwide. Research in Motion has a market cap of $7.6 billion and is part of the telecommunications industry. Shares are up 21.7% year to date as of the close of trading on Monday. Currently there are 7 analysts that rate Research in Motion a buy, 13 analysts rate it a sell, and 8 rate it a hold.TheStreet Ratings rates Research in Motion as a?sell. The company's weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its disappointing return on equity and weak operating cash flow.

It was on toronto bnn news. I have faith in the company. They will rise

I heard today in news that bbry will be at 35 bucks by the end on August and by January 50 bucks

Yes how come no useless comments

Hahahhahah it's green now

Thanks for sharing your thoughts.

I agree with you.

BBRY stock makes me sick

BlackBerry Enterprise Picks Up Steam
May 21 2013, 03:27 | 16 comments | about: BBRY
Disclosure: I am long BBRY. (More...)

BlackBerry Live in Orlando Florida has ended successfully with many announcements being made. BlackBerry's (BBRY) new marketing slogan "keep moving" also seems to apply as their new internal mission statement. New products and features are being released on a regular basis, with their enterprise services taking the limelight.

New Enterprise features released

This week BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10.1 was released and is available for download. This upgrade is free for BlackBerry Enterprise 10 customers, and BlackBerry Enterprise Server 5 customers can upgrade their client access licenses free of charge for the remainder of 2013. Additionally BES 4 customers can upgrade to BES 5, saving the $995 upgrade fee.

The new features in BES 10.1 are:

Regulated-level EMM - This feature is an extended set of policy settings and controls that restricts the new BlackBerry 10 devices for work only. This setting is optional.
Upgrade simplification - The upgrade process has been improved and now allows BES 5 customers to upgrade to the current version with no firewall changes.
Android / iOS support - The ability to manage iOS and Android devices has been implemented. Earlier BlackBerry models and BlackBerry Playbook tablets are now supportable under BES 10.
Dashboard - Managing a large amount of devices in a corporate infrastructure can be challenging, and the new dashboard graphical view containing statistical information meets this need. Some areas that can be overseen graphically are device deployment, device compliant status and application deployment.
High Availability - A requirement in a live corporate environment is redundancy and BlackBerry has included the similar BES 5 high availability active / passive failover feature.
While not a feature but equally as important is support. BlackBerry is now including BlackBerry Care support with its standard offering. This support is offered 12 hours a day, 5 days a week on a telephone and online basis. It could be argued that including support as standard may decrease BlackBerry's service revenue, but by providing basic support more companies are likely to adopt BES10. The revenue from support will materialize in the 7x24 environments and will have a higher gross margin.

I have contacted BlackBerry's corporate sales department to get an estimate on the monthly reoccurring revenue, but was surprised to be put through to a voice mail message explain BlackBerry will return my phone call in two days' time. At the time of this article, it has been 1 full business day without a response. This also includes an email request that was sent at the same time of the voice mail. Why is this important? It illustrates either BlackBerry is either falling apart and disorganized, or they are overwhelmed with sales especially with last year's cost cutting layoffs. I feel the latter is more likely as much effort with success has gone into the launch of BB10.

BES 10 servers installed

According to BlackBerry, there have been 12,000 BES 10 server installations conducted by customers globally. While it is difficult to ascertain the number of users to be supported by each server, a conservative estimate would be 100 users. This is based on the fact that according to BlackBerry, the scaled down discontinued BlackBerry express server could handle from 75 users to a maximum of 2,000 users. Since this is the express version, fewer users would likely negate the need for a BlackBerry server.

The number of users on the 12,000 servers would likely be 1.2 million users and can be used to estimate revenue.

Client Access Licenses @ $99

Smartphone upgrades @ $420 ASP 50% uptake

Server Support Advantage $1500

$119M

$252M

$18M

This overly conservative estimate would bring in $389 million in the first year. While not overly a large sum, these are based on server installations that already have been conducted and form a solid foundation for further growth. If this was a start-up company, this data would be a large positive catalyst.

Future releases

Another update is planned for late June 2013 which will extend the security capabilities. These new features will include the data-at-rest and data-in-transit security capabilities. BlackBerry Secure workspace for iOS and Android platforms will be released dependent on Apple app store and Google Play approval.

BBM Channels

BlackBerry Messenger has been updated to be more Facebook (FB) and Twitter like with a feature called BBM Channels. This ecosystem is BlackBerry's attempt to capture the social networking phenomenon, although I feel the focus is on the monetization of social networking from the corporate perspective. This product is still in beta testing and will likely be available later this summer.

Flurry Analytics

BBM and BBM channels are all about user data and this is where Flurry Analytics comes in. This third party vendor will be releasing a developer's tool by the end of Q2. This software will allow developers to improve monetization and retention strategies by establishing performance benchmarks and providing customer insights.

What does this all mean?

BlackBerry is finally releasing all their technological advancements and attempting to get BES10 fully deployed globally. It is apparent that there is a "push" to get BlackBerry products to market before all the features are ready. While I am not concerned about the stability and security of the core products, the feature set rollout will be gradual. BlackBerry is nearly up to full steam and by this fall BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 should be chugging along. Revenue from the enterprise services will increase for the third and fourth quarters of this fiscal year.

This further supports the hypothesis that BlackBerry's share price will continue to increase gradually over the next year.

