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CEL-SCI prices 'best-efforts offering' of 10.845M shares at $1.00 per share
CEL-SCI Corporation announced the pricing of a best-efforts offering of 10,845,000 shares of its common stock, or pre-funded warrants in lieu thereof. Each share of common stock, or pre-funded warrant, is being sold at an offering price of $1.00 per share, inclusive of the pre-funded warrant exercise price. All of the shares and pre-funded warrants in the offering are being offered by the company. Total gross proceeds from the offering, before deducting the placement agent's fees and other offering expenses, are expected to be $10,845,000. The company intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to fund the continued development of Multikine, general corporate purposes, and working capital. ThinkEquity is acting as sole placement agent for the offering.
Argus looking for 'more favorable entry point' in UPS
Argus keeps a Hold rating on UPS but notes that the firm is looking for a more favorable entry point on the stock. Although UPS appears well positioned to benefit from a number of positive trends, including the continued growth of e-commerce, its recent results have disappointed on both the top and bottom lines, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Argus adds however that the firm likes the company's current dividend yield of 5.1%, which "signals value
MMM rippniggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggg
Better transaction announced for International Game, says B. Riley
International Game (IGT) and Everi Holdings (EVRI) announced on Friday an agreement where IGT's Gaming and Digital business and Everi will be acquired by Apollo (APO) for $6.3B in cash on a combined basis, B. Riley analyst David Bain tells investors. The firm says International Game benefits from the transaction change, as the new deal is a much cleaner structure, eliminating unknown tax implications from a previously planned Everi share distribution to International Game shareholders, which has been the subject of pushback from investors. The firm made no change to its Buy rating or $30 price target on International Game shares.
I want my $ROKU calls back
@CitronResearch
Despite telling his readers that ROKU stock was uninvestable, within two minutes of issuing the tweet, Left began buying back shares of ROKU and had completely covered his short exposure within nine minutes of the tweet. Citron Capital also began exiting its short exposure within one minute of the tweet, and completely exited within ninety minutes of the tweet.
Bernstein says Medicare panel discussion negative for Exact Sciences
Bernstein says the Medicare Advisory Panel on Clinical Diagnostic Laboratory Tests met late yesterday to make recommendations on pricing for new and reconsidered laboratory tests in 2025. In the meeting, members of the panel voted on the recommended pricing options with Exact Sciences' vote the most anticipated, as the company seeks better pricing for Cologuard Plus versus its legacy Cologuard test, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes results of the panel discussion do not bode well for Exact with the "default" recommendation the panel was left with before the vote was a 0% price increase. This is a negative data point for Exact, according to Bernstein.
$DXCM shedding $16 bil+ in market cap this morning...
This GLP-1 stuff is real
$VKTX $TERN $LLY $NVO $GPCR
The U.S. personal income report revealed weaker than expected income and consumption gains in June after consumption hikes but trimmings for income that depressed the savings rate, alongside a slightly firmer than expected round of June chain price figures. Analysts saw a 0.2% June income rise after a 0.4% (was 0.5%) May increase, while nominal consumption posted a 0.3% June rise with a 0.2% "real" increase that left a weak close for Q2. The upward April and May consumption revisions, alongside trimmings for April and May income but boosts for personal current taxes, were implied in yesterday's GDP report. The savings rate fell to 3.4% in June from May's 3.5% (was 3.9%), versus a 1-year high of 5.3% last May and a 14-year low of 2.7% in June of 2022. Analysts left our Q3 GDP growth estimate at 2.2, after yesterday's reported 2.8% Q2 clip, and analysts lowered our Q3 consumption growth forecast to 2.6% from 2.7%, after growth of 2.3% in Q2.
