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wccawa -
I'm really puzzled by your experience with Spysweeper. On my machine it runs smoothly without any hiccups or problems and always current and in conjunction with Adaware, CounterSpy and Norton AV.
Cheers
pelotadawg - that's a good question. I have a few with long order times, too. May be you should address that question to GZFX customer service via their website.
That would have been my suggestion, although PS usually get worse in performance with higher temps. But lots of these intermittent problems and HDD issues are caused by PS too small or old.
OT - Good morning everyone
board's pretty busy for a Sunday morning - but here I am, too ...
prof - 135 degrees
OT - and the Yanks lost
Maybe that's why I don't see a problem as I'm running 2G memory
eaglefl -
it's good though I can't remember what exactly the differences are. It has realtime spyware protection for one and all updates happen automatically.
I run both and have no problems - am using the paid version of both, though!
Sirius, I agree with that assessment, but think that you have to work on future platforms to stay abreast developments. Revenue should pay for this, though and not dilution, which we do not know will or will not occur to finance some or all of this and within the current SB-2 or beyond. Lots of open questions and few answers. Just wanted to point out that the quote wasn't complete...
Sirius -
you left out conveniently the part JF was referring to:
<<This is another step in our business model of providing movies and games to our members through our core business model (postal delivery), but additionally of moving towards on-demand and other media>>
Nevertheless, I'm not sure how to take this news yet, either.
Good question -
with this company nothing is safe to assume ...
mertto -
as causeim... already indicated me and Iwantmoney did some extrapolations based on historic performance with regards to sub growth and operational cost development.
Here are the respective post links:
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=12154879
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=12155994
I doubt that most of the factors you indicated will have much of a predictive quality as the GnF portion in CC revenue is minute, console game spending too global an indicator, site traffic too erratic, # of DCs is for future and should be ahead of actual sub growth and # of CC stores that had rolled out already is/was still small in Q2 and JF himself stated that CC will not play a more major role in sub growth until Q4. And even then it will never be a main contributor but only supplemental to other means to gain subs.
Just my thoughts, though, as always
Cheers
Dspetry -
CC will only provide somewhat significant sub growth in the 4th quarter as is the aim of GnF and CC. Until then it's a low effort/display space from CC side and nice small steady additional sub growth for GnF.
If anybody wanted to play momentum they had their chance last year and 1st Q this year.
Spam ?!?
prof -
I would see that more in the realm of social networks like MySpace.com where users can add all sorts of streaming media. Not sure whether ClickCaster is one of the implemented/offered streaming sources, though. Would have to ask my kids whether they could find it as I'm not planning on using MySpace anytime soon, and they're busy living they're teenage lives
Cheers
Good Morning - Board!
Hope everyone had a great weekend and is ready for a prosperous week (hopefully in GZFX
Cheers
s5 -
since then I had updated calculations and extended calculations posted anyway and tried to address your concerns by being more clear hat was assumed as basis for the calculations
Iwantmoney -
this also translates into about 48,000 subs to compensate for the operating expenses you project for Q2 which only holds if the current infrastructure would support this sub count without further increases. I do think, however, that future quarters will have lower operating expense increases (more along the lines of 18% or less of Q1) as we're mostly done adding DCs. I don't have time for scenarios for the operations breakeven calculations right now and the calculations might be done better once we have Q2 numbers as that will increase the available reference points.
slapno -
fully agree with your view (also regarding the pps
Iwantmoney -
that'll serve as another quick reference when the QSB comes out to gauge operating expense increase with the new DCs and hopefully increased subs.
Cheers
Good mornin' to ya, too and everybody else on the board!
Let's see some action today (in the right direction - up
Stocksquire -
thanks for the kind words. I normally don't post much as I normally don't have much relevant information and I don't like to engage in word wars with individuals. However, I appreciate good reasoning and respect the right to disagree with one other's opinion and acknowledge diversity in thought.
Here is an update for more scenarios with regards to subscriber growth. Just food for thought or a handy reference when the new QSB comes out.
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=12154879
Jalapeno -
BTW what kind of fits (just out of curiosity)
reb -
here are the extended calculations (with all the disclaimers I could think of
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=12154879
just so you don't have to look through all the posts as it is late already
JalapenoBuck -
I've been running 5.0.5 (build 1286) for a while with no problems whatsoever. I also use CounterSpy and AdAware.
quizzy -
all sources reporting this reference the same common original source: Think Secret. So it's hard to judge its legitimacy. But I have no doubt that Jobs is working on this as I believe many others are (besides us).
