I am compounding my money with technical analyst.
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Hey, QuillandPenn, is that any better. At least you can say that I listen to what people say. And, if I can do it. I will.
KG
I pray for your success. I really do. May you bloom and grow forever. May the force be with you. I tend to agree with you. New companies will take command. They will also give a little hint within the revolving quarterly actions that it is beginning its domination. I will watch for such things and place certain stocks in categories that are made for growth of companies and not of cyclical. See you. I lost my butt at the Derby. I picked good but bet bad.
KG
QuillandPenn, I know that you're right intuitively. I am terrible at this. I will learn to do it better as I go. Sometimes answering questions is very hard. Of course, I am doing my best to locate the cherry stocks that fit the plan. I believe this can be done, too. You've given me lots of clues to begin my use of other tools. ThomsonFN is great. Thanks for that. I am going to have at least 25 stocks to chose from each month. I will fine the answers and when I find them, I will think of new ones. That's my way. I am having great fun and one day I may make a penny of two off of it. I sure hope you are making plenty. You're very skilled at this. There is no denying it. Once you assimilate the concept you expand on it. I think that is great. I hope you keep on bringing new ideas into the mix. I will now try to finish my monthly portfolio. I quit working on it when I did yours. That total of yours is still awesome to see each time I come to this site. I aim to pass you up, my friend. See you.
KG
Thoughts on the charts.
I was thinking as I was taking a shower. I have three criteria when chosing a stock to buy. Number one, it must have the 10% growth average per year. Number two, it cannot have more than 3 losing years in 10. Number three, it should have at least three good years running.
My thoughts were, what if I took the best year out of the equation in the quarterly average. Would I still have my 10% average per year. What if I took the worst year out of the equation? I really don't worry if the stock lost 75% of its value during that quarter because I would still have my pre-set -10% stop-loss limit order. But, would it elevate my thinking in the buy direction if the bad year was taken out, or the good year of say a growth of 55% was taken out leaving an average of 7% yearly growth from a higher 13%. These are things that I must think about. Don't be afraid to lose some months, quarters. Expect it. Expect to win more.
See you.
KG
PCLN, ALS, SYX
These stocks all had big percentage gains Friday. Just try and see if there was anything which gave you a clue from the past history that The Mar-May quarter could have shown this, the Apr-Jun, the May-Jul. Remember, when looking at the chart, the bottom month is the month the revolving quarterly ends. The top month begins it.
KG
Kentucky Derby picks.
I also did Aqueduct as well as Churchill. Hopefully, I did them well.
Aqueduct 5-3-03
race 1. 1 8 3 4
race 2. 3 1 5 4
race 3. 6 best bet 2 5 4
race 4. 1 4 7 6
race 5. 10 best bet 8 1 2
race 6. 8 3 9 1
race 7. 4 3 8 7
race 8. 8 best bet 7 5 1
race 9. 1 2 6 3
race 10. 7 9 1 5
churchill downs
race 1. 6 1 5 9 2
race 2. 4 best bet 5 6 7 3
race 3. 9 5 2 4 6
race 4. 2 1 5 4 6
race 5. 6 1 4 12 8
race 6. 6 3 1 4 7
race 7. 4 5 11 12 8
race 8. 2 1 7 4 6
race 9. 5 3 6 4 1
race 10. 12 5 16 8 2 Kentucky Derby
race 11. 1 best bet 5 2 3 6
race 12. 6 8 4 10 3
Good luck if you go. These picks should do you well. Take extra care when looking at my best bets. They are very good picks. See you. The Derby winner should be Empire Maker.
