Wyckoff volume benchmarking / market profile bt analysis board

[jxyzobrien]

this week

[gdl]

NINE more trading days left. Stagflation already seen by the FED but wall street still ignored their remark. WAR without consent. Who cares. Iran is weak and we are KING. The top is in for DOW and SPX. Maybe a slight marginal higher high with the Nasdaq. TIMING is near perfect for the July 4th fireworks to begin.

I know this timeframe so well and TRUMP so well. 90-day delay for worldwide trade war will be announced between July 4 and 9th. No more delays or reversals.
ALL Indicators point to a BREAKOUT soon. NONE see any major danger ahead. Yet here i am once again declaring the sky is falling. I did so with the start of a silly Pandemic.

Common sense and good analytical skills always trump technical analysis in bubbles. No matter where we end up on July 3 I will place my wild long shot option bet.

[uplata]

Eod friday Holding coin put i am expecting spx 21 ema to go long with tight stop..

[jxyzobrien]

gap down
shadow 101 the market only pays those who take risk

[jxyzobrien]

he is a criminal
so he just does whatever he wants to
he did not even tell democratic senators what was happening
he is also a pathological liar and hypocrite
previous things he has said

[uplata]

Without out congres permission AS HL guy can bomb 🇮🇷?

[jxyzobrien]

Taco
bombs iran

[jxyzobrien]

weekend futures
war worries dow -177

[uplata]

The week ahead

[uplata]

Shadowtrader

[jxyzobrien]

often
as expiration is ending and there has been hard selling
you get a nice eod rally
watch spy calls

[haha11]

STAY TUNE TILL END OF THE DAY.....MAYBE....SALE OVER

[jxyzobrien]

selling mostly over

[haha11]

SPX....30.....STILL UNDER LOWER SOLID GREEN LINE..OPINION

READ RSI 14 MAY GET UNDER 30 THEN RISE MAYBE..??? OPINION
UNDER Support H...line.....
$SPX.....30
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370

[haha11]

$OXY......30......DLY.. Trend R...46.81=W9U.......S...W8D=44.85 OPINION..
Nota....click at Yellow....
.

30.....UNDER MA50 SAME MA12 NOW
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OXY&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370
DLY ZIG..HIT RSI14 CIELING 6/13/2025 BELOW Prime TIME OPINION
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=OXY&p=D&yr=0&mn=1&dy=6&id=p53956788198&a=3138546370

[jxyzobrien]

long tail red oxy
great reversal candle
where do rallies fail
vwap and fib .50
bears still lead

[haha11]

.$SPXS....2X30.....DLY..........HH / 2 Ds HH

SPXS DLY 1- HH 2-HH ...TODAY First day of Summer .

1-30
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXS&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370

$SPXS....2-30....%B50,2= MA50=CCI50 OPINION
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXS&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p24468866188&a=313854637
DLY........
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXS&p=D&yr=0&mn=1&dy=6&id=p24468866188&a=313854637

[haha11]

First Thanks.....$SPXS....30......

SPXS DLY 1- HH 2-HH ...TODAY First day of Summer .

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXS&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370

[jxyzobrien]

not possible to know
since news is not predictable

[jxyzobrien]

regular trading hours or after trading hours
tom obrien used to say its easy to run up ath futures
since volume low
but rth not as easy since high volume and sellers

[Twilson]

Made some on tesla puts this morning. You think bears are going to take over for a few days?

[haha11]

Please explain ..... rth or ath ?? Thanks

[haha11]

UPDATE-$SPX.......30.....DLY....So Far MARKET HIT UNDER TA ...Saying NO more Support FAIL Support 5963.XX H...LINE....OPINION...

MARKET HIT UNDER Support 5963.XX H...LINE NOW

BEARS WATING UNDER THIS ... H..LINE OPINION

30...
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370
DLY....
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D30&yr=0&mn=1&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370

[jxyzobrien]

is it better to trade rth or ath
something to consider
triple witching
abdc completed so hard selling
lots of positions to close out

[gdl]

What do YOU suppose happens if July 4th comes along and we still can't break out from old highs? What happened when the world learned of a Pandemic? When the FED made the announcement Stagflation is coming? When trump announces a war with Iran? Debt to GDP is now higher than start of WW II. All great news. Best case scenario we slip/slide slowly till Independence Day. OR even go flat.

Here i go again, declaring a PANDEMIC will cause a deep drop and everyone told me the market already determined it was already absorbed in the price. For FIVE WEEKS! Astonishing how a guaranteed outcome can be vigorously dismissed. I am besides myself how humans can display such ignorance and build massive denials till it smacks them in the face. Trump. Trade Wars, Real Wars, Economic Calamity, Debt. We shrug it off and then get shocked when the laws of physics work.

Cross your fingers. let's hope JULY 4th starts out with a celebration.

BTW I was told if it isn't technical or related exclusively to the stock market it doesn't exist here. A Pandemic had nothing to do with market and definitely not Wyckoff. The rules were unforced, and you missed out on the crash. Stagflation was just announced by the guy that sees all government data first. While world trade war has been dismissed as a problem this too just might follow the same path. in fact I can hope so. I love a market so detached from reality it CRASHES.

