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If blackstone goes bankrupt we will be im lot more trouble markets wise. like way worse than 2008.
I think i am understanding this strategy now. basically getting the time value of the short one until the long one becomes free. if it runs past your strikes time value is gone for the short one and the long one will have time value and intrinsic value which gives good gains....
One thing I did not understand is your spread width is 1$ and how did you get the gains in other post.
If it's -5% how will you get that gain.
Hmmn. 2 in the money spreads? credit spreads? can u share the link. thanks...
I did spreads both debit and credit. for credit spreads, the key is high IV. for 5$ spread if you get at least 2.5$ premium then it's a good one.but its hard to find except during earnings. if it moves against the direction you are expecting it will be big loss with even 10 contracts.
debit spreads and diagonal spreads are ok as it will reduce your risk. the problem with spreads is slow gains and you cannot take gains until you close the short side.
all in all, direction has to be right. except spreads give little wiggle room if it goes against yours.
so, i was trying various things and i came up with this strategy. i did not back test but may be you can do it and tell me. i will hedge with 1 put if i buy 3 calls with same premium. for example if i buy 3 calls for 1$ premium then i will buy 1 put for 1$ premium. 2 puts for 6 calls. like that 1-3 ratio. if it goes against me at least i will recover the money i spent on calls. this way i can take gains any time on either side without worrying to be naked short.
pretzel perfect call. 1 pm was the one where big move made....that was 3rd wave on 3 min chart...
Were you out of your tqqq and spxl positions?
And came back...
At 15:53 6.3b sell side...
very good buy.I was going to buy but went away from computer and totally forgot on friday...
Looks like fed changed the course in increasing reverse repo from 80b to 160b. more juice to the market i guess....
Based on last year charts around the sames dates. after big drop last year below 50 ma,2 green candles and big red candle. so, either it's today or tomorrow big red candle. I am inclining today up day to gap fill and big red tomorrow. let's see.
Markets following exact last year charts around the sames dates. just +/- 1 or 2 days. after big drop last year below 50 ma,2 green candles and big red candle. so, either it's today or tomorrow big red candle.
I am tracking this for past 2 months and it's so close. I could be wrong this time...
good call.getting to 430's.
Take a look at last Sep chart. following literally exactly same pattern. so, today and tomorrow combined will be 10$ bounce.
came close to 4428.50 sma. next leg will take it there and bounce hard next 3 days.hmmn?
what time frame and you still using ema 21 as trend?
What is your setup for that 1-2% every day? thanks...
Totally agree. my dunkin latte also went up around that percent.
very good technical analysis. My analysis on economy is august data might be anomaly. if you see, all schools opened, all after activities opened.all sports opened with full capacity.mlb,college,us open tennis,nfl....that definitely should add lot of jobs numbers. i see people going crazy spending...
called it but did not take advantage of it. no balls no glory.
Docu..can rip higher fast at open....very good earnings...lottos can pay big...
I was watching Peter Lynch videos. changed my whole perception. watch this video. best from 6.53 minute.
Last year from Aug20 until sep 03 markets went up crazy...like 20$ up in spy and almost everything...from sep 03 correction started....It's following same script from Aug 20...if it goes up there is 10$ more upside in spy.
Last year from Aug20 until sep 03 markets went up crazy...like 20$ up in spy and almost everything...from sep 03 correction started....It's following same script from Aug 20...if it goes up there is 10$ more upside in spy.
Bullard guy is same as gaslighting gop people. makes bold comments everytime he talks...
Bullard is known as a “hawk” among central bank officials, meaning he tends to be more apt to pursue higher interest rates and curb easy policy sooner than his peers. He is not a voting member on the Fed’s policymaking committee in 2021, but will be in 2022.
Yes. that was weird. but his trend following system is the one i pay attention.
TQQQ. Here is interesting analysis which meets what you are doing. your 1 hr charts give 1 or 2 days in advance. what was your returns in last uptrend?
https://wishingwealthblog.com/2021/08/blog-post-day-1-of-new-qqq-short-term-up-trend-buying-tqqq-which-again-beat-most-stocks-during-the-prior-short-term-up-trend-look-at-the-data/
beer, i like your strategy.selecting strong trending 1 or 2 stocks and just buying dips..how do you select these strong trending stocks?
what a waste of holding. too fast.sold for push.
thanks...Have just 3 puts.435 tomorrow expiry.
Taper tantrums have started....probably gap down tomorrow.
Northmantrader has to be the best technician.been following his free twitter for years. lot of rants on fed on his feed but his charts are spot on.he never predicts tops and bottoms but his charts show very high probability trades.probably his subscribers make very good....
So, did u buy spy and qqq in those big accounts?
I did not see this post until now. already up 5$.
30 mins look much better. looks like we can wait for M-65 histogram positive instead of figuring out whether it's flat or not.
Yes.I can count like less than 5 times i ordered food from restaurants from these apps like uber eats and doordash until 2 months back. now i am ordering at least once a week.
i know my friends who never did that before are doing the same.
i see every day these ubereats deliveries in my neighborhood when i go for a walk.
another reason is some credit cards like amex give 2 ubereats credits in each statement also for uber rides. that is one of the reason my friends say they are ordering more.
unlike uber rides uber eats has more margins. i am seeing easy 2$ more on each menu item from directly ordering from restaurants,service charge,some of them has delivery charge. etc
Uber also bot drizly alcohol delivery in feb.
It became like one stop shop for rides,delivery,pick up,alcohol,grocery etc...
so, overall that is my analysis. revenue wise they will beat handily. now the losses wise if they show surprise profit it will be huge.
baba and disca. i like disca more with all the negativity priced in.
Uber on 08/04. i have a feeling it will be good because they expanded into so many things now.grocery,alcohol,flowers. uber eats is doing very good as everyone i know orders at least once a week from it. revenues will come huge beat and if they show profit then it will take off.