KG
Thanks, quillandpenn. You're very right.Moves seem to follow those quarterly reports that companies put out. Some reports mean nothing, but those during their expected growth period they mean bucks to buck rogers. I shall enjoy the derby and I will place the predicted winner on here by 8:30a.m. or 9:00a.m. It starts earlier today, so I better handicap faster. See you tonight. Did you have a chance yet to look at my posted Energy Sector and Telecomm Sectors of the S&P 500? Notice that the green numbers are only those months during the six year study that the stock had growth 5 of 6 years or better. What you should see is the good times, bad times are across the board for both sectors during different times of the years. Let me know if you get to see this. It fascinated me. It shook my world. It was like watching Anna Nicole Smith. Poster child for baseball bat swatting.
KG
I can see your point, Ruellit. Tools such as you use are very powerful allies in winning this fight against the war on poverty. If you had the stock listed as a good candidate for growth in April-June quarterly you would have had the opportunity to watch those tools for its action. That is why having a stable of ready stocks to look at is important, not that any one thing stands alone, but it is expected to do something then. Even if it does not. It had proven time and again that it did. I placed my portfolio on Smartmoney.com for all to view for May-Jul, as well as Mar-May, and Apr-Jun. My password is posted above for your inspection. I buy and hold until stop-loss tells me otherwise. I hope for the best. See you, Ruellit.
Hi, QuillandPenn. I love your ThomsonFN seasonality charts. That helps those who don't care to do the charts themselves. I also noticed your GMCR is building O'neil's cup and handle for the big push soon. You loading up on coffee this month? Nice one.
Kg
Try it, you'll like it, LS. Even if this proves to be nothing but a metaphysicians dream, you'll have expanded your consciousness enough to look for other possibilities in creating wealth. But, I truly believe that this could work. Develop a stable, LS. There are a lot of people in this little band that have great skill in analyzing the stocks and doing the technical analysis. Revolving quarterlies can be a boon for you if your tools that associate with it are in agreement. That is what some of the others are doing now. With what tool do you use this weapon? Should you portfolio be like the spokes on a wheel? Or, like the fingers on a hand? Once the quarter is over do you jump ahead with the money and reinvest it at some future date while you await the outcome of the next quarter that is already going on. Try the concept with your favorite stocks. Give me a couple and I will email them to you again. If you have excel. Check out the web site that I mentioned in the intro board. Copy some of the charts while I still have them up there. I delete them and replace them occasionally. what do you care to see? Above all. Ask questions and if someone on this board can answer they will. They've already amazed me. See you, LS. I have to handicap the Kentucky Derby tomorrow. I will try to post my picks early.
KG
Hi, Ruellit, and hi, LS. Glad to have you join in the board. The revolving quarterly can't tell you what the amount will be but that it is expected to be. My question was can you see in the charts why BSTE went up $6.21 from just the information that the chart showed. I did not include todays totals into the equation. The revolving quarterly includes a 90 period. I realize that you cannot find that kind of one day jump in the information. But, you could if you knew that in May the stock usually grows 20% during the month and the quarters big contributor is the month of May. That is what QuillandPenn's accurate explanation of my tactics of ambush is all about. We know the month is coming, but not the day and we wait and ambush for the growth and then, when we get our expected rise, we either let it ride, or bail out. Take a look at the other stocks that I posted yesterday, Ruellit. The charts are called Big Risers. There are three of them. Where would you have ambushed these stocks? Would you see anything that said the stocks could have demonstrated growth yesterday? I will begin my study of just this sort of gleaning. I will find the common denominator. See you.
KG
Thanks, Ruellit, I will try that.
KG
That's my new name among the hip stocksters.
BSTE up $6.21 ask the chart.
KG
Hello, guys. I have a quick question that I hope that you can answer me. I uploaded the charts as I was supposed to. I deleted some charts that I wanted to delete, but others I try to delete, the message comes up and says there is nothing there to delete, yet I can open up my charts that are not there. How do I delete something the program says isn't there yet I see it?
As you can plainly see the Discretionary Sector is still there yet it will not allow me to delete it. Any thoughts.
Ken
http://home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich/
ROOM is up again $4.73
EXPE is up again $3.65
I am going to check out why BSTE is up $6.21, and MICC is up $2.80 and PII, and FLIR. I will let you know when I post them.