Verizon, Short-Sellers Show Strong BlackBerry Interest; Shares Tough To BorrowMay 15 2013, 10:02 | by Tufenk | about:BBRY?includes:VOD, VZVerizon Wireless (VZ) has been very quiet about BlackBerry (BBRY), until the Jefferies 2013 Global technology conference. BBRY's Z10 has been the subject of numerous articles here on SA. The imminent debut of the Qwerty keyboard Q10 built on the BB10 operating platform seems to have brought Verizon Wireless out of the closet.AllthingsD?reports:Verizon Wireless CEO Dan Mead is rooting for a BlackBerry comeback. In his view, the Android-iOS duopoly that Google and Apple have established is begging for disruption, and BlackBerry is potentially one company to provide it."We think that there is an important place for BlackBerry,"?Mead told attendees of the Jefferies 2013 Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference this week.Our independent informal check with Verizon retailers confirms Z10 sales, which support estimates of 3-4% of total store sales. In addition, Verizon Wireless sales agents say there are a lot of inquiries on the coming Qwerty keyboard model Q10. So now what happens with the significant shorts outstanding, over 164 million as of April 30th, according to?Nasdaq. Coupled with resurfaced rumblings of Carl Icahn's interest which we have previously?written?about, BBRY may be poised for its long awaited squeeze and exit party for the shorts who have garnered lots of ink here on SA. We checked Friday with our prime broker on availability and costs to borrow BBRY shares and the conclusion was not good news for the shorts. Availability of shares is almost zero, many wire houses are rationing shares for borrowing and the price has gone up from a negative 6% rebate to 8.5-9%. Things are getting tight and BBRY shares may soon erupt.Verizon may be in the hunt to do something more ambitious itself in terms of M&A. In fact, VZ is pushing to buy out its joint venture partner Vodafone (VOD). CNBC?reported:Six major?Vodafone?investors said $100 billion was not enough for the British company's stake in its U.S. joint venture with?Verizon Communications, and urged the latter to come up with an offer of at least $120 billion. ......Should?the $100 billion figure stand, the six shareholders, with around 1.3 billion of Vodafone's shares between them, said they would prefer the British group to push for a full merger with Verizon instead.We think there may be more behind the kind words VZ has for BBRY. In fact, they may need to buy BBRY to block the push for a merger from Vodafone. Why? Because the complexity of a three way deal with VODAF, VZ and BBRY would make things extremely political and may make VODAF settle for less than the $120 billion the large shareholders are demanding. In basketball, this is called a?'pick', in water polo it's a 'screen'. Any way you slice it, BBRY, with its ever growing healthy debt free balance sheet, seems to be in a very nice position to bring upside to its shareholders - especially with the valuable off-balance-sheet asset of the growing short interest in its stock.And then there is?this report:Earlier today a report from Scotia Capital?analystGus Papageorgiou stated that if Research In Motion Ltd can't do enough to stabilize itself with its current range of smart phones, it is likely that a company like IBM (IBM) will swoop in and take over at the firm. The report put a price target of $22.50 on the company's shares, and gave them an outperform rating. Shares in the company opened today at $15.15.ConclusionWe think BBRY has done a great job turning the ship around and has carved itself a nice piece of global wireless's computing future. With the short interest and the constant chatter of strategic interest in the company, we think the shares will continue to be volatile and are poised in the shorter term to go higher, very possibly violently higher.Disclosure:?I am long?BBRY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

ORLANDO, FLORIDA--(Marketwired - May 15, 2013) - BlackBerry Live 2013 - BlackBerry® (BBRY)(BB.TO) today announced that the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department (LASD) is currently deploying BlackBerry® 10 and BlackBerry® Enterprise Service 10.
The Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department, the largest sheriff's department in the nation, has tested the advanced mobile computing and communication features of BlackBerry 10 and is now deploying BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10. "Technology is moving fast, and the BlackBerry 10 platform is a viable secure platform that can help us keep up," said Commander Scott Edson of the Technical Services Division. "I have personally tested devices on many smartphone operating systems and I think the BlackBerry 10 platform is a homerun. It's very secure right out of the box, a great benefit to government and business, and is designed to make your various communication methods more efficient."
An existing BlackBerry customer, LASD employees throughout the organization typically use their BlackBerry smartphones for messaging, calendar, access to the Department's intranet, and access to documents stored in a shared or private server. A move to BlackBerry 10 leapfrogs the organization's mobile computing capabilities giving users unmatched security with no compromise to their intuitive and efficient user experience.
The combination of BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 and BlackBerry® Balance™ technology gives employees the functionality and rich user experience they want, without compromising security. "BlackBerry Balance offers our customers the most seamless and user friendly way to satisfy both user and corporate needs without compromising on either," said Richard Piasentin, Vice President and Managing Director for the U.S. at BlackBerry. "We're pleased to provide innovative solutions to our customers - like BlackBerry Balance - to enable organizations to protect critical content and applications, while letting their users get the most out of their smartphone".
BlackBerry 10 is a robust and reliable platform that is smooth and responsive. It has a modern design and a gesture-based interface that is highly discoverable. It is designed to support, learn, and adapt to the way you work. BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 builds on more than a decade of the BlackBerry enterprise mobility management expertise. It offers mobile device management, mobile application management and secure mobile connectivity, and delivers a cost-efficient and reliable solution for business and government customers.
About BlackBerry
A global leader in wireless innovation, BlackBerry® revolutionized the mobile industry when it was introduced in 1999. Today, BlackBerry aims to inspire the success of our millions of customers around the world by continuously pushing the boundaries of mobile experiences. Founded in 1984 and based in Waterloo, Ontario, BlackBerry operates offices in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin America. BlackBerry is listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market (BBRY) and the Toronto Stock Exchange (BB.TO). For more information, visit www.blackberry.com.
Forward-looking statements in this news release are made pursuant to the "safe harbor" provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities laws. When used herein, words such as "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "may", "will", "should", "intend", "believe", and similar expressions, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by Research In Motion Limited (BlackBerry) in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that BlackBerry believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Many factors could cause BlackBerry's actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including those described in the "Risk Factors" section of BlackBerry's Annual Information Form, which is included in its Annual Report on Form 40-F (copies of which filings may be obtained at www.sedar.com or www.sec.gov). These factors should be considered carefully, and readers should not place undue reliance on BlackBerry's forward-looking statements. BlackBerry has no intention and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
BlackBerry and related trademarks, names and logos are the property of Research In Motion Limited and are registered and/or used in the U.S. and countries around the world. All other marks are the property of their respective owners. BlackBerry is not responsible for any third-party products or services.
Contact:

New RIM Software Blocks Personal Content from BlackBerry 10 Phones
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Clint Boulton
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Research in Motion Ltd. Tuesday introduced new server software that blocks personal content from corporate BlackBerry 10 smartphones. The software, BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 version 10.1, is designed to help CIOs satisfy the stringent security rules required by government offices and regulated industries.

RIM CEO Thorsten Heins revealed the software at the BlackBerry Live developer event in Orlando, Fla. The Canadian company is trying to reverse four years of smartphone market share losses, spurred by the heavy adoption of the iPhone and Android smartphones in the workplace, a domain RIM once dominated. Gartner Inc. Tuesday said Android and iOS accounted for nearly 93% of smartphones sold worldwide in the first quarter, compared to 3% for BlackBerry.

