I am compounding my money with technical analyst.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Register for free to join our community of investors and share your ideas. You will also get access to streaming quotes, interactive charts, trades, portfolio, live options flow and more tools.
Hi, again. Is there a special board here that allows you to talk about any stock, even penny stocks, and any type of investment strategies? Sometimes my post though harmless tends to be somewhat shocking because people don't know me and I lay facts and information out there before they know what I am talking about. I am really into the facts portion of investment study. Not so much that chaotic P/S ratio or the EPS, but the historic angle. The timing of it all. Can someone point me to a good all around tell us what stock you studied and like arena? In the free zone, I mean. Thanks
Was that a MOAB bomb that I just heard?
Ken
Hello. I am new here. I think this stock has the potential to be something special. I ran a program on it and found its quarterly strengths. Here is what I came up with.
TOTAL GROWTH
NOV-JAN 528%
DEC-FEB 606%
JAN-MAR 200%
FEB-APR 13%
MAR-MAY -99%
APR-JUN -87%
MAY-JUL -95%
JUN-AUG -101%
JUL-SEP -175%
AUG-OCT -180%
SEP-NOV -219%
OCT-DEC -40%
If my data stream was right this stock shows great promise. Is there anything about this company that is in the pipeline that will cause it to spurt again?
Thanks Ken
'm sorry , Sara, I was just going by the information that I gleaned. I didn't know it wasn't trading anymore.
ken
Thanks Cadence. Hope the best for you.
ken
Hello, can anyone answer a question for me.
I ran a program on EDIG and noticed that in 1999 its Mar-May quarter produced 1190% growth and its 1998 same quarter produced 83% growth. Both years led the company in value according to the chart. If this is true, then this is the time for a company to pull out all of its stops. Is there anything brewing for this company in the next few weeks? If it is going to happen it must happen now. The chart shows that from May-Aug the company really takes a beating. Thank you very much. I got excited because I see very little stocks, even penny stocks make over 1000% growth in 3 months.
Take care
Ken
You were correct, sgolds. It was information gleaned only from the monthly closes. I considered no other information, other then adjustments for splits and dividends. And, in the case of many stocks that I've examined they have neither-especially the penny stocks. At this point in time the revolving quarterly is fascinating with its exaggeration of value from month to month, quarter to quarter. But, it is still only a tool to be used in conjunction with a host of other tools. The charts appear to be self-explanatory. I have sent the program to some on the message board, but only one has returned for more friendlier chats. I guess the EXCEL program needs more fine tuning.
It was one of those things that excited me and confused me, too. Once I discovered it and began adjustting my templates more-what appeared to be strength-began to unfold. It just seemed too rich a concept when a stock, any stock can go 12 years through the good times and the bad, and not having a losing quarter among them to be coincidental. See you. And, thanks for understanding. I had offered my insight of other stocks that I did on the other message boards, I think 4 different stocks, and have been misunderstood. Maybe, when the Revolving Quarterly book comes out, people will understand. It was just a tool and can never replace an advisor.
Ken
Hi, economaniac. You're right. At best this revolving quarterly information has to be only considered a tool. Investors will always need an analyst to help them interpret the market. I know that financial advisors eat, sleep, and live the market and know far more than I about such things. I did look into the S&P study that I ran to check for random patterns. I had found this. In the Telecommunications Sector the 13 stocks that make up this sector all average for just the month of October a 57% total growth for a six year study that I did. All of them. In the Energy Sector in March the 24 stocks that make up this sector averaged 64% total six year growth and each stock average a -24% and -18% total for June and July. And, in the Information Sector, of which AMD is located all 76 stocks each averaged 50% total six year growth each month from Oct-January. That is a 200% total six year growth for all of the stocks. And, each suffered severe loss during just one major month-September.
I agree, economaniac-I love that name. You can't rely on history to determine your choices. You do need all the tools that you can find. I enjoy William O'neil's Investors Business Daily. I am looking at Larry Williams follow the commercials in commodity trading. It is all an amazing study for me. I would have loved to have been a student of this study when I was 21 years old. As it is, I am 50 and had waited far too long to absorb this exciting stuff. See you, economaniac. Have a great day.
Ken
Brady. Please don't email me. One thing that Emmauel Swedenberg taught Helen Keller is the law of association brings assimilation. You are a very rude individual. You are extremely dominant in your handling of people. You seem to be condescending. I don't believe that I truly do want to associate with you anymore. I choose not to play your mind games. I came into this board to talk stocks. You've attacked me as often as you could. I know that every one that you look at is a reflection of yourself, but I cannot for the life of me see that kind of arrogance in me that is flashing so brilliantly in you. I will prosper. I do not believe that you deserve to, but I hope that you do. Life is a boomerang. Your thoughts do create your reality. Keep your little click. I have high thoughts of warmth for those on this board who spoke nice to me. Understanding. I will not think of you anymore, or your click. They don't deserve prosperity either, though I hope it comes to them too.
Now, you can pick apart my message and make yourself the hero to your friends.