KG
Good question, Matt, and one that I hope will be answered on this board very soon. We are all in the process of disecting the charts, locating patterns that develop right before something big happens. There is always a trail to follow. If you analyzed these types of charts with as much fervor as you would any other chart you would undoubtably learn to respect it. When you ambush, you don't make a sound. You act very cat-like knowing that the prey is coming your way. What is the signal that he's coming is your question. I am going to find out for us all. When I do, I will relay it quickly. Universal law is very specific about this. If you want to get rich, make someone else rich. Your subconscious mind is capable of bringing very great things into your life once it knows that what you truly want is the very thing you give away. Life is a boomerang. Sometimes I ramble. QuillandPenn will probably be the one to ask about technical analyst. Stick around and learn everything you can. If this proves to be nothing, you've learned that. but, if it proves to be wisdom showing itself. You're in the spot to assimilate its attributes.
Ken take care Matt. I have to do some charts to post.
Hi, cowboy, I am trying to make this so easy that anyone can do it. Especially the 64,000,000 souls heading toward retirement with nothing. What the problem will be, I discern this already from speaking with many people at McDonald's and work and such, is that most babyboomers don't even own a computer to do this work for themselves. We have to invent some place that they can go to where this type of formatted charting is readily available. I am a creative sort, but you, my friend, are a wiz at this stuff with all of the systems that you posted on your message board. I think this type of concept will begin to snowball once people see its potential. There has got to be something ready to help out. See you work ahead.
KG
thank, bullwinkle. I did the S&P 500 and now I will concentrate on the NYSE. After that the NASDAQ. We will fill up are stable with enough stocks to make any traders happy. After we do this we will research which company out there should get our business, because this will be a particular kind of trading. We will all do well, Bullwinkle. We are a people who have been sleeping for a long time, and now we are awakening to new ideas. Golden Age ideas. See you. I am taking my Consumer Discretionary Sector off of my web site and placing a different sector from the S&P 500 on there. You will be in awe when you see it. Take care.
KG
KKD CHART NOW READY
How do you like that, QuillandPenn. I was reading your thoughts. I will see you in the a.m. my friend. I have busted my butt doing all of bullwinkles stocks. I think that I posted them on my site. There is a few winners there. Take it easy.
KG
Hi,QuillandPenn. I love the IBD. I understand the CANSLIM a bit. And, you are a very good explainer. I am the writer and I sometimes get lost for words when trying to tell others what something means. This is your element. I can tell very easily. I will listen to you as a child listens to his favorite television show. You're interesting big time. I will also do KKD. Krispy Kreme Donuts. I love them and they grew so fast, they had to fall a bit after that split. They will grow again. They will spread out to many more states. I see that. When to ambush them, that is what I will look for. See you.
Kg
BIG RISERS TODAY.
Can you figure why EXPE rose $5.23 today. I did not include today's totals into the chart. Can you figure why ROOM rose $6.42 and again I did not include today's totals into this chart. And, can you see why CB rose $6.51 of which is not in these totals. If you can, then you can become rich beyond your wildest dreams. I hope that you can and that you share it with me whatever it is. I am zeroing in on it, I think.
Ken
Hello, it's 8:25p.m. and I thought that it would be fair to mention that I am going to delete some of the charts off of my web site to make room for the new. So, if you're going to print some or place them in your excel files, do it soon. tonight is the night. I am finishing off Bullwinkles stocks and will be placing them on the site. It looks to me like something is befuddling the web site. I will try to fix it.
Ken
http://home.cinci.rr.com/kgoodrich/
Hi, Qarel, I can see that you are right there among the biggies with lostcowboy. I am doing my best to understand the money part, but I am stuck in the percentage part. Any way you slice this pie, it is very nice to see something taking shape. I can imagine the big investment brokers hating to see us coming one day. We'll take away all of the extra cash and place it in our own pockets. Hold on to it, they say. But, the historic records show the stock loses -15% each year. I say. Hold onto it. Hold onto Enron. Hold onto Ames. Hold onto World com. Hold on to Kmart. Yeah, I will for a month or two. See you, Qarel.