UP AFTER EARNINGS -
Bristol Myers (BMY) up 7%
3M (MMM) up 5%
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) up 1%
Centene (CNC) up 1%
Coursera (COUR) up 25%
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) up 3%
DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -
Booz Allen (BAH) down 6%
DexCom (DXCM) down 36%
Olin (OLN) down 8%
Boston Beer (SAM) down 2%
Notable open interest changes for July 26th
Thursday's total option volume of 59.9 million contracts resulted in net open interest growth of 5.21 million calls and 3.43 million puts. NVIDIA (NVDA), Tesla (TSLA), American Airlines (AAL) and SoFi Technologies (SOFI) saw the greatest growth. Top five new positions opened include 98k American Airlines (AAL) Dec-24 10 puts, 83k SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Aug-24 8.5 calls, 76k NVIDIA (NVDA) 8/2 weekly 122 calls, 51k American Airlines (AAL) Sep-24 12 calls and 44k NVIDIA (NVDA) Sep-24 115 calls.
The 2024 Paris Olympics are set to kick off today, with the opening ceremony taking place under a backdrop of heavy security. Tens of thousands of officers and soldiers have been deployed for the waterborne opening along the Seine, with a flotilla of boats scheduled to carry athletes representing 206 countries and territories. There have already been some security incidents ahead of the big show, with arson attacks disrupting France's high-speed rail system and many train routes being canceled along the network.
Corporate angle: The Games will offer a big stage for U.S. companies associated with the Olympic Partner Program, like Airbnb (ABNB), Coca-Cola (KO), Intel (INTC), Procter & Gamble (PG) and Visa (V). The last time around, American sponsors shied away from the spotlight during the Beijing Winter Olympics in 2022, facing pressure over abuses related to China's minority Uyghur population, along with other human rights issues and authoritarian control. The U.S. government even boycotted the event by barring diplomatic personnel, causing many firms to lie low in their Olympic-themed commercials.
There are big viewership opportunities, with billions of people estimated to tune in globally, creating a "catalyst for sports and sportswear and more awareness across a broad base of categories," according to analysts at Bernstein. For the host country, it can also offer greater visibility for tourism and foreign investment, as well as a chance to get big-ticket infrastructure projects over the line, though more nations have been sitting things out. In fact, the IOC was left with just two bidders (Paris and Los Angeles) for the latest Olympics and ended up awarding slots to both cities in 2024 and 2028.
The economics: The price tag to host the Games has increased in recent years as more sports were added, requiring more new venues and related housing to accommodate athletes. White elephant stadiums have been seen in host cities, while many transportation and development upgrades have also soured, despite pledges to use existing facilities and avoid huge construction costs. "There has never been an Olympic Games that has made a profit," noted Robert Barney, director of the International Center for Olympic Studies at the University of Western Ontario. "Fold in all the costs and revenues, including federal allotments, municipal allotments, provincial or state allotments, it's always been that a debt has to be paid somewhere."
Crypto friendly
Former President Donald Trump, who once called bitcoin (BTC-USD) a scam, is set to show his support for the crypto industry this weekend as he headlines the world's largest bitcoin conference. Trump, as well as running mate J.D. Vance, have ramped up promises of lighter crypto regulation, as opposed to the Biden administration's crackdown that has upset the industry. Their campaign has even raised over $4M through crypto donations so far. Crypto sentiment has improved in July, benefiting in part from the "Trump Trade," with bitcoin up another 5% this morning to $67,200. (9 comments)
Gaining speed
U.S. GDP rose at an annualized rate of 2.8% in Q2, topping the +2.0% consensus estimate, and accelerating from Q1's 1.4% growth. The new data highlighted a resilient consumer and solid economic growth, while reflecting more business spending in the face of worries. The initial GDP estimate also seemed to suggest that inflation is continuing to subside, but slowly. Investors will get confirmation of that today as the Fed's favorite inflation gauge will provide a better picture of underlying price pressures and trends. (107 comments)
AI analysts
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has reportedly given asset and wealth management staff access to an in-house generative AI product that can do work like one of their own. The ChatGPT-like large language model, called LLM Suite, can help employees with writing, idea generation and summarizing documents. "Think of LLM Suite as a research analyst that can offer information, solutions and advice on a topic," JPMorgan said in an internal memo. CEO Jamie Dimon previously said the bank's AI use may "reduce certain job categories or roles, but it may create others as well." (6 comments)
Today's Markets
In Asia, Japan -0.5%. Hong Kong +0.1%. China +0.1%. India +1.6%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.7%. Paris +0.9%. Frankfurt +0.3%.
