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Hi Flip, read post #39853. That's just about it in a nutshell for me...
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE IN THE NEXT DAY'S, WEEKS , MONTHS
A variety of reasons ;
- buying up cheap shares before PR.
- confidence will begin to show some hairline cracks until
the much anticipated PR is released.
- my guess is that at least 75% of the float is being held
by people on this board.
JUST MY OPINION
Alot of people here are aware of CEO Watson's past difficulties (intentional or unintentional) for getting this Co. off the ground... Some of the things you said tonite might not be totally inacurate, but you told us nothing that has not already previously been posted on here.
Speaking only for myself, i'm hoping that going foward, Watson has decided to build and grow a legitimate Co.for a variety of reasons,
- He realized that he and his associates can make alot more $ from a sucessful Co.
- He also realized that he would leave himself open to possible legal and even criminal charges if he raised capital to start a business and never made an attempt to launch the business or generate sales.
Just My Opinion
How's that NOBOUNDARIES, now you know I'm On your side.
Somebody has decided to try and by cheap before the overdue news is released.
JUST MY OPINION
Dog The Bounty Hunter would be excellent ...
How about John Walsh from "America's Most Wanted"
I Agree... I also say thank you to anyone who has served or is serving in Iraq or Afganistan.
I dont't think a positive PR or PR'S is baked into the cake. As long as it does'nt dissappoint the expectatations, and includes what everyone is waiting to hear:
1. Spokesperson
2. Advertising/Marketing
3. # of Subscribers
After that, monthly and/or quarterly updates regarding increasing # of subscribers (hopefully) would continue to fuel anticipation and higher PPS if the co. focuses on growing and increasing market share.
The flippers, traders, and MM are always going to do what they do. GRDO has the oppurtunity to overcome alot of those obstacles by increasing # of subscribers on a continual basis.
THIS IS JUST MY OPINION
GOOD LUCK
Net earnings of 6.5 million $ would equal .01 EPS...
01. EPS with a P/E ratio of 10 should make GRDO trade around .10 a share. IMO
(*)
* This is assuming and hoping that Watson keeps his head focused on building a solid business with targeted marketing/advertising , and avoids any monkey business that can damage shareholders.
GOOD LUCK TO ALL
Could be some kind of squeeze play to make PPS go higher before news is released...
JMO
GLTA
I don't think anybody knows what the float is.
It's somewhere between 350 mil & 650 mil
Thank you for your estimate...
Anybody know what the EPS multiple is in GRDO'S sector.
Trying to do a hypothetical estimate of net revenue that would alllow this thing to trade at .10
(*) Taking into consideration the following asterics
* Assuming Watson really is comitted to building a real co.
* The A/S remains at 650 mil.
* Other potential monkey business from the MM, the shorts, and the co. itself.
Congratulations to :
Moderator - NOBOUNDARIES
Asst's - Prof. and Magic Daddy
(Sorrty it's 2 days late)
Patiently waiting for PR'S
Good Job Daddy...
It's Hard to argue with almost everything you said!
It's also a little confusing... Almost everything he's done so far has been fairly sofisticated IMO... But to release that kind of information(the PPS will go "sky high" after news is released within two weeks) to one shareholder seems out of character for someone who has only been transparent with information that he wants us to know, not what shareholders need to know.
NOB , you either caught him at his weakest most vulnerable moment, or he has something up his sleeve and he had his own (unknown to us) reason for telling you that.
We just have to wait and see.
Maybe he likes the sound of your voice.
Keep calling him... LOL
You sound educated about investing/trading, so read the posts from the last week or two to get an indication of what's really gouing on...
IMO a business's primary goal is to generate sales... For unknown reasons (and just my opinion)it appears this co.'s primary goal MIGHT have been something else other than generating sales(read Flip Flopper from last couple of weeks, and others this week)regarding this.
For now, and moving foward, i would suggest paying attention to Noboundries, and Kilopki's posts... They are both doing good work.
Bottom line though; If you jump into the Guard Dog pool, there's no life guard on duty.
We're all trying to make money here, but investing in penny stock;s seem's extremely insignificant compared to being in IRAQ.
Stay Safe And Come Home Soon!
Thank You for posting this info...
YOUR ALRIGHT!
(even though we don't agree most of the time)
Applying these thoughts to any start-up company, not just GuardDog.
The notion that it is OK for a company to wait 6 months to a year before beginning any type of serious marketing or advertising is RIDICULOUS (IMO)!
His reason for the first aquisition, PR 2/25, was for "rapid growth". So has he now changed his business plan to "hurry up and wait"?
Can you imagine if he tried to secure start-up capital from any legitimate privat equity lender (bank,etc. or even an Angel Investor),who wants a guaranteed return on their investment. I wonder if he would have been approved if he told them he planned on waiting 6 months before advertising or marketing his product or service... Every day that passes without a serious attempt to increase subscribers is a day that a potential subscriber could sign up with another ID Theft Co.,we are losing market share.... Are GuardDogs services so supperior to the competion that people will switch over when the marketing begins?
Example: Someone opens a new car dealership, "aquires" other car dealerships in their area for "rapid growth", and THEN keeps their dealership closed for 6 months before deciding on the best way to begin marketing and advertising.
God knows i'm not Warren Buffet but it Just Does'nt Sound Right!