Reasserting its dominance in the corporate arena is a key strategy for RIM. Version 10.1 of BES 10 allows corporations to secure data on BlackBerry smartphones through encryption, in which data is encoded so that it can only be read by authorized parties. Some agencies in financial services and government sectors, bound by law to control information their employees share, prevent employees from accessing their personal content from corporate devices. BES 10 now allows IT administrators to prevent users from downloading or accessing personal applications on their BlackBerry10 smartphones, said Jeff Holleran, senior director of enterprise product management, at RIM. CIOs can elect to block employees from accessing personal email, instant messaging, Twitter Inc. or Facebook Inc. applications – even the phone’s camera. If CIOs deem any of those apps useful for employees, they may also “whitelist” or allow those applications. “The enterprise has complete and total control as to which services they open up on the device,” Mr. Holleran said.

Darren Dworkin, CIO of Cedar-Sinai Medical Center, said blocking personal content can make sense. “Given the niche that they have in governments that require high security, that’s probably useful,” said Mr. Dworkin. But Mr. Dworkin, who allows employees to use their own devices for work, said he implemented IT and employee processes for protecting data, rather than focusing on locking down devices. Although he doesn’t purchase devices for Cedar-Sinai employees, he said he would support BlackBerry 10 smartphones if employees chose to use them at work.

BES 10 version 10.1 is available as a free download, though it will cost businesses $59 per year for each device they wish to connect to the server software. BES 5 customers may trade their current licenses for BES 10 at no additional charge.

RIM currently has two phones – the all-touch BlackBerry Z10 and the keyboard-equipped Q10 — running its BlackBerry 10 operating system, which was optimized for touch. RIM will release a third phone, the BlackBerry Q5, this summer. Although BlackBerry 10 phones have been slow to catch on, the Department of Defense earlier this month approved the use of BlackBerry 10 smartphones on its networks. The DOD’s approval is a critical blessing for RIM, especially with the Air Force and other military branches now supporting iOS and Android devices.

RIM’s software plans are resonating with some analysts. Peter Misek, a financial analyst with Jefferies LLC, said Tuesday that he expects the DOD will use BES 10 to manage and secure its employees BlackBerry 10 smartphones, as well as iOS and Android devices. “We think BlackBerry’s software will gain traction throughout this year and see a significant ramp in revenues next year,” Mr. Misek said in a research note.

RIM is also looking to regain relevance by supporting the very platforms that usurped its corporate market share. The company this summer will make its popular BlackBerry Messenger application available to iOS and Android users. It will also update BES 10 to separate work and personal data and applications on iOS and Android devices.

Editor's Note: Related tickers: Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY), Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)
Research In Motion (NASDAQ:BBRY) Bull Rush Continues (SchaeffersResearch) Up nearly 35% in 2013 alone, Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) has earned the attention of bullish call speculators. With some notable exceptions, the options crowd has been largely devoted to the bullish cause of late. During the last 10 trading days alone, nearly 188,000 BBRY calls have been purchased to open on the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), compared to just over 57,700 puts. The corresponding 10-day call/put volume ratio of 3.26 stands in the 94th annual percentile. In other words, Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) long calls have only been in greater demand 6% of the time during the past year.
Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) Starts Losing Defense Market Share, Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) Gets Green Signal from Pentagon (PRCarbon) The Cupertino, California based Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) starts losing defense market share, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) gets green signal from Pentagon got green signal from United States Department of Defense for its mobile devices. This could post the Canadian smartphone maker BlackBerry Inc on risk since the company has enjoyed working for military market for a long time. Pentagon spokesperson said that an approval is due in next week that will allow government devices to access military networks by using Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)’s iOS 6 operating system. The South Korean firm Samsung Electronics company also gained the certification from the department earlier in May.
From dire straits to image building: RIM preps for big info and hype event (TheGlobeAndMail) Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) will pull out all the stops this week as the company welcomes thousands of industry players for BlackBerry Live, its annual three-day conference which promises to offer some perspective into its future. Chief executive officer Thorsten Heins will take the stage on Tuesday and is expected to deliver a keynote speech that could reveal a lower-priced version of its latest phone and some clues about whether the company plans to abandon tablet technology forever. BlackBerry Live is both an information session and a hype machine for the company, which has several giant parties planned for its supporters who fly in from around the world and to attend the event.
BlackBerry focuses on cool factor as it welcomes thousands for annual event (CalgaryHerald) BlackBerry will pull out all the stops this week as the company welcomes thousands of industry players for BlackBerry Live, its annual three-day conference which promises to offer some perspective into its future. Chief executive Thorsten Heins will take the stage on Tuesday and is expected to deliver a keynote speech that could reveal a lower-priced version of its latest phone and some clues about whether the company plans to abandon tablet technology forever. BlackBerry Live is both an information session and a hype machine for the company, which has several giant parties planned for its supporters who fly in from around the world and to attend the event.
Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY): Images of Blackberry R10 leaked (USMarketBuzz) There have been reports of a low-priced version of the Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) Q10, to be called the R10. Now there are leaked pictures of the R10. The first of the pictures come from Chinese website DGtle, and looks the Blackberry Curve. MobileSyrup via DGtle has reported that the BlackBerry R10 will come with a 3.1-inch display with a 720X720 pixel resolution. The smartphone is expected to pack in 2GB of RAM, 8GB of internal storage and a 5-megapixel rear camera.

Read more at http://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/research-in-motion-ltd-bbry-news-pentagon-update-image-leak-more-140733/#pzgkW0WkCMJQkggC.99

Analysts: BlackBerry Q10 Sales Remain Healthy and 3 More Research Notes to Read

By Justin Lloyd-Miller | More Articles
May 13, 2013
BlackBerry (NASDAQ:BBRY): Checks conducted by RBC Capital have indicated that sales of the new Q10 are healthy, and RBC doesn’t see any major near-term negative catalysts for the company, although it rates the shares at Sector Perform.

Tuesday events next mileposts as BlackBerry, Nokia map rebounds
May 13, 2013, 3:10 PM
BlackBerry Inc. and Nokia Corp. will offer consumers and investors peeks Tuesday morning at their latest efforts to rebuild their respective positions in the mobile-phone market, which the two companies dominated before Apple, Google and Samsung arrived on the scene.


BlackBerryQ10 as displayed on company site.
First up will be Nokia NOK +5.87% , which is hosting an event in London, at 10 a.m. local time (4 a.m. Eastern), to show off its latest Lumia smartphone. Leaks to some gadget blogs have pegged this one as the Lumia 925 — not to be confused with the Lumia 928 that Nokia announced last week as an exclusive for Verizon in the U.S. The Lumia uses the Windows Phone operating system designed by Microsoft MSFT +0.89% .