I told another board of your arrogance on this one, and they welcomed me and instructed me. That is what a good board should do.
Goodbye.
Thank you Keith, Economaniac, and Klaus. I'll dig a little deeper in the well. I was always taught that it made more sense to dig one well 100 feet then 10 wells 6 feet. See you.
Ken
Hi, Klaus. I gleaned the information from the Yahoo historical data base. I created an EXCEL template that added up each year, in a 12 quarterly range. Most investors think that there are only four quarters, Klaus, but each month starts a new one. It was an amazing process for me to discover this. I really cannot understand the chaos of the P/E ratio, EPS, relative strength, accumulation and distribution, etc. It goes on and on. I just wanted to come up with something that was easy to see and understand.
I am also on another board, Klaus. It is call NVEI. I did the quarterly for the stock and posted it. You would have thought that I did something horrible. Their response to me, on a whole, for some were very nice, was rude. You can check it out if you like. I don't know if I really want to go back to that lot. I remember what Emmanuel Swedenberg taught-he was Helen Kellers spiritual teacher. He explained association brings assimilation. A new voice will not be heard because people have something called a paradigm. Or a belief system that will filter out only what they want to hear and see. I hope you understand, Klaus. I am not trying to be anything of importance on this board. I just was passing on some hard gleaned information that may not have reached the board members yet. If you want to see the AMD program and you have EXCEL email me. I will send it to you. You can then judge for yourself. My email is in my alias.
Ken
Hi, austin01. I am not qualified to say whether the company has any potential, or not. I can only assume that when the company makes its move, it will do it with historic timing. Like the other poster showed. I posted on several stocks that I checked out. And, I told those people that were interested in that stock that there is a time and a place for everything. Austin01, I make the same offer to you that I made to Brady. If you had an EXCEL program, email me and I will send you the NVEI information that I've gleaned. I am enthralled by this quarterly possibilities. It has the potential to open up some eyes. The book that I am working on currently is going to be called the "The Revolving Quarterly Reports." Your input to me is very valuable. Your feedback is valuable. Others that I've shown this program to said it may change the way investors do business. I don't know. I hope so. If you feel led to do it, my email is kgoodrich@cinci.rr.com
I am not a shunk. I am not a worry to anyone on this board. If anything I am a reflection of America looking into a deep abyss called Wall Street where misdirection could be the norm. I just want to do something that would make understanding stocks easier.
Take care, austin01
Ken
Brady. If you had an EXCEL program in your computer I would be willing to send you what I had on NVEI and you can see what I am talking about. I said that I have been writing novels for 25 years, not teaching english lessons. The novels I write are about metaphysics, not cowboys and indians. I taught myself. I did not attend a college. But, I am still a writer. I still have a wonderful literary agent that can edit my style. The offer of the EXCEL program still stands. Seeing is believing.
PS...I just used up 3 of my post here. I am sorry that I did not use them on the subject at hand. I do not have the capacity to send private replies. Take care, Brady. And, you also, tigerannie.
Ken
Hi, wheels. I am used to it. I was a union roofer for 20 years and I know rough treatment. This is ok. I hope to be of some use in this message board system. I finished the S&P 500 study of all their components and many penny stocks. Penny stocks are very demonstrative with the percentages because a little bit goes a long ways. I would watch NVEI if I were you, Wheels. See you.
Ken
Hi, Trexville. I understand your confusion. I take the 12 three month periods available in a year. I add the percentage of growth or loss each year to the ongoing total of that specific quarter. For instance, I add the total of Mar-May in 2002 and the Mar-May total and 2001, and the total of the Mar-May total 2000, 1999, 1998 and so on. I created a template to carry out this information. I figured that the period of the year that makes the most money-on average- is the best period to own the stock. The worst quarter, or period is the least favorable time to own a stock. Especially if it loses -268% in a 12 year period as AMD does. I won't go into the novelist part. I am sensitive with that one. Sorry that I confused you.
Ken Goodrich
ASTN is heading for payday now.
I just did a revolving quarterly on ASTN and have found its progression pattern. You'll love this if you ever read it. During the quarter of Apr-Jun for the last 6 years ASTN has a total growth of 473%. That will place some damage back into your pockets. But, from the months of September to January the stock eats up all of your profits. Just look at the damage having the stock does in just the Dec-Feb quarter for 7 years. It totaled for that specific quarter a loss of -378% growth. I hope this helps you.
ken
Hi, I did a revolving quarterly on INTC.
First let me say that I am not a professional anything with stocks. I am a writer/researcher. I enjoy passing off little bits of relevent info that I find studying stocks. Here is what I found concerning INTC for the last 12+ years that I ran the study. INTC is in the Mar-May quarter now. The 12 year total combined Mar-May growth is 29% with 7 losing years in that specific quarter. But, INTC does get better. The Apr-Jun quarter total for 12 years is 34% growth. The May-Jul quarter has 66% total growth. And the Jul-Aug has 96% total growth in 12 years. So, if you own the stock, you've basically already gone through your worst historic quarter Feb-Apr. The best time to own this stock is the Nov-Jan quarter with a whopping total for 13 years of 268% growth. I hope this information helps you.