Not earth shattering information... But Google Watchdog ID., and click on the 10th or 11th hit "WATCHDOG ID LLC PRIVATE COMPANY INFORMATION BUSINESS WEEK"
As of Feb.25th 2009, it's considered a subsidiary of GUARDDOG ID
That is good advice... I've done that a few times already and now are holding alot of shares. Thats why i've started to voice my concern about the potential problems with this company... I hope that what is bothering me about this stock turns out to be nothing, and all of Watson's PR's were honest, and he was'nt just blowing smoke up all of our buts.
You seem like a nice guy, and i would trust you much quicker than I would trust Watson right now... But don't tell me to go to another site and do my own DD.
Thanks,
GOOD LUCK
P.S.
What's your honest opinion about what Flip Flopper said yesterday. One of Guard Dogs aquisition's (WatchDog) is the exact name of another ID Theft Co. that is still in existance (ID WATCHDOG). Very hard to explain away at this point.
Only time will tell if Watson intends to build a real company after he's finished allegedly taking care of family & friends .
What about this company Corporate Stratagies? Do you think they are for real or another one of Watson's potential partners.
The name Larry Powlicz sounds familiar to me ... I'm not a 100% sure, but i think i recall a name similar to his being linked to scam involving a pink sheet oil stock DVFI?
On the other side of the coin... I think i remember seeing or hearing advertisements for Watchdog on TV or radio before Guard Dog aquired them. Why would they spend money advertising if they were'nt a real company.
It could be considered a crime if someone raises capital(by selling shares to the public) to start a business, and then uses the majority of those funds to financially enrich family and friends... The right State and Federal prosecutors could have some fun with him.
NONE of us know what's really up Watson's sleeve... Good Intentions - Bad Intentions or a little of both.
But you have raised some very legitimate red flags that are very hard to dismiss.
Let's suppose that you are 100% right, and all of the aquisitions were bogus (maybe even the the original one from FSMH), the # of subscribtions are bogus (except the one's from the people on this board) and Guard Dog is and was a total scam from it's inception, created just to help himself and his friends & family hustle some fairly easy money from unsuspecting shareholders.
So the bottom line is: Watson is either incredibly clever or incredibly dumb and reckless, because he is potentially exposing himself to doing some time in Federal prison, if you can prove just some of the things that you allege.
White collar crime does'nt make headlines, but the Federal prisons are full of Watson's who thought they would never get pinched.
It's probably not the best idea for an ID theft protection co. to allow their customers acct. #'s to run in sucession... You think they would have a more secure system in place.
Thank you, i realized that when i read his post the second time.
I think i just answered my own question if your subscription # is also your acct,/ID #. SORRY... I should've picked up on that the first time i read your post, i read too fast.
Excuse me if i seem ignorant, but are the double xx's in your and your wife's subcription #'s supposed to represent zero's? ... Is it just a coincidence that the tens and single digits in both of your # are zeros?
There's no way for Any of us (bashers or cheerleaders)to know what his real intentions are... His past PR'S were designed to inform shareholders of preciously what he wants us to know. But leaves out revenue, # of subcribers, the # of subscribers the aquisitions added, the # of restricted shares paid to these aquired other id theft co's.etc.
Because we don't know what his real intentions are, it is very possible that he is trying to build and grow a legitimate co., but if someone is able to uncover legitimate red flags with facts and proof then it should'nt be ignored.
Maybe his intentions are good and bad. He might be trying to build a legitimate co., but at the same time take care of his friends and relatives even if it's temporarily detrimental to
to shareholders.
GLTA
How did you find this information about Watson's wife, attorney, friends/business associates,etc... It's very good DD and investigative work, but where and how did you find all this?
Because of the increase in pps and shares traded a couple of days last week for no apparent reason... It could have been the start of a pattern by GRDO to aquire bogus/worthless companies from friends/relatives, pay for the aquisitions with restricted shares, and let these people cash out when they want to or NEED to. So it's really the unsuspecting shareholder that's paying for GRDO'S aquisitions.
There is no way for any of us to know if this is really happening, but we are in the middle of a recession,alot of people are in financial trouble and some people will do anything to make money.
I bet if you asked everyone of Bernie Madoff's victims years ago if they thought they had their entire life's savings invested in a Ponsi scheme, they would of said no.
I can't argue with what you said... But it could also be used as a tool to help a buddy. Aquire his worthless company, pay with restricted shares and let him cash out 6 months later.
I'm not saying this definitly happened, but some people have uncovered some red flags about this company.
I hope it's not true, and also hope GRDO is a legitimate run co.
I automatically became a Guarddog shareholder in 2008 when my 11 million shares of FSMH morphed into 11 thousand shares of GRDO... FSMH was a near death For Sale By Owner internet real estate co.trading at .0001. I could'nt figure out what tangable assets FSMH could possibly have that Guarddog would want or need... But after sitting on the sidelines for months and reading alot of the posts(especially recently), it might make aa little more sense now. Maybe Mr. Watson aquired FSMH (from a friend or relative)to rescue them from a dead co. and paid them with "restricted shares" of GRDO. This took place Nov.08, 6 months ago. So maybe the high volume of shares traded and the tempororary spike in pps was due to Watsons FSMH friend/relative dumping their restricted shares from Nov. 08. Read the PR from 11/14/08. This might explain the suspected dilution theory that some of you had last week.
This is just my observation and opinion. I could be wrong .
There has been terrific due diligence from both sides (positive and negative) .
It's going to be very interesting to see how this whole thing plays out.
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
I called the Investors Relations phone # posted on WSEG's website. and continually get the same loop. Not able to select a voice mail or leave a message
IS WSEG STILL IN BUSINESS ?