Extended calculations -
Just to clarify: all calculations assume sustained linear growth of subs/month throughout the quarter and the monthly sub increase is based on the only publicly available numbers (KSB2005 & QSB1/2006) where it was stated that the number of subs was 3,000 at the end of October, 6,000 at the end of December and the average number of subs for the 1st Q 2006 was 8,000. Assuming linear growth throughout the period of each quarter 1/2006 & 2/2006 we would end up with the number of subscribers below (for three different cases: sustained growth at Q1 rate, 11% increased growth rate and 26% increased growth rate) and assuming essentially all reported revenue in Q1 was from subscriptions the revenue/subscriber was $16.67 which I then used for revenue projections.
Again, all this is based on assumptions about subscriber growth based on historically stated numbers. So is the projected number of subscribers at the end of each quarter 1 & 2 as that number was not published and is only based on aforementioned assumptions in the interpretation of the published numbers. There is an almost infinite number of scenarios that would result in different numbers of subscribers at the end of each quarter or the average number of subscribers/month for each period. This is just one scenario with the intend to enable a somewhat quick assessment of revenue numbers to be stated in the expected QSB for Q2/2006 and it's consistency with the then presumably stated average number of subscribers for that quarter. I hope this is clear enough as disclaimer!
Here are the numbers:
1) Same growth continued as calculated based on 6,000 subs end of December and an average number of subs of 8,000 for the 1st quarter of 2006 assuming linear growth throughout the period and continued for the 2nd quarter:
sub growth ~1,350/month starting from 6,000 subs:
Jan-March (6,675+8,025+9,375)/3=8,025sub/month ending up with 10,050 subs at the end of March and resulting in the revenue stated as $400,000 translating into $16.67/month/sub or $50/sub/quarter.
Apr-Jun (10,725+12,075+13,425)/3=12,075sub/month ending up with 14,100 subs at the end of June and resulting in revenue of $603,750 based on $16.67/month/sub or $50/sub/quarter.
2) Growth increased by 11% from 1,350 to 1,500 per month for the 2nd quarter vs the 1st quarter:
Apr-Jun (10,800+12,300+13,800)/3=12,300sub/month ending up with 14,550 subs at the end of June and resulting in revenue of $615,000 based on $16.67/month/sub or $50/sub/quarter.
3) Growth increased by 26% from 1,350 to 1,700 per month for the 2nd quarter vs the 1st quarter:
Apr-Jun (10,900+12,600+14,300)/3=12,600sub/month ending up with 15,150 subs at the end of June and resulting in revenue of $630,000 based on $16.67/month/sub or $50/sub/quarter.
If we would end up with anything less than case 1) (sustained growth) it would mean that the average increase in subs/month would have decreased therefore slowing growth which I then would consider somewhat alarming in conjunction with the fact that we added DCs which means increased cost of business.
Again all numbers stated except for the numbers from the KSB & QSB are calculated based on the assumptions for growth stated above.
Enjoy!
REB -
thanks for trying to get my point across/clarify things while I was gone
s5 -
this is just a linear extrapolation assuming sustained average sub increase based on previously stated (KSB & QSB) average sub numbers and the projections at the end of the quarter are also just the continuation of those projections.
If we would end up with anything less it would mean that the average increase in subs/month would have decreased therefore slowing growth which I then would consider somewhat alarming in conjunction with the fact that we added DCs which means increased cost of business.
Thought everyone could conclude that easily from the calculations provided as I detailed the assumption every month.
UABGrad -
thanks for confirming what I wanted to convey. I thought I had stated all assumptions clear enough (I always think using one's brain a little bit won't hurt and yes the resulting numbers at the end of each quarter were also projected based on the assumptions of linear growth throughout the period.
reb -
I just reposted my calcs as I made some mistakes. Will also do the calc for 10% and 25% increase just for the heck of it and to get an easier read when the numbers are published. The slight decrease in sub growth during Q1 should be in line with the post x-mas season.
I agree with you that it's all perception and people are just too disappointed that the quick buck earned did not happen (again) and the reality of a slow growth (but healthy) has kicked in. The dilution necessary to maintain good customer service will occur and dampen pps increases more but I also think that it is a good sign that the OS increases lately have been moderate despite the opening of several DCs which undoubtedly cost quite a bit of money. Another thing to keep an eye open for besides revenue is, of course, the associated cost of revenue with the new DCs online (during Q2). If the past is any indication the cost should increase less than the revenue which would mean better margin.
Repost of my calculations (as I'm too dumb to do simple math ... (happens when you try to do more than one thing at a time - we males are just not cut out for that sort of thing)
<So starting Nov '05 the sub base increased from 3,000 end October to 6,000 end December which is an average increase of 1,500sub/month. From Jan to March we had an average of 8,000sub/month which translates into an average increase of ~1,350sub/month for each of the months Jan-March (6,675+8,025+9,375)/3=8,025sub/month ending up with 10,050 subs at the end of March. So we could expect this trend to continue (not assuming steeper sub increases) and should then end up with an average of ~11,400sub/month for the Q2 increasing revenue from $400,000 ($16.67/sub) to $570,000 and 12,750 subs at the end of March.