Futures at 7:00, Dow +0.6%. S&P +0.8%. Nasdaq +1%. Crude -0.4% to $77.95. Gold +0.8% to $2,372.90. Bitcoin +4.9% to $67,320.
Ten-year Treasury Yield unchanged at 4.25%.
Today's Economic Calendar
08:30 AM Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 AM Consumer Sentiment
01:00 PM Baker Hughes Rig Count
Companies reporting earnings today »
What else is happening...
Barack, Michelle Obama endorse Kamala Harris for president.
Gig economy stocks rise after favorable ruling in California.
Southwest (LUV) ditches open seating model to lift earnings.
OpenAI starts testing AI-powered search; Alphabet (GOOG) slips.
Elon Musk will discuss xAI investment with Tesla (TSLA) board.
Denied: Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) talc bankruptcy appeal.
Lululemon (LULU) downgraded as athleisure falls out of favor.
Hollywood video game workers go on strike over AI concerns.
Kroger's (KR) planned Albertsons (ACI) deal temporarily halted.
Cold-storage REIT Lineage (LINE) debuts in biggest 2024 IPO.
Reddit price target raised to $67 from $61 at Roth MKM
Roth MKM analyst Rohit Kulkarni raised the firm's price target on Reddit to $67 from $61 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares ahead of its Q2 results on August 6th. The firm is raising its estimates to include contribution from the recently announced OpenAI deal but also warns that shares could come under pressure as IPO lockups expire on August 9th, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
U.S. Accuses Prominent Short Seller Andrew Left of Fraud
https://wsj.com/finance/stocks/u-s-accuses-prominent-short-seller-andrew-left-of-fraud-0161e42f?mod=hp_lead_pos4
$TSLA $NVDA $META $GME (and more)
Decreases in stock option open interest $AAL $NVDA $PFE $TSLA $COIN $WULF $SIRI $MU
Bread Financial price target raised to $60 from $54 at Compass Point
Compass Point raised the firm's price target on Bread Financial to $60 from $54 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm views the quarter and guidance as "favorable overall," calling out positives that include the Q2 core EPS beat, better loan trends than expected, contained credit trends, and an outlook that includes a slightly improved view of revenue, expenses, and the tax rate for FY24.
Walmart looks to bet $200 mln on autonomous forklifts -sources
Deckers Outdoor price target raised to $1,075 from $1,050 at Baird
Baird raised the firm's price target on Deckers Outdoor to $1,075 from $1,050 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm said Q1 topped consensus and raised the midpoint of its guidance but clearly carries stronger momentum capable of driving further positive revisions
Jack Dorsey is about to overhaul Block in a reorg he warns may feel 'big and disruptive or uncomfortable'—internal memo
Wayfair price target lowered to $58 from $60 at Barclays
Barclays analyst Seth Sigman lowered the firm's price target on Wayfair to $58 from $60 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares ahead of the Q2 report. The analyst says several data points the firm tracks suggest "muted performance so far." As such, it trimmed estimates to adjust for current demand trends.
Tesla downgraded to Sell from Reduce at Phillip Securities
Phillip Securities analyst Jonathan Woo downgraded Tesla to Sell from Reduce with a price target of $135, down from $145. The analyst reduced estimates to reflect margin headwinds due to soft pricing and European Union tariffs on China exports. Lower volume, pricing, and EU tariffs are expected to weigh on Tesla's near-term margins, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says management spent almost no time on the Q2 earnings dispelling concerns over its stalling auto business, rather focusing most of the earnings call on "lofty plans" like Robotaxi and Optimus, which are still at least 3-5 years away from contributing meaningfully to growth.