Hope this market can HOLD UP or stay relatively calm if it slips/slides.

JULY 4th Bring it ON!

[Twilson]

Did not realize until this morning the market is closed today

[jxyzobrien]

holiday so futures close at 1

[haha11]

UPDATE-$SPX.......30.....DLY....So Far MARKET Still Above Support 5963.XX H...LINE....OPINION...

BEARS WATING UNDER THIS ... H..LINE OPINION


30...
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370
DLY....
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D30&yr=0&mn=1&dy=6&id=p02796914458&a=3138546370

[gdl]

Fed sees Stagflation. What a surprise. Wait till the world trade war announcement going into affect July 9. I hope this wedge pattern gets extended. Please stay in a fog till then.

Just like a Pandemic. It was actually debated what will happen. Loving it. To think markets have no free will preordained with no external influence. A. pandemic and now a more damaging Trump gets dismissed till you are knocked over the head. Let this sucker market last till Independence Day.

[jxyzobrien]

fed hawkish
no rate cuts

[haha11]

$GLDM 5....30..DLY.....


5.....1-Day..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=5&yr=0&mn=0&dy=1&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370
30...UNDER MA50 DOT Line....now
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLDM&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=5&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370

DLY...Keep eyes LL or HH
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLDM&p=D&yr=0&mn=1&dy=8&id=p26405160427&a=3138546370

[jxyzobrien]

haha
do you have gldm 5 min
thanks

gold should down if fed notes rally market

[haha11]

$SPXS......15......30....BEARS IN THE WAYS UP DLY HH.... ??????

15..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXS&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=3&id=p68467026376&a=3138546370
30..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPXS&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=4&id=p68467026376&a=3138546370

[haha11]

$SPX.....10.......30.....Look like DLY...GOING TO GET ..TREND LL....???

15..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=UPRO&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=3&id=p68467026376&a=3138546370
30..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=5&id=p25071814555&a=313854637

[haha11]

$GLL.......10....15....60........DLY......HH 2..HH.

10.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=10&yr=0&mn=0&dy=2&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370
15.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=3&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370
30......
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=30&yr=0&mn=0&dy=4&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370
60.....ways...
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=60&yr=0&mn=0&dy=7&id=p25071814555&a=313854637
DLY..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=D60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=7&id=p25071814555&a=313854637

[Twilson]

So far no rally just chop

[jxyzobrien]

2 things are true
iran does not really have an air force
republicans have claimed since 2002 that iran is about to get the bomb LOL

[Twilson]

Trump said the US now has complete control over the skies of IRAN..maybe market will rally...lol

[jxyzobrien]

in sync

[jxyzobrien]

gold decent trade
es not much no energy

[Twilson]

Market may go green soon bulls fighting

[jxyzobrien]

ES rollover dates MID month
es 6 16 6 20
es 9 15 9 19
es 12 15 12 19
These four months are denoted by the letters H, M, U, and Z.

[jxyzobrien]

great charts keep posting
4 hr rsi is a huge turning point tool

[jxyzobrien]

fed week
generally expect a fed week rally
not always of course
there will be no rate cut
market knows this it will look for change in fed commentary notes
thats all that matters

[gdl]

Stochastic still bullish here. Fed Meeting could decide the immediate fate. Unlikely rate cut and it is off to the races. Without it I just can't see that breakout event.
While 4/7/2025 was the start of current wave 7/4/2025 should be the defining end. Will it be at much higher levels in the next 13 trading days? Will we already be sinking by then? Irrational behavior is the trademark of all aspects of our lives. TRUMP has favorable rating with his treatment of immigrants and the tariffs seem a thing of the past with no recognition of its destructive powers. We also have open season for the fringe unstable individual to go on a killing spree, and it will move down the line towards just very angry individuals with free will and a feeling it is now acceptable.

A FED rate cuts, a very unlikely scenario, would surge this market over the next 13 trading days and 6666 on SPX will be doable. I give that a very slim chance but possible till the FED announcement says otherwise.

7/4/2025 in my opinion will be a watershed event. A clear reversal even though we would not open for trading till 7/7/2025. It marks the 3 month move that typically does NOT get exceeded before a decent drop. I see that drop as dramatic.

[jxyzobrien]

in general
since the candle is so big expect rally to top of candle

[haha11]

$GLDM....15.......MAY FILL Today GAP.....???

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=gldm&p=15&yr=0&mn=0&dy=3&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370

[haha11]

$GLDM.......240........+ RSI 14....

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=gldm&p=600&yr=0&mn=1&dy=7&id=p25071814555&a=3138546370

[jxyzobrien]

great chart
sorry it has rsi did not see it thanks no need to change

can you modify the 4hr chart with rsi GREAT
3rd high or attempt to the 3rd high kills it
love the chart

[haha11]

$GLL.......60.......DLY..HH...


60.....ways...
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=60&yr=0&mn=0&dy=7&id=p25071814555&a=313854637
DLY..
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GLL&p=D60&yr=0&mn=1&dy=7&id=p25071814555&a=313854637