KG
Hi, Matt. I like to think that budgets coming out have something to do with it, but I really don't know. I know inside trading probably does take place and it seems that the best quarter is always near the time that the company's quarterly reports come out. You have to watch the stock about two weeks before it is scheduled to come out. And, I agree with you, this is an interesting concept especially after watching quillandpenn turn his five year portfolio into $328,000,000 with forty mechanical trades. There are thousands of stocks that habitually make good growth in the summer months, let's help each other not only find them, but develop a stable for each quarter of the year and each month. That will be fun. Welcome aboard, Matt.
KG
Cowboy, I'm just a baby with this. You are way out more advanced with this then I. I believe you too. I am glad to see you coming back again. You stay gone to long. This board would have been kaput without you helping me build it up. Soon, it could be a real help to people. Next week or so, I am going to put down my criteria for buying a stock. I have too much to do at the moment. I will be back with something good in a while.
KG
Hi, lostcowboy. I used the sum button on the EXCEL chart. I assumed it knew how to do it. I don't understand why you placed a 1 in front of the .30% or the .34% that would seem to make it 134%. I will check into it though. You're a genius cowboy. I'd be a fool not to listen to you. See you when I get home from work.
KG
Wow, bullwinkle you are certainly doing your homework. I will check them out, you know that. I should have the others finished and posted as soon as possible. Have you got at least three good stocks for each month yet? A good month makes for a great quarter. If you look at the cyclical chart that I placed on the web site for all the S&P 500 stocks in the discretionary sector, you'll find a few good ones. You'll also notice when to leave them alone. That is more important to me. The charts are results of going back six years. The highlighted ones are the stocks that made positive growth for at least 5 of the 6 years and sometimes 6 of 6. That is consistency. SEe you. I must go to work now.
KG
Thank you, alfalogic. I think between all of us, we can beat this habit of losing at someones suggestion on the street that we do. How I choose the picks like DYN which as you can see in my SmartMoney.com portfolio that I have posted is up 145% for the quarter of Feb-Apr. It is now time to get rid of the portfolio and choose a May-Jul portfolio. I know that these six stocks will be in the portfolio. I mentioned that you should have only 5 or 6 for a good one. These six will be it. I just decided it. Talking to you. Let the chips fall where they may.
DDS
AW
CSC
JCP
PWER
VRTS
These are the May-Jul portfolio stocks. I will place an automatic stop-loss limit on paper because I cannot impose one on smartmoney. I buy Thursday morning at opening price and hold until July 31st. Wish me luck I am about to create.
KG
I just posted the explanation on my web site. It is called Dividends adjustments explained. It was sent to me via the man who does it for Yahoo finance. It looks very good to me.
kg
You are correct bullwinkle. It doesn't matter if it produces results. 80,000,000 baby boomers retiring in the next 20 years scares me, because I am one of them. 64,000,000 will retire at the poverty level. We have got to come up with a solution the is viable for all concerned. This could be it. When someone can say a word in Wall Street and cause a stock to tumble 5 points we're in for it. But, falling is part of the game as well as rising on time. Time is a divine thing. Think divinely. Orderly. You're close to figuring out something huge. Someone on this board will be a monster winner in life. I sense this. Percolating in this small group is a flood about to be unleashed. This is fun.