DoorDash initiated with a Buy at Redburn Atlantic
Redburn Atlantic initiated coverage of DoorDash with a Buy rating and $170 price target, which offers 66% potential upside to the current price. With the "greatest freedom to invest and best track record for driving share gains," DoorDash is well positioned to deliver industry-leading, above-consensus volume growth with multiple levers to achieve above-consensus adjusted EBITDA, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says that despite this, the stock trades broadly in line with peers, leaving it with a valuation that appears compelling.
Hear why $IRBT heading to $20, Gold to $1300:
https://www.optionmillionaires.com/jb-afternoon-rant-july-25th-2024/
🎬4:31 #GOLD $NUGT $GLD $GLL
🎬8:11 $IRBT #irobot
🎬13:23 $VKTX #GLP1
$IRBT ->
$IRBT to $13: 'Knock, Knock' pic.twitter.com/i0d0dXQ9b0
— Option Millionaires (@OMillionaires) July 25, 2024
$IRBT pic.twitter.com/cwZv12bxjT
— Option Millionaires (@OMillionaires) July 25, 2024
VKTX $70s incoming
Still 19.35% short interest on $IRBT
Has plenty of cleaning up to do
GILD $77s incoming sweet molasses
$GILD on a mission for some gap-filling?
Orchestra BioMed initiated with Buy, $15 target at B. Riley
B. Riley last night initiated coverage of Orchestra BioMed with a Buy rating and $15 price target. Orchestra develops medical devices and positions them for commercialization, which will ultimately be driven by leading medical device companies, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the company will likely benefit from royalty-based arrangements with larger medical device strategics that are looking to offload some regulatory risk but still participate in new product development. Riley thinks the appetite for larger medical device strategics to partner earlier in the development stage of promising new technologies is increasing and makes Orchestra's capabilities a "major value proposition."
$LLY and $NVO down 2% or so this morning on $VKTX news... that is $16 bill in market cap for $LLY meanwhile $VKTX up only $600 or so mil in market cap...
something wrong with this picture
better than expected data, especially GDP, have boosted sentiment after yesterday's hefty slump on Wall Street. Comments from ex-Fed's Dudley that the FOMC should cut rates as soon as next week to avert a recession weighed. But today's headline numbers quickly assuaged those fears with the market paring back rate cut bets slightly while reversing the small losses overnight in equities. The NASDAQ is now up about 0.13% versus -0.3% before the economic releases, while the Dow is up 0.09%. The S&P 500 is unchanged. Treasuries have simultaneously pared big overnight gains. The 2-year yield is down -2.7 bps to 4.404%, but was -9 bps richer earlier at 4.338%. The 10-year is down -3.7 bps to 4.247%, versus the session nadir of 4.186%. The curve is at -15 bps, unchanged from Wednesday but has bull steepened from -26 bps Monday. The DXY is little changed at 104.326 amid the confluence of drivers, but remains inside a narrow range between 104.080 and 104.446.
U.S. GDP grew at a 2.8% pace
U.S. GDP grew at a 2.8% pace, much better than expected and is up from the 1.4% in Q1, though compares to 3.4% in Q4.Personal consumption rose to a 2.3% pace from 1.5% with spending on goods rising 2.5% from the prior -2.3% drop and outlays on services up 2.2% from 3.3%.Nonresidential fixed investment climbed 5.2% from 4.4% while residential investment slumped -1.4% from 16.0%.Government consumption was up 3.1% from 1.8%.Inventories added $42.7 B after subtracting -$26.3 B previously. But, exports subtracted -46.7 B from -$41.8 B.There was good news on the Q1 GDP chain price index which cooled to 2.3% following the near doubling to 3.1% in Q1 from 1.6% in Q4.The Q2 core PCE deflator slipped to a 2.9% clip after popping to 3.7% previously from Q4's 2.0%. All in all it is a good report for the economy with decent growth and slowing inflation, but it will temper Fed rate cut bets.
