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Agree completely...I was glad to see the SP hold last week as the stochactics neared the "oversold" zone. Volume seems to be picking up & like most I'm ready to see MMTE streach her legs.
I think the SP held up pretty well coming up to the holiday weekend. Especially as MMTE's stochastic is reaching the "oversold" state. I believe MMTE is set-up for an upward move this week.
Buy-If from American Bulls...
http://americanbulls.com/StockPage.asp?CompanyTicker=MMTE&MarketTicker=OTC&TYP=S
That was a fun ride. The most exciting ride I have been on in some time. I'm hoping for a repeat here with MMTE.
I've noticed the same thing. It was listed on msnmoney first thing this morning????
I think I killed the run...Bought more @ .0136
WOW.....That must have been the deluxe shuttle w/cruise control!!!! Nice Run-up.
This estimate was based on the latest production PR that indicates Pond creek currently has only one production shift/day. The positive is that they have the capacity to take on additional contracts and deliver by adding shifts.
JUST A DATA POINT – THOUGHTS???
In comparing QMNM to AWSR (assuming AWSR is properly valued) would indicate how QMNM might be valued based on the following scenarios (using ASWR as the bench-mark):
- Worst case is with QMNM fully diluted @ 2.5 billion shares outstanding compared to ASWR with only 100,000,000 shares outstanding. This would indicate QMNM should be trading in the $.02 range at the moment (based on the 20:1 ratio).
- As currently reported with QMNM with approx 800,000,000 shares outstanding compared to ASWR with 100,000,000 S/O. In this scenario QMNM should be trading in the $.055 range.
QMNM (Rough stats)
A/S – 2,500,000,000
O/S – 800,000,000 (approx)
Coal reserves – 12,999,000 tons
Production – 1,000 – 1,300 ton/day
Liabilities – $8,000,000 (est)
S/P - .0142
AWSR (Rough Stats)
A/S – 200,000,000
O/S – 100,000,000 (approx)
Coal reserves – 8,000,000 tons
Production – 1,000 ton/day
Liabilities - $12,000,000 (est)
S/P - .44
The primary negative for Quest is that there is a 10:1 ratio in A/S, and the 8:1 ratio in O/S between Quest and America West. Aside differences in share structure , all other factors appear in Quest’s favor (less liabilities for Quest, 50% greater coal reserves). And If I am not mistaken, it appears Hidden Splendor Resources (ASWR coal subsidiary) is still working it’s way through the chapter 11 filing from 10/07.
http://www.americacoal.com/westerncoal_horizoncoalmine.php
The Horizon Coal Mine is owned and operated by Hidden Splendor Resources, Inc. a fully owned subsidiary of America West Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ OTC: AWSR)
America West Resources. Inc. (NASDAQ OTC: AWSR) in 2007, became a public company. Through its subsidiary Hidden Splendors Resoureces, Inc. it operates the Horizon Coal Mine which is located approximately 11 miles west of Helper, in Carbon County, Utah.
The abundant Horizon Coal Mine produces what is commonly known as "steam coal" which is predominately utilized by power plants to produce affordable and clean energy. The Mines currently employ approximately 70 people.
As a one section mine, the Horizon Coal Mine averaged 280,000 tons of coal per year in the last four years. As a multiple-section mine, our experienced management and board of directors believe the mine can generate between 600,000 and 2,000,000 tons per year.
Coal Mining Operations
The mining operations employed at the Horizon Coal Mine are what is known as "room-and-pillar" operations. A room-and-pillar operation involves creating a network of interconnected tunnels in the coal
seam. These tunnels are a result from the excavation of a series of "rooms" into the coal bed, leaving "pillars" or columns of coal to help support the mine roof. The rooms and pillars create what, on a map, looks like a series of city streets and blocks, with the streets being the open rooms and the blocks being the pillars of coal.
Using a continuous miner machine, the Horizon Coal miners are able to cut the coal from the seam and place it in shuttle cars, which take the coal from the mining machine to the conveyor belts. The conveyer belts then move the compliant coal out of the mine where it is crushed to size and piled for loading into trucks. Once the coal is on the trucks, it is transported to a variety of America West Resources' clients including several large power plants.