Later in the morning, BlackBerry BBRY +2.32% CEO Thorsten Heins will keynote the company’s BlackBerry Live event in Orlando, Fla. Heins will likely use the occasion to tout the launches of the company’s latest Q10 and Z10 smartphones, though which metrics he may share are uncertain, given that the company still has a few weeks left in its first fiscal quarter, which ends June 1. There has been some buzz that the company may use the event to launch a new phone, possibly a mid-to-low-priced version.

Both companies face the challenge of regaining share in a space that quickly and dramatically shifted toward Samsung (with Google’s Android operating system) and Apple. According to IDC, Nokia’s share of the global smartphone market slid nearly 55% in 2012, while BlackBerry, operating as Research In Motion, shed 36% of its market share. Even more telling was that neither company even appeared on IDC’s list of top five smartphone vendors for the first quarter.

Both stocks have been on an upswing leading up to these events. U.S.-listed shares of each are up about 17% over the past month.

-Dan Gallagher

blackberry, Lumia, Nokia, Research in Motion, Windows Phone

It's not moving up :(

I am thinking it's going to hit 17.00 this week or high 16.00's

So what do you think the price is still going to go down?

Thanks for the post now I get the game plan

May 9, 2013, 3:38 P.M. ET
BBRY: Scotia Sees BES 10 Upside; Larger Future in ‘M2M’ Networks
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Scotia Capital‘s Gus Papageorgiou today reiterates a Sector Outperform rating on shares of BlackBerry (BBRY), and a $22.35 price target on the ordinary shares traded in Toronto (BBTO), writing that the Street’s estimates for both device sales and for the company’s services business are too low.

Papageorgiou is modeling $19.9 billion (US$) for the fiscal year ending next February, and $4.29 per share in profit, way, way above the $13.2 billion and 27 cents the Street is modeling.

Papageorgiou’s first point is that the “BlackBerry Enterprise Server,” or BES, which has been updated to handle multiple different mobile devices, including Apple‘s (AAPL) iPhone and iPad, and devices based on Google‘s (GOOG) Android software, presents a simpler way for companies to manage those devices than competing products:

BlackBerry is expected to launch an update to BES at BlackBerry Live in Orlando on May 14 which will support a new feature called Secure Work
Space. We believe Secure Work Space is the most compelling feature to be included in the BES 10.1 update. Secure Work Space is a secure container BlackBerry puts onto iOS or Android devices and allows these non-BlackBerry devices to connect to enterprise infrastructure through BlackBerry’s Network Operations Centre (NOC). Essentially, iOS and Android devices can now benefit from the same secure data connection to corporate infrastructure that every BlackBerry has [...] The concept of putting a secure container on devices is not novel; in fact, practically all other bring your own device (BYOD) solutions have competing solutions, however our discussions with IT professionals indicate BlackBerry’s implementation is the most elegant. Without modifying existing apps, the IT manager can push IT-approved (whitelisted) apps to the Secure Work Space residing on the devices [...] The primary benefit is that corporate applications can now interface with enterprise infrastructure by leverage BlackBerry’s secure data network [...] Compared to the leading
secure container solution, Good Dynamics, we believe BlackBerry’s Secure Work Space has a number of advantages: 1.) Apps deployed to Good Dynamics may require modifications to the code to implement, whereas BlackBerry claims their solution will deploy existing applications with no modifications. 2.) If a corporation already supports BlackBerry 10, we see no advantage to deploying Good’s solution. Implementing a Good system will require additional hardware and increase operating costs due to complexity. 3.) BlackBerry’s Secure Work Space license includes a copy of BlackBerry’s productivity suite, Docs To Go, whereas Good adopters will need to license a separate suite of tools. Deploying BlackBerry 10 as a cross-platform mobile device management platform makes economic and technological sense.

If BlackBerry can add $7.10 per month for non-BlackBerry devices coming onto its network, in addition to the 19.4 million enterprise subscribers it currently has, that could add 10 cents per share in EPS for every 1 million devices brought on.

Papageorgiou thinks bringing those client devices on the network, moreover, might lead to the “BBM” instant-messaging software long used on BlackBerry going “cross-platform” on the Apple and Google and other devices:

All iOS and Android devices now have a trusted, secure container that will connect to BlackBerry’s NOC. With the groundwork to connect non-BlackBerry devices with BlackBerry’s infrastructure completed, we believe enabling BBM is trivial.

That, in turn, could “be laying the groundwork to a much larger mobile computing vision, in which BlackBerry uses the “QNX” operating system kernel underlying its BlackBerry 10 operating system as a means to tie together the many devices that would communicate in so-called “machine to machine,” or M2M, communications, a widely discussed industry vision of all sorts of devices communicating:

The amount of traffic that will be generated is something that BlackBerry’s infrastructure has never experienced before. This is where BBM across mobile platforms comes into play as a way to scale up traffic across its network. By deploying BBM to different platforms, BlackBerry could be proving out its M2M concept: a large heterogeneous sample of devices sending small bits of data across its network.

Lastly, in contrast to negative reports speculating about uncertain demand for the recently introduced Z10 and Q10 handsets, Papageorgiou thinks sales are running ahead of expectations, and he speculates an update on sales could come with next week’s BlackBerry Live user conference in Orlando, Florida:

The company may also provide an update on BB10 device volumes during the event. The company launched the Q10 in May in the UK and Canada to great success. Many stores have reported stock outs of the device. We believe the Q10 will usher in a strong upgrade cycle as existing die-hard keyboard fans will find the experience significantly improved over previous generation devices. If BlackBerry was able to sell 1M Z10s last quarter, we have no doubt the Q10 will sell significantly more than that. We believe the Q10 is currently at 3x the build rate of the Z10. Also factor in that the Z10 had a full quarter of sales and wider distribution, particularly to the U.S. We believe our estimate for 3.6M BB10 devices is easily achievable and with hardware margins around the 50% mark, we should see consolidated gross margins increase significantly.

BlackBerry American Depository Receipts today are up 47 cents, or 3.2%, at $15.38, while the ordinary sharse are up 60 cents, or 4%, at $15.50.