>
last part should really read ...end up with an average of 12,075 sub/month for Q2 increasing revenue to $604,000 and 14,100 subs at the end of June.
reb -
I'd be pleased if we get a 10% increase in subscriber rate growth with respect to what I posted before
http://www.investorshub.com/boards/read_msg.asp?message_id=12147216
s5 -
IMO we just need to go what was published in the quarter/annual filings and project from there and see whether the next QSB will fit or shows increased subs.
In the last 10-KSB it was stated:
<From November 2004 through October 2005, when we commenced
tracking our customer base, we have consistently maintained a monthly
customer base of 3,000 customers. As of the end of December 31, 2005,
we have increased our customer base to approximately 6,000, which such
growth can be attributed to more public awareness of our Company.>
So at end Q4 we had 6,000 subs
In the next QSB the statement was:
<During the first quarter of 2006, the Company's subscriber base
averaged approximately 8,000 subscribers per month>
So starting Nov '05 the sub base increased from 3,000 end October to 6,000 end December which is an average increase of 1,500sub/month. From Jan to March we had an average of 8,000sub/month which translates into an average increase of ~1,350sub/month for each of the months Jan-March (6,675+8,025+9,375)/3=8,025sub/month ending up with 10,050 subs at the end of March. So we could expect this trend to continue (not assuming steeper sub increases) and should then end up with an average of ~11,400sub/month for the Q2 increasing revenue from $400,000 ($16.67/sub) to $570,000 and 12,750 subs at the end of March.
So if we end up in this ballpark I'm OK with it because it would also indicate that we've maintained the steady increase which I then would expect to increase somewhat during Q3 as more and more CC stores come online and AAFES should kick in.
Cheers
tclark1 -
if you want to bother you should download and run this stand-alone memory test program:
http://www.memtest86.com/
I've used it many times when building systems and it finds most problems if you have bad DIMMs or allows you to optimize timings in the BIOS and then just verify that the DIMM can handle it.
Cheers
PVC-
has nice advertising for us though through the daily news letter within the online investment community and I actually like the daily letter (it's not just full of promotions or other garbage but give a nice summary of Wallstreet)
stockster -
it's the board info which you can turn on or off with the link at the top of the msg listings
News - looks like we're restarting the little bit of actual business we had before
http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/060718/0145227.html
Eastern Caribbean Airlines Corporation Nears Resumption of Aviation Services
Tuesday July 18, 11:08 am ET
TRAVERSE CITY, MI--(MARKET WIRE)--Jul 18, 2006 -- Viva International, Inc. (OTC BB:VIVI.OB - News) announced this morning that its wholly owned subsidiary Eastern Caribbean Airlines Corporation (EC Air) will be having the mandated FAA proficiency checks on Wednesday July 19, 2006. These proficiency checks will entail a flight of less than two hours under the observation of FAA inspection personnel.
Viva International also announced that EC Air has appointed Pedro Maldonado as Director of Operations and Jesus Rodriguez-Pazo as Chief Pilot. Each of these appointments was made pursuant to FAA interviews and notification that Maldonado and Rodriguez-Pazo meet the requirements of 14 CFR Part 119.71 (d) (1).
EC Air President Jose Nieves indicated that EC Air would immediately begin accepting charter reservations upon a satisfactory completion of the July 19, 2006 proficiency check.
About Viva International
Viva International has a number of airline and aviation-related interests including two developmental-stage carriers being readied to operate in regional markets from hubs in Puerto Rico and Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.
The Company plans to create a network of regionally based airlines across the Caribbean, eventually to be linked to key points in the United States, Latin America, South America, and Europe.
At present, the Company maintains executive offices in Michigan.
This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended ("the Exchange Act"), and as such, may involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements which are based upon certain assumptions and describe future plans, strategies and expectations, are generally identifiable by the use of words as "believe," "expect," "intend," "anticipate," "project," or other similar expressions. These forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, future performance, and perceived opportunities in the market and statements regarding the Company's mission and vision. The Company's actual results, performance and achievements may differ materially from the results, performance, and achievements expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Further information on potential factors that could affect Viva International, Inc. is found in the Company's Form 10-K and other documents filed with the U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Contact:
Contact:
Viva International, Inc.
(231) 932-7490
Christina Hanneman
Investor Relations
303-220-8476
866-755-8484
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Viva International, Inc
Good wonderful morning to you, too Tina!
Glad to see your s/w problems resolved (at least for the moment Now let's just hope that we get something moving here, too.
Cheers