The coal mined at the Horizon Mine is located in the Hiawatha Coal Seam which is in Wasatch Plateau Coal Field. The average height of the coal seam as it runs through the mine is approximately 7 feet. The coal extracted from the Horizon Mine generally has a BTU (British Thermal Unit) value of between 11,500 and 12,300 BTUs. Analysis of the coal produced at the Horizon Mine in August of 2006 has shown BTU levels as high as 12,600. Ash levels in coal substantially affect the value of coal. As it sits in place in the Hiawatha Seam, coal at the Horizon Mine contains ash at levels from 8 percent to 9 percent. Mining of the coal can increase ash levels if the rock on either side of the coal seam is mined and mixed with the coal taken from the seam. The Horizon Mine's ash levels generally test between 8 percent to 12 percent, though conditions in the mine during the first quarter of 2007 have seen higher ash levels.
Active Coal Reserves
The abundant Horizon Mine has approximately 8 million remaining mineable tons under lease. The majority of this tonnage is part of federal lease given by the Bureau of Land Management while approximately 220,000 tons of the remaining coal mining territory is fee coal owned by the America West Resources' subsidiary, Hidden Splendor. America West Resources' management predict that the current leased reserves will take roughly 6 to 8 years to mine.
Thanks...getting close to breaking the 20-day MA
Appears to be a similar volume / buying pattern as that of June 17th that led up to the .07 run-up on the 23rd.
I agree. Now that they are able to produce 1,000 to 1,300 tons/day on a single shift operation QMNM is a completely different animal. Now that they have established this considerable revenue stream it should not be difficult for the BK to be cleared up within 90 days (as projected in the CC). The revenues from coal sales will also provide capital to fund expansion. Not to mention they now have the ability to increase output at Pond Creek (almost 3X) by adding additional shifts per day.
I would not be surprised if .07 is tested again. The investor community will have all weekend to find out about the production announcement. I expect this announcement will generate the volume needed for a significant break-out / run-up. Monday should be interesting for sure.
Well stated..There have been no claims that Pond Creek is operating at MAX CAPACITY (and that's a good thing). I think it's fantastic that production goals are being met with one shift. As sales / demands increase they will have the ability to fill additional commitments by expanding production into second or third shifts.
You have a great weekend too...Agreed, there are always the pesimests (Superman4??). Personally, I think this thing will soar on Monday (may even break the .07 again).
For some reason I had envisioned wings.....
http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=30404159
Good to know...I suspected they would at least need a half-shift for maintenance and that's why my guess was a max of 3,000 tons/day.
Other larger operators work multi-section mines (doubles shift production) but this would require additional continuous-mining machines to be purchased. America West Resources is planning to go this route to increase output. Quest would need to line up sufficient contracts to justify the additional non-recurring cost of purchasing addional mining machines.
The PR states 1,000 to 1,300 tons/shift. There are three shifts in a day (could be as high as 3,000 to 3,900 tons/day). My GUESS is max production of 3,000 tons/day (without beginning a multi-section operation within the mine).
"The coal yard was so full yesterday, that we almost ran out of room to store it. Running coal is easy, compared to the rehab work we just completed. We are proud of where we are now and the amount of volume we can produce. Our production goals have since been raised up to 1,000 to 1,300 raw tons per shift. Any coal miner would tell you that this is a very good mine now.''
And right now I believe they are only mining one shift a day. With the current demand for coal, I suspect they will soon move the maintenance crew to third shift and mine two shifts a day.
Sure is...
Up over 14% so far...Yesterday could not feel the bottom with my toes down!!
Another thing to be factored in is that ASWR only has 60M O/S to QMNM's 360M O/S as noted by BigPaul (6:1 ratio).
This should be off-set for the most part by Quests having almost twice the coal reserves and the expectation they will have 4X the production capacity by the end of 08....IMO
Absolutely correct...That should have been spelled out in the comparison. There is approx a 6:1 ratio between QMNM and ASWR.
On the positive side for QMNM they should have 4X the production capacity as ASWR. And there is the potential of the additional mine aquisition.
ASWR was the nearest example I could compare to.
Comparison of Quest Mining to similar coal producer……There have been a few threads posted inquiring about similar coal producers. As far as operational size, America West is probably a good comparison.