U.S. durable goods new orders plunged -6.6% in June
U.S. durable goods new orders plunged -6.6% in June , the largest decline since April 2020's -20.0% fall. And it breaks a string of four straight monthly gains, with May up 0.1%. All of the weakness was in the volatile transportation component where orders tumbled -20.5% last month after increasing 0.6% previously. That was largely a function of a better than -1% drop from Boeing. Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.5% after dipping -0.1%. Meanwhile, nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft surged 1.0%, erasing most of the prior -0.9% (was -0.6%) decline. Shipment climbed 1.2% from -0.4% (was -0.3%). Nondefense capital goods shipments excluding aircraft were up 0.1% from -0.7% (was -0.5%). Inventories were flat from the 0.2% (was 0.3%) gain previously. The inventory-sales ratio fell to 1.84 from 1.86.
Edwards Lifesciences price target lowered to $85 from $103 at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank lowered the firm's price target on Edwards Lifesciences to $85 from $103 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares post the Q2 report. The company "hit an airpocket" with transcatheter aortic valve replacement slowing before potential upside from Evoque, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says that if Evoque wasn't in the picture, investors would look at the low end of Q3 guidance. If Evoque wasn't in the mix, Edwards shares could find a floor from mid $60s to $70, says Deutsche Bank. The firm still feels confident in its Evoque thesis but says Edwards Lifesciences "is shifting into a show me story."
UPB in da HIZZLE
Stocks only go up. Until they don't. The Nasdaq (COMP:IND) yesterday suffered its worst day of 2024, with the tech-heavy index sliding more than 3% for the first time in more than 400 trading days. The plunge wiped out hundreds of billions of dollars in market cap from the Magnificent Seven as concerns abound for Big Tech earnings that have propelled the broader market to record highs. A rotation has also made its way into investing sentiment in recent weeks, while other worries center around the broader economy.
Snapshot: The most immediate catalyst for the selloff was a moderate earnings report from Alphabet (GOOG GOOGL) and a disappointing earnings call from tech darling Tesla (TSLA). Spooking investors were shifting tones on the promise of artificial intelligence - for the time being - with Google not reporting any revolutionary profits from its new suite of products and Elon Musk continuing to kick his robotaxi vision down the road. The AI trade has helped support the rally since late 2022, but investors are increasingly demanding that hefty investments in the technology will produce a return, or something can at least be materially seen nearly two years after the release of ChatGPT.
Tech is not the only sector that's experiencing a crisis of confidence as earnings season gets underway (see EVs and commercial real estate). On the macro scale, wage growth and the labor market are cooling, with the unemployment rate recently reaching 4.1% from 3.4% a year ago. U.S. GDP growth data will come later today, while the Fed's favorite inflation gauge will be released tomorrow, providing more clues on the future of monetary policy and the interest rate environment (the next FOMC meeting takes place next week).
SA commentary: "Is this just a random dip, or the beginning of a deeper correction? For most investors, it really doesn't matter, as long as the bull market eventually resumes," writes SA analyst Damir Tokic. "Technically, the S&P500 is in the minor dip territory. What happens next depends on the fundamentals. Alphabet earnings don't give us evidence of the bubble burst yet. We will have to wait for the Nvidia (NVDA) earnings in late August to get confirmation whether we are in the process of Gen AI bubble burst. In addition, the economic data will be important. If the disinflationary trend continues, while the labor market does not weaken further, the Fed could cut in September and this could provide some support to value stocks."