Ken
I did a revolving quarterly on AMD.
What I discovered about AMD is that it does have a progression pattern in its quarterlie. I am not a financial advisor, just a writer/researcher and when I find something interesting I write it down, or pass it on. Here is what I got from AMD.
Mar-May quarterly total 12 year growth is 220%
Apr-Jun quarterly total 12 year growth is -99%
May-Jul quarterly total 12 year growth is -268%
The best time to own AMD is by far the Jan-Mar quarter which in 12 years has had a total growth of 441%. I hope this information has helped you. I don't know what you can do with it. I will give you another example, if I may. If I cannot please tell me and I will not post this type of information again.
NTAP also has a progression pattern. Its Mar-May total 7 year quarterly is -24%, its May-Jun is -48%, its best time to own is Oct-Dec where it has a 8 year total growth for that specific quarter of 463%.
I hope that I did not offend anyone with my data.
Ken
Thank you, Susie924. I was glad it wasn't the limited part I read about where you get 18 and deactivated. See you.
Ken
Hello, can anyone answer this question for me?
I am new to posting here and my reminder above the posting window says that I have 14 posts remaining. What exactly does that mean? Also, when you look at all of the chaotic information on a stock from P/E ratio to whatever, what are you supposed to try to find with it? What standard of criteria do you look for in all of this information that will make the stock attractive?
thanks
ken
Hello, watch MSFT towards July.
I did a study on this stock and have found that MSFT has an established pattern in its revolving quarterlies. We are now in the Mar-May quarterly for MSFT. The 12 year total growth for that specific quarter is 114%. Take a look at the progression of value for this stock during the course of the year.
Mar-May total growth for 12 years is 114%
Apr-Jun total growth for 12 years is 112%
May-Jul total growth for 12 years is 68%
Jun-Aug total growth for 12 years is 45%
Jul-Sep total growth for 12 years is (-13%) See the point that I am making. From October to February this stock is wonderful, but it starts to get dicey around the mid summer area.
I don't know if this kind of information will ever be deemed valuable, but when my book is complete, it will be talked about on wall street. See you.
Ken
Hello, I am a student of the history of a company. I believe that what has happened will happen again. So, with this in mind, and realizing that I am not a professional, I have broke down the patterns of CSCO into revolving quarterlies.
It is now 3-8-03 and CSCO is in the Mar-May quarterly. This quarterly has totaled growth of 102% in twelve years of studying it. The Apr-Jun quarter is 152%, the May-Jul quarter is 187%, so you can see that it has a pattern established to own the stock during these months in beneficial. If you hold the stock until Jul-Sept quarter you run the risk of losing value in your portfolio where the twelve year total is 51% growth or a mere 4% yearly growth for that specific quarter. The ultimate best time to own CSCO is the quarters Oct-Dec where the stock has a twelve year total growth of 316% and Nov-Jan where the total growth is a whopping 369% for 13 years, now.
I don't know what this kind of information can do for you, but if you find it helpful. I am pleased. Take care.
Ken
Hello, I am new to this message board. I am a writer so whatever tell you should be taken with a grain of salt and understanding. But, I studied the historic records of NVEI and I have found that its best time to make money is during the quarter of Jan-Mar where it has a 3 year total growth of 197% which equates to a 66% yearly growth average. However, its worst by far quarter is the Apr-Jun quarter where it has a 3 year total growth of (-151%) or a minus 50% yearly average during that time frame each year. I have done other stocks as well, mostly the penny stocks because they look so overly exaggerated.
Here are some other stocks that I did. And, I don't know what these stocks do.
NMMG Mar-May 311% growth in 2 years
WWTR Mar-May 361% growth in 7 years
CHCR Mar-May 198% growth in 4 years
TSGTF Mar-May 75% growth in 2 years
MDPA Mar-May 229% growth in 6 years
NIHK Apr-Jun 911% growth in 2 years
ILGN Apr-Jun 111% growth in 5 years
I don't know if you can use this kind of information or not. I don't even know if I should have posted the thought of findings, but, if I am not to do this. Please tell me. I would not do this again.
Ken
PS. I would sell NVEI and buy it back later.
Hello, I am new to this message board, so I'll tread lightly. I am not sure where to post this thought, but if anyone has 3com corp, or COMS it seems to be headed for some bad times. I did some study on its revolving quarterly and the worst possible months for this stock is the quarter of Mar-May where its 12 year run totaled a (-85%) growth. That is terrible. I would consider selling the stock and waiting until the best quarter comes around again. The best quarter for the last 12 years is the Aug-Oct quarter where the stock has a total 12 year growth of 324%. That is much better. I don't know how you would apply this kind of knowledge in your investing schemes, but knowing that a stock goes down habitually is good info.
I am a writer and not a stock researcher by trade. So, you must take my thoughts with a grain of salt. Good luck. I'll post what I study if that is ok.
Ken