Update: In response to readers’ curiosity about the price target, it’s worth noting that Papageorgiou actually basis his $22.35 target not on this year’s projected EPS of $4.27, but rather on “next twelve-month one-year-out EPS” of $3.13 for the fiscal year ending in February of 2015:

The stock currently trades at a significant discount to peers at approximately 3.5x NTM EPS. We are keeping our P/E target low at 7x NTM one-year-out EPS due to the highly unpredictable nature of our BlackBerry forecasts given the massive transition the company is undertaking. We note that the company maintains $2.9B in net cash and we conservatively estimate BlackBerry’s patents are worth $2.5B –together these two assets represent 69% of the market value of this company. Even if we are wrong in our estimates and BlackBerry is unable to execute on the promise of BB10 we believe a strategic partner such as IBM is highly likely to acquire the company. We continue to recommend investors accumulate the shares.

Research In Motion Ltd (BBRY): $22 a Share or a Purchase, Analyst Says
By DAVID WOODBURN in News
Published: May 9, 2013 at 5:24 pm

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Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) has been very visible on the markets lately with its return to the mobile device competition when it unveiled the BlackBerry 10 operating system and its new flagship handsets. The stock, which had been virtually obscure and oblivious for most of the last three to four years, has seen a revitalization of late.

The stock is up 88 percent over the last six months as sales of the Z10 and Q10 handsets have been modest if not spectacular, but it's been enough to put BlackBerry into the conversation in the battle for the No. 3 smartphone OS in the world behind iOS from Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Android from Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG).

Despite the recent success, Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) is still posting a market cap of less than $10 billion, which leads one analyst - who is apparently quite bullish on the company - to state that this company has pretty much two options going forward - either the stock is going to hit a price target of about $22 a share in the next year, of the company will be bought out.

That is the opinion of analyst Gus Papageorgiou of Scotia Capital when he wrote that he estimated that BlackBerry would sell 3.6 million smartphones in the current quarter - which would sizably beat the general Wall Street consensus of about 3.1 million.

“If we are wrong in our estimates and Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) is unable to execute on the promise of BlackBerry 10, we believe a strategic partner such as IBM is highly likely to acquire the company,”

Papageorgiou wrote in his research note. He re-affirmed his company's "outperform" rating on the stock, posting a price target for Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) at $22.35 a share, which is about 70 percent higher than a consensus Wall Street target of about $13.25 a share. Papageorgiou wrote that his firm believes the company is trading at a discount at only 3.5 times forward earnings.

“We note that the company maintains $2.9 billion in net cash, and we conservatively estimate BlackBerry’s patents are worth $2.5 billion. Together, these two assets represent 69 percent of the market value of this company.”

What do you think? Is Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) a value stock? Are you a buyer or seller, and why? Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below.

DISCLOSURE: None


Read more at http://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/research-in-motion-ltd-bbry-22-a-share-or-a-purchase-analyst-says-139024/#H1m55xdjMwtcjpT5.99

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Additional Information

If IBM buys BBRY then we are set

Who said BBRY is for sale or buy out?

Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) is at that point where investors and analysts step back after the past several weeks to try to determine the future path of a company and its stock. BlackBerry has had a nice little run of positive momentum since it cam out with its new BlackBerry 10 operating system and top-line handsets. However, in some cases the reviews have been mixed and the sales numbers have been somewhat hard to pinpoint. So where is Research In Motion BlackBerry going and should we be buying or selling?
CNBC's "Street Fight" segment featured Guy Adami and Dan Nathan (see on the next page) making the respective Bull and Bear cases for this company and left it to the viewers to give their votes as to where they think the stock is headed.
Adami started by giving his bullish take on Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY) when he said, "First off, the demise of the Z10 (handset) with the large amount of returns, that proved to be false. And the number of apps on BlackBerry 10 has grown about 40 percent in the last couple of months, and over 70 percent of those apps are specific to BlackBerry.
And if you look at their last (earnings) report, their gross margins were spectacular, which means they're running the business better. And, there is a sizable (37 percent short interest) here, so that's why I like BlackBerry."
Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY), however, was not seen as all that impressive to Dan Nathan, who took a bearish position. "BlackBerry is a very trendy short right now, but here's the thing: Those margins that got better in that last quarter, that was the sell-in of the new devices that they just put out to all these carriers. That's probably as good as it gets from where I'm sitting.
Image: Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY)
We look at the Z10 - this is the Galaxy, the iPhone killer; you know, we don't know whether returns are really hot or not. I suspect that when they report their Q1 (earnings) in late June, we'll see that this thing is not selling. Not only that, we have the Q10 with the QWERTY keyboard, that is supposed to be showing some demand. I don't see it, I see people are looking at the iPhone and looking at Android. I don't think this company is going to make it as a sole independent company."
So there you have the two sides of Research In Motion Ltd (NASDAQ:BBRY). Who do you think is right? Rather than tweeting your answer to CNBC, you can give us your take in the comments section below. Are you a bull or a bear when it comes to BlackBerry? Let us know - we'd love to get your feedback.

Read more at http://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/research-in-motion-ltd-bbry-bullish-or-bearish-on-this-stock-137240/#jemkdxoY2b86R85v.99

Sowing The Seeds Of Failure?
By Reuben Brewer - May 8, 2013 | Tickers: AAPL, BBRY, MSFT, NOK | 32 Comments

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Reuben is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network -- entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.

BlackBerry (NASDAQ: BBRY) recently launched a new phone and mobile operating system with the BlackBerry 10. It has pretty much bet the bank on this product, but it looks like it is making a costly mistakes in a competitive market.

The Mobile World
BlackBerry was among the first companies to realize that giving people access to their online lives while they were on the go was a big business opportunity. Although its original products seem rudimentary today, allowing access to email on a mobile device was revolutionary when the company first introduced the BlackBerry.

It was, for a long time, the business world's go to cell phone. Not only did it offer mobile access to email, but it did so in a highly secure way. Companies loved the combination. Users, meanwhile, were so enamored of their new gadgets that they nicknamed the products “CrackBerries.”

A Big Change
Then came Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and its iPhone. At first the iPhone was viewed as a toy for non-business users. That kept BlackBerry's stronghold safe, but quickly ate away any non-professional users. However, BlackBerry didn't change fast enough and the iPhone, along with smart phones from other manufacturers, quickly became the go-to devices.

BlackBerry became an also ran. The same thing happened to other cell phone giants, like Nokia (NYSE: NOK), so at least BlackBerry wasn't alone.

Similar Models
Interestingly, Apple and BlackBerry have similar business models. Both companies try to control everything from operating system to physical product. That turns each into something of a one-trick pony, where selling increasing numbers of products is the only way to keep sales going higher. BlackBerry, however, doesn't match the breadth of Apple in its offerings.