No slam dunk
The drama around the next pro basketball media deal is taking its next steps, as the National Basketball Association rejected an attempt by Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) to remain an incumbent by exercising matching rights. The NBA reached a $76B-plus package deal last week with ESPN (DIS), NBC (CMCSA) and Amazon (AMZN), leaving out multi-decade partners TNT and TBS, which are owned by WBD. The next moves may be legal, with the new media arrangement set to take effect in 2025. "We have matched the Amazon offer, as we have a contractual right to do, and do not believe the NBA can reject it,” TNT said in a statement. (105 comments)
Plea deal
Boeing (BA) has formally filed a guilty plea with the Department of Justice regarding making false representations about key software for the 737 Max linked to two fatal crashes in 2018 and 2019. The DOJ noted that Boeing neglected to ensure employees documented removing parts during airplane manufacture, and didn't confirm if mechanics and inspectors actually completed work. "We will continue to work transparently with regulators as we take significant actions across Boeing to strengthen our safety, quality and compliance programs," the planemaker declared. It will also pay a $243.6M fine as part of the agreement. (4 comments)
CRE stress
Property finance company Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) sank nearly 12% yesterday after it slashed its dividend by almost 25%, as higher interest rates and falling values drive more defaults in the commercial real estate sector. The reduced dividend "reflects a sustainable level relative to long-term earnings power," said CEO Katie Keenan. In the spotlight is a call by short seller Carson Block from March, which noted that the property market's troubles were likely in the "early innings." He also forecast that multifamily real estate would follow offices in the most-troubled CRE sectors. (18 comments)
Today's Markets
In Asia, Japan -3.3%. Hong Kong -1.8%. China -0.5%. India -0.1%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.6%. Paris -1.8%. Frankfurt -1.2%.
Futures at 7:00, Dow -0.1%. S&P -0.2%. Nasdaq -0.3%. Crude -1.4% to $76.48. Gold -1.6% to $2,378.20. Bitcoin -3.6% to $64,171.
Ten-year Treasury Yield -7 bps to 4.23%.
Today's Economic Calendar
08:30 AM Durable Goods
08:30 AM GDP Q2
08:30 AM International Trade in Goods (Advance)
08:30 AM Initial Jobless Claims
08:30 AM Retail Inventories (Advance)
08:30 AM Wholesale Inventories (Advance)
10:30 AM EIA Natural Gas Report
11:00 AM Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey
01:00 PM Results of $44B, 7-Year Note Auction
04:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
Companies reporting earnings today »
What else is happening...
Biggest IPO of the year: A temperature-controlled warehouse REIT.
Trump to deliver keynote speech at Bitcoin Conference in Nashville.
Ford (F) profitability skids on higher warranty costs, EV losses.
Chipotle (CMG) soars as restaurant margins improve; peers gain.
IBM (IBM) shares jump as results, guidance top expectations.
Biden says time for 'new, fresh voices' in Oval Office address.
China surprises markets again by cutting key policy loan rate.
Succession feud: Legal battle over Murdoch's media empire.
AT&T (T) subscriber adds beat estimates, free cash flow swells.
Wells Fargo (WFC) set to pull name from Philly sports arena.
Decreases in stock option open interest $TSLA $AAL $NVDA $VST $AAPL $GOOG $SNAP
Marathon Digital purchases $100M of bitcoin
MARA announced that it has purchased $100M of bitcoin and currently holds over 20,000 BTC on its balance sheet. Furthermore, effective immediately, MARA will adopt a full HODL approach towards its bitcoin treasury policy, retaining all bitcoin mined in its operations, and will periodically make strategic open market purchases. "Adopting a full HODL strategy reflects our confidence in the long-term value of bitcoin," said Fred Thiel, MARA's chairman and CEO. "We believe bitcoin is the world's best treasury reserve asset and support the idea of sovereign wealth funds holding it. We encourage governments and corporations to all hold bitcoin as a reserve asset."
Increases in stock option open interest $SIRI $NVDA $SAVE $TSLA $AAL $CPNG $META $GOOGL $GILD $AAL
gm bobber!!!
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