KG
Hi, Alfalogic. I only have a few minutes to elaborate before I have to leave the house again. But, I will try to explain. I mentioned this in several of the other messages that I posted earlier, but I am not sure that you could have seen them. I use adjusted closes to come up with my figures. I also use the Yahoo finance closes. I will try to post on my web site the adjusting procedures Yahoo uses to come up with their figures taking into account the splits and dividends. The results will not be off much, at least not off enough to make the revolving quarterly none effect. The fact that it does produce year after year in almost every stock is proof enough to let the system be a useful tool in locating a good stock. It should never be your sole decision maker. I am also going to have to take my Feb-Apr portfolio off the Smartmoney site. I have to come up with a May-July portfolio and place it on there. I hope this information about the adjusted splits and dividends figures doesn't cause you not to consider its potential. You seem very very capable of using the figures to your advantage. See you maybe later alfalogic.
KG
Way to go. rose, I did the entire S&P 500 and now I am working on doing the entire NYSE and then the NASDAQ. I plan on having a tremendous stable of stocks to choose from when the time comes. It is a wonderful feeling waiting for something to come rather then waiting for something to happen. In your study of the revolving quarterly you'll notice that even in the so called bull market stocks lost money. So, don't by into that crap. Time and chance happen to everyone. Did you copy the chart of EMC that I just placed on the site? Wow. It is in Chuck's Choice. I don't remember if I placed my list of the stocks to never own, but I did place it on this message board earlier. You can go back a see the past messages for those. They don't pay worth the effort and yet, they are big named stocks. But, so was Enron and World Com stocks that I would never have owned.
KG
hey, it it's the wonderful one. How have you been? It may work in conjunction with the quarterly. But, since it calls for different intervals than monthly totals it would be hard to use it in the system. I have studied the charts like Jack Dreyfuss would. I look for the magic box that occurs when a stock stops at the bottom and goes up the following day to finish the closing day near the top, thus forming a two day box. That is a powerful tool in informing you of a change. I will read up more on those books when I get through with these stock research charts that I promised. I have nine more to do, and I placed 4 on the web site you helped me build. EMC looks awesome late in the year. See you later, Lostcowboy.
KG
thanks,bullwinkle, I'll do the same.
KG
Hi,Bullwinkle, I just finished charts on MEDI, NTAP, EMC, and RJR for another reader. I will place them on my web site. You can click onto them under the title Chuck's Choice. Named after the person who desired to see them. EMC looks very powerful. YOu might like it.
KG
Thanks, Alfalogic. Welcome to the board. Is there any stock that you would like to see posted? I will try to get it to you as soon as I can. I know that many people are interested in May and June, I will try hard to let every one know the stocks that fit that grouping as soon as I do a chart on one.
Take care
KG
My pleasure, Bullwinkle. Say hello to Rocky for me. I will place them on my web site, Bullwinkle for about a month. That will give you enough time to copy them into your EXCEL program or My Documents like I have to do.
This order will take awhile, but it will get done, my friend.
KG
From now on I will be known as KG
QuillandPenn, I think if they had a stable of stocks to watch each month, or quarter or week for that matter, they could be running Wall Street. Remember the saying I wrote on top. In the land of the blind the one-eyed man is king. You have to be focused in this understanding. Most people listen to analyst who get a little kick back. When you look back you sometimes see forward because things tend to repeat themselves unless interrupted. And, this lull in the market is not the interruption. Losses happen every year, as do gains. The quarterly report will not only tell you the best quarter to buy and sell, but if the stock is not going to go up, it will lose less, most likely in that quarter then in any other. I have a task to do tonight. A email reader asked me to do a 20 year chart on NTAP, MEDI, EMC, and RJR. I don't know if those stocks go back that far, but I will go back at least as far as I can. See you.
Ken
Bullwinkle, here is how I do it. Remember it is quarterly totals.
November 19% growth
December -14% loss
January 17% growth
I totaled those and came up with the answer. You have to get the November growth total by subtracting it from the October. I am sorry we didn't come up with the same amount. I realize that makes my numbers look rather unbelievable. I hope to see and hear from you again. If there is a stock you would like to see let me know.
KEn
Hi, arkieboy, email me.
kgoodrich@cinci.rr.com
I cannot send you a private message, arkie. do you have an EXCEL program or WORD?
Ken