_____________________________________________________________________________________
America West Resources
http://www.americacoal.com/westerncoal_horizoncoalmine.php
The Horizon Coal Mine is owned and operated by Hidden Splendor Resources, Inc. a fully owned subsidiary of America West Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ OTC: AWSR)
America West Resources. Inc. (NASDAQ OTC: AWSR) in 2007, became a public company. Through its subsidiary Hidden Splendors Resoureces, Inc. it operates the Horizon Coal Mine which is located approximately 11 miles west of Helper, in Carbon County, Utah.
As a one section mine, the Horizon Coal Mine averaged 280,000 tons of coal per year in the last four years. As a multiple-section mine, our experienced management and board of directors believe the mine can generate between 600,000 and 2,000,000 tons per year.
Active Coal Reserves
The abundant Horizon Mine has approximately 8 million remaining mineable tons under lease. The majority of this tonnage is part of federal lease given by the Bureau of Land Management while approximately 220,000 tons of the remaining coal mining territory is fee coal owned by the America West Resources' subsidiary, Hidden Splendor. America West Resources' management predict that the current leased reserves will take roughly 6 to 8 years to mine.
Summary
- One mine operation
- Produces approx 1076 tons/day
- 8,000,000 tons of coal reserves under lease
- as of 7/31/08 $.40 per share
_________________________________________________________________________________
Quest Minerals and Mining
- Two mine operation. Pond Creek mine producing / Cedar Grove being rehabbed.
- Pond Creek currently producing 500ton/day and is expected to ramp-up to 1500-2000 ton/day within the next few weeks. Cedar Grove is expected to be on-line by the end of CY-08 also producing similar to Pond Creek Mine. Expected production by end of CY-08 is 3,000 to 4,000 tons/day.
- 12,000,000 tons of reserves at Pond Creek mine / 3,700,000 tons of reserves at Cedar Grove.
- As of 7/31/08 $.00131 per share.
* Mountain Ridge Mining acquisition still pending
It was interesting too that the sell-off began immediately as Eugene began to speak. This just indicates short term investors had accumulated and were taking quick profits. Unfortunately this often creates unwarranted panic selling....IMO
Reposted as requested..... Also picked up another 100K shares this AM.
My take on the July 29th CC….IMVHO there were basically two groups of individuals holding positions when the CC began (the longs, and the flippers). Nothing wrong with either group, each investor has to decide for themselves what their best investment strategy is based on the level of risk they are willing to accept.
I think most will agree that the overall sentiment leading up to the CC was that POSITIVE news was going to be released (the measure of great news is subjective to each investor). In the days leading up to the CC speculation of “big contract” and “buy-out” announcements were mentioned. I will admit I also expected a little more (like a full rate production announcement).
So what happened after 2:00 on the 29th?? The flippers sold-off (they started selling before Eugene finished introducing himself). It is commonplace for “shorts” to accumulate ahead of expected good news, ride the SP increase, then sell just ahead of the PR to lock in profits. IMO this is the biggest reason for the reduction in SP the past two sessions. The only thing that would have maintained or increased the SP Tuesday would have been good news of “exceptional proportion”. I’m sure there was also a smaller percentage of holders that moved on because their expectations simply were not met.
I’m still holding my entire & growing position as I believe QMNM has turned the corner and will continue to build momentum towards positive cash flow. Several critical milestones have been accomplished this year.
- White Star retained to rehab Pond creek mine
- Kentucky & MSHA permits obtained for Pond Creek
- Acquisition of required mining equipment
- Sales contract with Logan & Kawanah
- Completion of Pond Creek rehab
- Successful completion of MSHA inspection to begin work
- Pond Creek mine now producing.
Additionally, there are other key milestones to be met in the near future. I believe these objectives will be met, and obviously with an increase in SP. As QMNM has completed the previously mentioned milestones within reason of what was planned, it is highly likely they will continue this pattern through completion of the upcoming milestones as well.
- Successfully emerge from BK (estimated @ 90 days per CC)
- Increase Pond Creek production to 1500 to 2500 tons/day in “next few weeks”(per CC)
- Rehab / open Cedar Creek mine by the end of the year (per CC)
- Become operationally profitable by end of Q3 (per CC)
JMHO….GLTA
That's an understandable strategy, but what I would consider "ultra-conservative". For myself I have chosen to weigh all the pertinent factors, and attempt to position myself to take advantage of events that are likely cause run-ups in SP(i.e meeting milestones). In short, I am willing to accept a reasonable level of risk to secure the gains from positive key events.