Still Strong?
BlackBerry does still have some loyal users in the business world, and that is what it is counting on to keep the company alive. For example, its new phone has a cool application to safely “separate” the phone into a personal device and a business device. It is also set to release a version with its famous keyboard, a feature that many adherents still love. The company also offers security oriented services that have become increasingly important as the phone side of the business has languished. Clearly it's not dead yet.

A Big Mistake, or Two
The launch of the BlackBerry 10, however, doesn't look to have been handled particularly well. For starters, the phone was launched overseas before in the important U.S. market. While that allowed for any mistakes to be fixed before entering the company's key market, it dulled the excitement that might have accompanied the U.S. launch.

Now, the company looks set to price the keyboard version of the phone above the selling price for the iPhone. It is hard to suggest that a BlackBerry deserves a premium price relative to an iPhone. That decision will only make it harder to break back into a market that the company lost through lack of innovation.

More Players
The bigger problem BlackBerry faces is that it has well-financed competitors also looking to be in the mobile world. For example, Nokia teamed up with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) to launch its Lumia phone. The partnership has been good for both companies in many ways. For example, Nokia got to show off its phone chops and Microsoft got a showcase for its new mobile operating system.

Each of these two companies focused on what they do best, but BlackBerry is trying to do both. Even if Nokia can't regain its position in the phone market, if Microsoft gets the coveted number three mobile OS spot, BlackBerry still loses. Note that Microsoft's business position is strong, too, because of its ubiquitous Office franchise.

Like BlackBerry, Nokia is betting its life on its new phone. That makes it just as risky an investment as BlackBerry. However, Microsoft, with a still moribund stock price, has plenty of time and money to keep going even if its new OS doesn't take hold, with a 3% or so yield only sweetening the deal.

Leaders
Then there are the current industry leaders, Apple and Samsung. Apple shares have traded lower and now offer investors a dividend yield of around 3%. That should provide a lot of support for its shares and makes them far more compelling than an investment in BlackBerry. Even if the iPhone doesn't lead in the business world, BlackBerry is unlikely to unseat Apple any time soon.

Samsung, meanwhile, was quick to offer increased security in its products and a way to wall off one's personal and business lives. The company isn't about to let BlackBerry come back without a fight.

Too Much Risk
BlackBerry is only appropriate for investors who expect big things from this now tiny industry participant. That would lead to big share gains, but the risk of failure seems increasingly large. Microsoft and Apple seem like better options at current prices.

It's incredible to think just how much of our digital and technological lives are almost entirely shaped and molded by just a handful of companies. Find out "Who Will Win the War Between the 5 Biggest Tech Stocks?" in The Motley Fool's latest free report, which details the knock-down, drag-out battle being waged by the five kings of tech. Click here to keep reading.

GEMA and BlackBerry Join Forces to Help Companies Transition to BlackBerry Enterprise Server 10 and BlackBerry 10 Devices
Press Release: Global Enterprise Mobility Alliance – 18 hours ago
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ZURICH, SWITZERLAND and WATERLOO, ON--(Marketwired - May 8, 2013) - The Global Enterprise Mobility Alliance (GEMA) and BlackBerry® (NASDAQ: BBRY) (TSX: BB) today announced the signing of a BlackBerry® 10 Readiness Services global agreement to make the transition to BlackBerry Enterprise® Service 10 and migration to BlackBerry® 10 simple and seamless for enterprise customers worldwide.
Under this agreement, GEMA will provide the BlackBerry® Change Management and Planning with Remote Installation Service to customers who need assistance in planning and executing the transition to BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10, as well as introducing BlackBerry 10 devices. Currently, GEMA members are advising and supporting more than 150 organizations with the transition, and to date have helped more than 30 customers with BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 installations globally.
"We are pleased with the service GEMA, in particular SCHIFFL (one of GEMA's founding members), has provided in installing and managing our BlackBerry 10 infrastructure across Europe. GEMA's competence and professionalism enabled us to go live directly after launch of the BlackBerry 10 platform in January," said Jens Bartolatus, Managing Director/CIO of LE CROBAG GmbH & Co. KG.
GEMA members provide the new BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 as a managed service. The service delivers a cost-efficient, secure, reliable and scalable solution that provides a globally consistent approach to service delivery and technical expertise, enabling:
Mobile device management (MDM) and administration for BlackBerry, iOS, and Android smartphones and tablets
The ability to push mandatory applications and updates to BlackBerry users and alerts to iOS and Android users of required applications
The capability to utilize and manage BlackBerry® Balance™ technology, which enables a customer to use the device for both work and personal purposes by keeping business information and applications highly secure and separate from personal information
Nick McQuire, Managing Director and CEO of GEMA International Limited, said, "GEMA is committed to helping companies around the globe effectively use mobile technology. Trends like BYOD and the flourishing diversity of devices in the market are making it very challenging for enterprises to secure and manage their information, while still making it accessible to their employees. As such, the GEMA members continue to provide frequent counsel on mobile device management to businesses around the world and are excited to help customers such as Le Crobag transition to BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10."
David J. Smith, EVP, Enterprise Mobile Computing at BlackBerry said, "GEMA and BlackBerry continue to work closely together, with BlackBerry Enterprise Service 10 providing a robust and secure way for organizations to manage smartphones and tablets, and GEMA providing sound guidance and the support to help multinational customers make enterprise mobility a reality within their organizations."
GEMA currently comprises six members that collectively span much of the globe: Emitac Mobile Solutions, LLC (EMS) (Middle East, Africa, CIS, and Eastern Europe); MSC Mobility Pty Ltd (Australia and New Zealand); Navita (Latin America); Beijing Nation Sky (China); SCHIFFL GmbH & Co. KG (Germany, Austria and Switzerland); and Vox Mobile Inc. (U.S. and Canada).
For more information on the BlackBerry 10 Readiness Services, customers may contact their sales representative from BlackBerry or visit www.blackberry.com/blackberry10ready and click on BlackBerry10 Readiness Services.
About GEMA
The Global Enterprise Mobility Alliance, GEMA, is the leading provider of global managed mobility services. Multi-national organizations today are looking for transparent and seamless services for the deployment, support, and management of their mobile workforce. GEMA's core offerings of Assist, Deploy, Command, and Advise enable organizations to scale globally while receiving local in-country support where they operate around the world.
GEMA's founding members are leading Managed Mobility Services providers in their own markets and include the following: Emitac Mobile Solutions, LLC (EMS) (Middle East, Africa, CIS, and Eastern Europe); MSC Mobility Pty Ltd (Australia and New Zealand); Mobi All Technologia S.A. (known as Navita) (Latin America); Nation Sky (China); SCHIFFL GmbH & Co. KG (Germany, Austria and Switzerland); and Vox Mobile Inc. (US and Canada). Additional GEMA members in Europe, Asia, and Latin America will increase the scope and diversity of the Alliance in the coming months.
GEMA is operated by GEMA International Limited, a joint venture. To find out more and to engage GEMA visit www.thegema.com.
About BlackBerry
A global leader in wireless innovation, BlackBerry® revolutionized the mobile industry when it was introduced in 1999. Today, BlackBerry aims to inspire the success of our millions of customers around the world by continuously pushing the boundaries of mobile experiences. Founded in 1984 and based in Waterloo, Ontario, BlackBerry operates offices in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin America. BlackBerry is listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market (NASDAQ: BBRY) and the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX: BB). For more information, visit www.blackberry.com
Forward-looking statements in this news release are made pursuant to the "safe harbor" provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities laws. When used herein, words such as "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "may", "will", "should", "intend," "believe", and similar expressions, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions made by RIM in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that RIM believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Many factors could cause RIM's actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including those described in the "Risk Factors" section of RIM's Annual Information Form, which is included in its Annual Report on Form 40-F (copies of which filings may be obtained at www.sedar.com or www.sec.gov). These factors should be considered carefully, and readers should not place undue reliance on RIM's forward-looking statements. RIM has no intention and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
BlackBerry, RIM, Research In Motion and related trademarks, names and logos are the property of Research In Motion Limited and are registered and/or used in the U.S. and countries around the world. All other brands, names and marks are the property of their respective owners. RIM is not responsible for any third party products or services.
Contact:

Lucy Dee
BlackBerry
+44-207-861-2548
Email Contact

Patty Oien
Breakaway Communications
+415-358-2482
Email Contact

@yahoofinance on Twitter, become a fan on Facebook

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I guess big companies must be paying large $$$$ to these analyst to bull&$@! us. There is so much you can do to hold bbry down. We will break though this. Bbry will change the face of cell phone. They need to come out with something that will drop people's jaws too. Bbry and magic jack need to join and bring out a phone that will drop cell phone plans. Built an app that uses data to make clear out going calls plus incoming.

Tuesday was another wild day for Blackberry’s (TSX:BB,NASDAQ:BBRY) stock after two more research firms came out with negative reports. The stock fell by more than 5% in the Canadian market as a result of these reports.

Yesterday it was Canaccord that reduced its sales estimates for Blackberry’s new devices. Today, two U.S. based firms, Cleveland Research and Pacific Crest Securities, were out slagging the company.

Cleveland reportedly indicated that Blackberry is poised to cut build targets on its BB10 phones. Cleveland’s analysts have had feedback that Q10 sales in Canada and the UK have been below expectations and estimated sell-through on Z10s to be half the run-rate seen at introduction.

Pacific Crest apparently echoed Cleveland’s production cut hypothesis, indicating production levels at 1.5 million to 2 million per month were above sell-through levels.

Foolish Takeaway

Talk about noise! Foolish investors know better than to get wrapped up in any of the seemingly day-to-day posturing that goes on around this stock. It’s not our game to pontificate on such matters but realizing there is a massive short position against Blackberry, it’s rather interesting that these reports have suddenly appeared after the stock had run up rather nicely over the last two weeks of April. Just an observation!

Blackberry currently has an outstanding short position that amounts to 31% of its shares outstanding (Source: Capital IQ). We have created a special FREE report that identifies 3 U.S. businesses that no short seller in their right mind should ever touch. The reason – these are three of the most dominant businesses in the world! Simply click here to receive “3 U.S. Stocks Every Canadian Should Own” – FREE!

This company is going to do well. I am sure and positive. Let the idiots say what they want but we are a Canadian company who don't give up easily. Apple and Samsung may be the kings this year and next year this is just a beginning and new start for bbry.

TheStreet Wire
Research In Motion Ltd (BBRY): Today's Featured Technology Laggard
By TheStreet Wire 05/07/13 - 05:01 PM EDT
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Find out if (BBRY) is in Cramer's Portfolio.
Editor's Note: TheStreet ratings do not represent the views of TheStreet's staff or its contributors. Ratings are established by computer based on metrics for performance (which includes growth, stock performance, efficiency and valuation) and risk (volatility and solvency). Companies with poor cash flow or high debt levels tend to earn lower ratings in our model

Research in Motion (BBRY) pushed the Technology sector lower today making it today's featured Technology laggard. The sector as a whole closed the day up 0.2%. By the end of trading, Research in Motion fell $0.75 (-4.8%) to $14.82 on light volume. Throughout the day, 35,201,274 shares of Research in Motion exchanged hands as compared to its average daily volume of 50,029,800 shares. The stock ranged in price between $14.68-$15.51 after having opened the day at $15.39 as compared to the previous trading day's close of $15.57. Other companies within the Technology sector that declined today were: Ruckus Wireless (RKUS), down 26.2%, Aruba Networks (ARUN), down 22.8%, Deltathree (DDDC), down 18.0% and MERU Networks (MERU), down 12.2%.

EXCLUSIVE OFFER: Jim Cramer's Protege, Dave Peltier, only buys Stocks Under $10 that he thinks could potentially double. See what he's trading today with a 14-day FREE pass.
Research In Motion Limited, doing business as BlackBerry, engages in the design, manufacture, and marketing of wireless solutions worldwide. Research in Motion has a market cap of $8.2 billion and is part of the telecommunications industry. Shares are up 31.7% year to date as of the close of trading on Monday. Currently there are 5 analysts that rate Research in Motion a buy, 13 analysts rate it a sell, and 8 rate it a hold.

TheStreet Ratings rates Research in Motion as a sell. The company's weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its disappointing return on equity and weak operating cash flow.

You can view the full Research in Motion Ratings Report.
On the positive front, Interactive Intelligence Group (ININ), down 19.0%, ClearSign Combustion (CLIR), down 16.5%, Responsys (MKTG), down 12.8% and Sevcon (SEV), down 11.7% , were all gainers within the technology sector with SK Telecom (SKM) being today's featured technology sector leader.

