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I think two cents already predicted $30 by early spring.
From allwillbewave on the Poet board:
Interesting what the Canadian consortium SiEpic is involved with regarding developing silicon photonics.
At the 4:50 mark they say one of the things they are working on are polymer modulators. They seem to have a partnership with a few foundries like AMF etc.
Maybe Poet could offer some advice or become a member. That polymer modulator link is curious. Jmho
From Jose Pozo and EPIC on twitter:
“We witnessed major expansion across the photonics sector and beyond. Look at the major expansion at Rockley Photonics Inc. , SUSS MicroOptics, Lightwave Logic, Inc. the important LIGENTEC SA collaboration with X-fab, Modulight Corporation IPO, significant successes for QuiX Quantum BV. Or what about the PROPHESEE - Sony partnership or the acquisition by Cellink of Nanoscribe? Of course, these are just the highlights. Please make your suggestions below for the photonics successes for 2021 in the comments below. “
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/josepozoepic_before-the-holidays-start-allow-me-to-say-ugcPost-6878325647991726080-N2yw
I don’t believe any of the insider sales are to avoid changes to the capital gains laws in 2022. The proposed changes are back-dated on sales, I believe, and couldn’t be avoided at this late date.
“House Democrats proposed a top federal rate of 25% on long-term capital gains, according to legislation issued Monday by the House Ways and Means Committee. The top rate would be 28.8% when combined with a 3.8% surtax on net investment income.
The new rate would apply to gains realized after Sep. 13.”
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/13/house-democrats-propose-hiking-capital-gains-tax-to-28point8percent-.html
Great couple of posts. Thx for sharing.
100 shares at $14.48. Not that I needed more.
Does the term “ubiquitous” ring a bell?
Ride the wave ~
yanqui
A beautiful message that suggests a beautiful soul. Thank you for sharing that, Oyster. I hope all of us so blessed will look for ways to make the world a little brighter now that we have the ability to do so.
Happy holidays and a joyous new year to you and here.
~yanqui
Have a wonderful holiday, Steve! Thanks for all you do.
~yanqui
First thing Koog has posted that I agree with.
I did - bought another 10,000 shares at $1.82. Probably done adding at this point.
Thanks for posting this, inveterate. I’ll be happy to hear the take on this from the more technical posters here.
At the very least, it would appear neither IBM nor Samsung are working with us.
~yanqui
You may be on to something, but I bet a lot of stocks had similar trading patterns today. The Fed announced that they were going to be very aggressive on inflation and everything that was trending south flipped big time. Our change in direction coincided with the Fed statement pretty closely, which is what you’d expect of a company that doesn’t yet have revenue much less income.
~yanqui
Great find - but Apple is a notorious patent thief. I wouldn’t leap to the conclusion that they are our client.
Well said, matty. Words to live by.
The Dalmore - you are talking a rarified level of sipping. A bit beyond my present ability to indulge- but perhaps for not much longer.
Ride the wave!
Uncle Nearest - a new label to me and a compelling back story. I lean towards true (ky) bourbons but a quick review suggests this is worthy of a tasting. Thanks for the tip!
Wow! Very strong day!!
Agreed
I think many of us are following another stock that taking our collective breaths away at the moment. Hard to focus anywhere else. But we need to take note that Spectra7 just reached a 52-week high, albeit briefly so far.
Exciting times!
~yanqui
ATH=All Time High
New ATH!! Woo hoo!!!!
We may see 2 million shares trade today. And maybe an all-time high closing price.
Almost enough to get a man excited ..,
Not at all a pest.
By third party confirmation I mean just what I spelled out in the remainder of that paragraph. If we were a “scam” as some have alleged in the past - or even simply not disruptive in nature - with little to offer Tier 1’s - maybe company officials would deny that. But Jose Poso has put his reputation and that of EPIC confirming that LWLG has already proven that it will play an important part in the rollout of the photonics revolution. If our Goo wasn’t ground-breaking, would we have received the prestigious Optical Integration award from the ECOC? (See their award criteria below). The other points listed similarly point to others validating the importance of what we have. One I forgot to mention is the world record we achieved with Polariton.