The MSHA was over a month behind the Kentucky state database. I suspect coal production totals listed within the MSHA will not be timely either......I was glad to see BigPaul's report and photos to back up the PRs and Kentucky Mine System's "active" status. Thanks BigPaul!!!
I can relate. Back in the mid 80s Documation Services went into BK, and one of it’s subsidiaries later re-opened as Storage Tech. Unfortunately I was too impatient. After the stock sat for months hovering around .25 I decided to sell it as I was in the middle of building a house. If my memory serves me correctly a couple years later when I was concerned about an upcoming lay-off I out of curiosity checked on the stock and it had increased to $40.00.
It appears all things are falling into place for QMNM(the ch 11 restructuring has gone well so far, on track to emerge from ch 11 in the near term, mine is producing, new mine planned to open by years end, contract in place for sales, and coal appears to be the hottest energy commodity). Unlike petroleum, there is a true supply shortage for coal, and it is forecasted this shortage will continue for the foreseeable future.
At this point in Quest’s recovery, I believe their success in becoming profitable is almost certain. I expect incremental increases in SP as each milestone is accomplished, but most likely the real bounce will come when the revenues begin to be reported (like HTOG).
QMNM is an exercise in patience and reasonable expectations for me at this point.
Thanks....
Although most agree Pond Creek is producing (but for those few who doubt photos) the MSHA database has finally been updated to reflect it's active production.
My take on the July 29th CC….IMVHO there were basically two groups of individuals holding positions when the CC began (the longs, and the flippers). Nothing wrong with either group, each investor has to decide for themselves what their best investment strategy is based on the level of risk they are willing to accept.
I think most will agree that the overall sentiment leading up to the CC was that POSITIVE news was going to be released (the measure of great news is subjective to each investor). In the days leading up to the CC speculation of “big contract” and “buy-out” announcements were mentioned. I will admit I also expected a little more (like a full rate production announcement).
So what happened after 2:00 on the 29th?? The flippers sold-off (they started selling before Eugene finished introducing himself). It is commonplace for “shorts” to accumulate ahead of expected good news, ride the SP increase, then sell just ahead of the PR to lock in profits. IMO this is the biggest reason for the reduction in SP the past two sessions. The only thing that would have maintained or increased the SP Tuesday would have been good news of “exceptional proportion”. I’m sure there was also a smaller percentage of holders that moved on because their expectations simply were not met.
I’m still holding my entire & growing position as I believe QMNM has turned the corner and will continue to build momentum towards positive cash flow. Several critical milestones have been accomplished this year.
- White Star retained to rehab Pond creek mine
- Kentucky & MSHA permits obtained for Pond Creek
- Acquisition of required mining equipment
- Sales contract with Logan & Kawanah
- Completion of Pond Creek rehab
- Successful completion of MSHA inspection to begin work
- Pond Creek mine now producing.
Additionally, there are other key milestones to be met in the near future. I believe these objectives will be met, and obviously with an increase in SP. As QMNM has completed the previously mentioned milestones within reason of what was planned, it is highly likely they will continue this pattern through completion of the upcoming milestones as well.
- Successfully emerge from BK (estimated @ 90 days per CC)
- Increase Pond Creek production to 1500 to 2500 tons/day in “next few weeks”(per CC)
- Rehab / open Cedar Creek mine by the end of the year (per CC)
- Become operationally profitably by end of Q3 (per CC)
JMHO….GLTA
Welcome over....Good to hear from you!!!
ClayTrader....The charts you put out on QMNM have been great and much appreciated. Just yesterday the company conducted a conference call (with only positive news) yet the SP continued to decline. If you have a chance could you work up an update. Thanks.
Only Gwenco is in chapter 11.
CC Highlights...
-Will be up to full production within two weeks(1500-2500 tons per day).
-Expect to emerge from Chapter 11 within 90 days.
-Expect to be operationally profitable by Q3.
QMNM was at $.20 just a year ago while just in "limited production". It will be exciting to see where this goes from here with the mine rehab completed, sales contracts in place, and the increasing price of coal....IMO...GLTA
I agree...What CEO in his right mind would voluntarily put himself on the spot in a CC delivering bad news. That kind of thing rarely happens. On the other hand it is commonplace for a company offical to set-up a CC to pass on the good news with "great fan-fare".