Use our technology section to find sector-relevant news.
Or find some new ideas from our top rated stocks lists.
For investors not wanting singular stock exposure, ETFs may be of interest. Investors who are bullish on the technology sector could consider Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) while those bearish on the technology sector could consider ProShares Ultra Short Technology (REW).

Find other investment ideas from our top rated ETFs lists.
Exclusive Offer: Jim Cramer's 'go-to' small/mid-cap guru Bryan Ashenberg only buys stocks he thinks could return 50-100%. See his top picks for 14-days FREE.


For more information on Research in Motion Ltd click any of the following:
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Timothy is a member of The Motley Fool Blog Network -- entries represent the personal opinion of the blogger and are not formally edited.

How likely is a company to go bankrupt? This is a difficult question to answer, but there is a relatively simple calculation one can do to size up the strength of a company's financial situation. The Altman z-score was introduced in 1968 and is a simple sum of five components derived from a company's balance sheet and income statement. The result of this calculation, the z-score, is a measure of the risk of bankruptcy.

The five components of the z-score are listed below:


The z-score is then calculated from these values as follows:


If this number is above 2.99 then the company is considered safe. Between 1.81 and 2.99 is the "grey zone," where the company is not in immediate danger of bankruptcy but may be heading in that direction. Anything below 1.81 means that the company is distressed and has a good chance of going bankrupt within a few years.

These weightings and limits are completely empirical, not based on anything fundamental - they're simply what works. The model has been extremely accurate in predicting bankruptcies, with a success rate around 80%-90% according to this research. It's not perfect, but it is a helpful gauge of financial stability.

I'll calculate the Altman z-score for three different companies that have had bankruptcy rumors swirling around them for quite some time. These companies are Gamestop (NYSE: GME), BlackBerry (NASDAQ: BBRY), and Nokia (NYSE: NOK).

Gamestop

Gamestop sells new and used video game hardware, software, and accessories, and according to Morningstar holds an 80% share of the used video game market. In 2012 the company saw revenue and profitability decline, and in 2013 about 250 unprofitable or marginally profitable stores will be closed. Any time there are store closings people start to speculate on the fate of the company, and many seem to think that Gamestop is doomed. The company certainly has a lot going against it, as digital downloads are becoming more popular and the threat of the game console makers disallowing used games puts Gamestop's business in jeopardy. But is the company in danger of going bankrupt anytime soon? Here is the z-score calculation.


All values in millions

Gamestop's z-score has been surprisingly steady over the past five years, staying in the high 3's most of the time. This value is well within the "safe zone" and leads to the conclusion that Gamestop is in no danger of going bankrupt in the next few years. This says nothing about its prospects ten years out, as there are definitely real threats to its business model, but today the company is in good shape financially.

EBIT turned negative in 2012, but this is largely due to a large $681 million asset impairment. Excluding this item net income only fell slightly from the prior year's adjusted value, so the company is actually in even better shape than the numbers above suggest. Another positive is a new game console generation arriving this fall, with Sony and Microsoft set to release new consoles. This should provide a boost to Gamestop's top line as interest in video games grows.

It's hard to say what Gamestop's long-term prospects are, but the company is financially sound and is in no danger of bankruptcy.

BlackBerry

BlackBerry, once called Research in Motion, used to be the dominant provider of smart phones. From 2003 to 2010 revenue grew at an annualized rate of 65%, topping out at $19.9 billion. Net income in that year was $3.4 billion. But BlackBerry couldn't keep up with the likes of the iPhone and Android, and sales plummeted back to just $11 billion in 2012 as net income turned resoundingly negative. How likely is BlackBerry to go bankrupt in the next few years? Here's the z-score calculation.


All values in millions

In its heyday BlackBerry's z-score was high enough to be irrelevant. But by 2012 the z-score had fallen to 2.74, which is in the "grey zone." What does this mean? Well, BlackBerry isn't in any immediate threat of bankruptcy, but the situation is getting worse. The company has no debt, so it would take a few years of big losses before it would have to turn to debt to finance operations.

Earlier this year BlackBerry launched its much awaited Z10 phone, which has the company's brand new BlackBerry 10 operating system. These new phones are competing against Apple's iPhone, a slew of Android phones, and Windows phones, and it will be tough for the company to gain any traction. It seems unlikely that BlackBerry can return to dominance, and questionable whether or not the company can become profitable again. The new phones launched recently, so time will tell if they prove to be popular. If they fail, then BlackBerry will likely see its z-score slide into the danger zone and bankruptcy will become a real possibility.

Nokia

Nokia is a Finnish company that is now best known for partnering with Microsoft and selling the Nokia Lumia line of Windows Phones. The company still sells a large number of non-smart phones around the world, but this number has and will continue to shrink as the smart phone market grows. In Q1 of 2013 Nokia sold 5.6 million Lumias, although most of these were outside of North America. This is up from 4.4 million in the previous quarter. However, the company still was unprofitable during the quarter, as it has been for the past two years. Is the company in danger of going bankrupt? Here's the z-score calculation.


All values in millions

I've converted the share price to Euros for the purpose of the calculation. Since everything is a ratio the currency doesn't matter as long as every value is in the same currency.

By 2012 Nokia's z-score had fallen within the danger zone, and if the losses incurred that year continue the company will be in big trouble. However, the first quarter of this year was far better than the last in terms of profitability. Revenue dropped, but net income went from -929 million EUR to -272 million EUR, and EBIT went from -1,340 million EUR to -150 million EUR. If Lumia sales continue to rise it's possible that Nokia could return to profitability this year or the next.

Of course, Windows Phone could fail to gain any considerable market share, in which case Nokia would likely be finished. But it seems that Windows Phone is gaining some traction, as market share in the US has grown from 3.7% in the first quarter of 2012 to 5.6% in the first quarter of 2013. And since Nokia accounts for most of Windows Phone sales by choosing to partner with Microsoft the company has differentiated its products from a slew of Android-based devices.

Nokia's future depends on Windows Phone gaining market share, and with Microsoft's support it seems that there is a good chance of this happening.

Data from Morningstar

Nokia's been struggling in a world of Apple and Android smartphone dominance. However, the company has banked its future on its next generation of Windows smartphones. Motley Fool analyst Charly Travers has created a new premium report that digs into both the opportunities and risks facing Nokia to help investors decide if the company is a buy or sell. To get started, simply click here now.


Timothy Green has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of GameStop. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is this post wrong? Click here. Think you can do better? Join us and write your own!