These factors combined show us that many outside of LWLG find what we are doing to be indeed disruptive. And that is the third party confirmation to which I was referencing.
To end, here’s the ECOC award criteria:
“Launched in 2020, to celebrate the 25th anniversary of the event, ECOC introduced the ECOC Exhibition Industry Awards, in conjunction with Optical Connections. The awards emphasise technology and product commercialisation; they highlight significant achievements in advancing the business of optical communications, transport, networking, fibre-based products, photonic integration circuits and related developments.
The committee reviews the progress of advanced technologies from research to commercialisation including volume production as well as new and innovative products.”
And we were found to advance optical integration more than any other technology out there. That’s powerful third party confirmation, in my mind.
~yanqui
This is such an important point.
Maybe no one is using our Goo. I think that’s wrong. Dr. Lebby tells me that’s wrong. Jose Poso tells us we are ‘golden’. But maybe only some small company runs with our Goo. That is possible.
But…what if Ford (partnering with GFS, as we speak) plans to use us for LiDAR? What if we’re also working with Tesla (of whom we are on a list of ‘alleged suppliers’? https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/052815/who-are-teslas-tsla-main-suppliers.asp
What if IBM, who used to own GFS, has plans for us? What if NVidia, or Intel, or Apple, or Cisco, or….have plans for us? What are the other foundries that ML says we are working on PDK’s with?
Lots of questions. But lots of third party confirmation. Dr Lebby is, to my mind, very credible and I’m comfortable here on his affirmations alone. But what about the head of Epic singling us out as ‘already golden’? What about receiving the award for Optical Integration at the ECOC? What about Michael Lebby being inducted into the Patent Holders Hall of Fame? What about Brad Booth saying that the ability to reduce energy costs is the primary need of chip architectures going forward? What about the stock market giving us 20x returns this year without a product yet announced?
Data centers, AI, Optical displays, LiDAR, VRAR…the TAM is out of this world huge!
Megan, you have it right. Maybe we’re all crazy here.
But if we aren’t….
I have a bid in but I’m not chasing. If price dips a bit, I’ll pick up another 25% over present holdings. Market is too volatile to be too aggressive. If I miss, no biggie as I already hold a fairly large position considering it is an OTC/Canadian stock.
Impressive!
Almost spit out my coffee while reading this post! A buyout at that price would leave me as wealthy as Leo DiCaprio!!
Gee … guess you missed this?
“Datacenter: GF is extending its silicon photonics manufacturing leadership by announcing a new platform and features for more power and energy efficient.
GF Silicon Photonics Solutions are available on GF’s new Silicon Photonics 45nm platform which has passed critical technology milestones and is on track for full technology qualification by Q1 2022. The monolithic platform, combining RF CMOS and optical components on the same chip, includes an innovative new feature, the first micro ring resonator (MRR) optical component in 300 mm wafer technology. GF is engaged with leading customers and partners on this new platform.”
That language comes right from Malta.
https://www.design-reuse.com/news/50601/globalfoundries-roadmap.html
That video alone clearly refutes your statement that “Nor has any major semiconductor manufacturer shown photonics (of any kind, from any source) in their long range process roadmaps. “
Which is why, I suspect, you made no effort to address Mr. Yu’s powerful affirmation of the role of photonics in his foundry’s future. Are we searching for truth - or talking points?
C’mon Koog. You aren’t even trying.
Here’s Anthony Yu of Global Foundries talking with Jose Poso and Michael Lebby saying that he thinks Global Foundries is in a “good position “ because they have “committed to photonics in a VLSI-foundry type scale”.
