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at least short term-
with VIX futures expiring Wednesday, think games will be played in the market till then
VXX as well-
been insane for two hours now...
maybe-
but with these ETFs, who knows. I'm just following the money, and that's a whole bunch of money betting on a bad week next week
VXX going insane...
That was an odd end of day...
Anyone else notice the huge pop in the VXX at the end of day?
It's all Greece stuff-
Some comments came out that caused initial drop, now Troika and Greece meeting, and everyone is saying tonight for the deal-
Thinking 'sell the news' might be in effect...
What are your 'Boyz' indicators saying Gleno?
Forget who it was but someone did mention possible whacky upside moves before a downtrend starts, and this certainly qualifies-
Prices moved up on Greece stalemate, almost as if everyone will sell the news later
Could that also simply be hedging play for people expecting a downside move?
Just to be a devil's advocate...
Still thinking BIDU pulls back to 127 or beyond?
Disclosure, did pick up some Feb10 125 Puts at close for a flip after seeing it whacked under 130 three times today, and the SINA puking makes me think shorters might want a quick buck, and past BIDU puking days have indeed happened
(jimmybob's wallet knows that), least I think intuition wise-
Chart wise, that close under 130 breaks that nice uptrend on the daily, still want to check out the smaller time frames as well. GOOG missing earnings too might limit upside into earnings as well, not to mention SOHU's epic miss-
Love BIDU and the other
China stocks for their volatility-
Any stock that pukes going into end of day in this market is the only play bears got it seems-
Just a heads up:
AMZN starting to puke...
playing just like it did when it missed earnings last quarter, but me thinks the boys won't be so kind this time...
think the SINA puking will keep up?
it is such a vicious little stock...
Not betting for a huge pull back yet, just one-
There is always selling after earnings at some point-
But your right-
Very resilient. I'm thinking around this area due to a 468 print after earnings I saw, and just using past observations, thought it would get close to that, and planned on making a small short bet then.
Last hour will tell the story though
Thinking it's due for a drop-
Grabbed some 455 lotto weekly puts.
Been trading up almost 10 trading days since earnings, which is much longer then past earning beats, so exhaustion has to be setting in, even of it's only a 10 point drop.
Once that starts selling a bit, think the overall market will follow. It is one helluva beast though-
Anyone notice the crazy movements if the VIX this morning?
Don't think a downtrend will start till AAPL starts selling off, which per history might be a couple days away-
Biding my time till then
Thinking CAT 110 weekly puts look like a fun lotto if it breaks below 112...
That'll leave one ugly candlestick on the daily....
Might want to observe playing post earnings, especially cause of those premiums-
I have found much more success doing that instead of stressing out holding through earnings-
LeeMalone has long championed learning to sell options to profit from premiums like those in AAPL
It is an evil game though, either way
No hate here-
Typing this on my iPhone :)
Just trying to keep it semi-realistic is all-
Maybe next week 470 could be a knocking, just doubt tomorrow is that day is all
Then that would make for an even better fade. ;)
Not calling for a 20 drop tomorrow, but betting will finish 5-6 dollars off of the high, which will be near open, and that type of dollar action is loved by us option traders, even if it's less then 1.5% actual price change-
I think it might get to 460 at open, but not likely higher then that. Those calls of yours
will be a nice 3x-4x in the morning either way, but 470 tomorrow is very pie in the sky-
But at some point next week, very very possible-
Gotta love the violatility!
It'll fade all day tomorrow, AAPL always does, but still close up a good chunk-
All those that got in around 380 still need to get out.
Bigger money to be made once the selling stops later in the week
Can we expect the same kind of turn with GOOG missing earnings this time?
Way more profit in the past quarters playing AAPL the next day scalping pops or on the last one, shorting the pop after hitting lows-
AAPL will dictate the market tomorrow for sure-
FAS puts/FAZ call in the mix for sure-
Wrong week to be having all those auctions for Italy
Financials started rolling over last Friday-
Recouped most/all those loses early today and have been grinding down since-
Think Italy is weighing heavy on them. If they pull the auction or it goes poorly tomorrow, bad omen for the. It one on Thursday-
POT getting whacked-
Had a bad day Friday, continuing now...
gap fill soon?
I did see that-
Which adds to my hesitation as to an expected up move that, seemingly, everyone is calling for-
The VIX and VXX are two I'll definitely be watching this week, cause there is too much room to run up for those two.
Might sit out till Tuesday to see what the boys do tomorrow...
I agree something isn't right-
The decoupling of the VIX and SPX is odd...
With the VIX so low right now with potential Europe bombs ahead, makes me very cautious to any upside
The big thing is there is a good chance of doubling the float between selling and offering;
Which, if the good old days in the pinkys taught me anything, is something not good for a stock price. They are releasing details after close, but the price has to be much lower simply to get enough interest
Anyone looking at LNKD?-
Secondary offering details after close...
And I doubt it'll be at a price higher then right now-
Not to mention lock-up on IPO shares ends Monday...
Could be fun-
i just went in with a few puts-
not much liquidity, but i'm expecting a drop to at least 32/33 over the next day or so, and at that point that problem won't be a problem
MDVN-
something that goes up over 100% is gonna fall... just a matter of time-
DNDN, talk about a fall from grace...
just musing-
wouldn't a weaker euro cause a stronger dollar, and ipso facto be a drag on equities, or is this simply a surprise spike, or more that a sign that they are trying to stimulate growth in europe and avoid any type of recession?
gonna be hard to parce this day out now...
VIX is creeping up...
If that GDP number tomorrow isn't a beat-
There will be brusin' enough for everybody now that Europe is off the table for a week or so-
Got a feeling with all the leaks-
Potential for a huge sell the news event-
Great call GLLENO!
Think it gets back to 123.5 on the SPY?
wonder if they will PR in the morning...
got too consumed with FSLR puts to notice this booboo with GMCR
and as a sidenote, had my first Keurig coffee today, wasn't nearly as bad as the stock price. :)
Heard on some other posts that GMCR is pushing earnings till 12/7-
Trying to find secondary confirmation
Either way, looks like short is the way to go-
Happen to know if FSLR reports AM or PM?
Gonna be a wild elevator ride down on this one. :)
Almost seems like the market is going parabolic-