Spectra7 Announces Third Quarter Revenue Up 450% Year-Over-Year
Nov. 29, 2021 8:00 AM ETSpectra7 Microsystems Inc. (SPVNF)
Expects Q4 2021 EBITDA Profitability Based on Revenue Outlook of $2.5 Million - $3.5 Million
SPECTRA7
Q3 2021 Financial Highlights
Revenue was $1.57 million for Q3 2021, an increase of approximately 114% sequentially from Q2 2021, and an increase of approximately 456% from the third quarter of 2020.
Gross margin1 as a percentage of revenue for Q3 2021 was 57%, a decrease of approximately 1% sequentially, and an increase of 2% over the third quarter of 2020.
Non-IFRS operating expenses2 in Q3 2021 were $2.04 million, up approximately $0.25 million from the prior quarter, and up $0.97 million over the same quarter a year ago. The increase was due primarily to increased costs related to production ramp to meet rapidly growing data center customer demand.
EBITDA3 loss was approximately $0.94 million, compared with a loss of $1.15 million in the prior quarter and $0.72 million in the same quarter a year ago.
CEO Q3 COMMENTARY
"Our revenue continued its positive momentum in the third quarter, supported by increased customer volumes, record order backlog which has continued to grow and several new design-ins for our Active Copper Cable technology," said Spectra7 CEO Raouf Halim. "To support the rapid increase in orders, we raised approximately CDN $14.8 million in an expanded and oversubscribed private placement transaction during October. A portion of these proceeds have already been deployed for additional foundry allocations and inventory as we scale our business. In Q4 we expect to roughly double our revenue sequentially and forecast reaching EBITDA profitability. Looking further out, I am confident our growth trajectory will continue through fiscal 2022."4
BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
Began production shipments in Q3 to a major China-based hyperscaler for Spectra7-based 200G PAM4 Active Copper Cable (ACC) interconnects.
Demonstrated Spectra7's new GC1122 product for 112Gbps PAM4 based 800Gbps ACC interconnects at both DesignCon in August and CIOE in September.
Added three new customer design-ins for Spectra7 ACC data center solutions in Q3 2021, for a total of 95.
Q4 2021 Financial Outlook4
Led by strong data center order backlog and increased supply availability, Spectra7 currently estimates total revenue in the fourth quarter of 2021 will be between $2.5 million and $3.5 million, a sequential increase of approximately 91% at the midpoint. Operating expenses are anticipated to be in the range of $1.6 to $2.0 million in support of the anticipated rapid revenue growth4. The Company anticipates that it will achieve EBITDA3 profitability in Q4 20214.
Option and RSU Grants
As a part of its annual compensation review, Spectra7's board of directors has approved the grant of an aggregate of 770,000 restricted share units ("RSUs") to the Company's executive officers and 41,826 RSUs to certain directors. In addition, the Company has cancelled 24,000 RSUs previously granted to Darrow Associates Texas, Inc., a firm which provides investor relations services to the Company and, in its place, granted options to purchase up to 80,000 common shares, exercisable at CDN$1.90. The options vest quarterly over 12 months and are exercisable until November 29, 2026.
Early Warning5
As a result of the grant of RSUs, Ron Pasek acquired 20,335 RSUs (the "Grant"), representing approximately 0.06% of the issued and outstanding common shares6 of the Company (the "Common Shares"). As a result of the Grant, Mr. Pasek has beneficial ownership of, or control or direction over, an aggregate of 2,155,831 Common Shares and other securities exercisable into Common Shares, representing approximately 6.56% of the issued and outstanding Common Shares. Immediately prior to the Grant, Mr. Pasek had beneficial ownership of, or control or direction over, an aggregate of 2,135,496 Common Shares and other securities exercisable into Common Shares, representing approximately 6.50% of the issued and outstanding Common Shares. Prior to the Grant, Mr. Pasek's security holding percentage decreased below 10% of the issued and outstanding Common Shares as a result of Spectra7's treasury issuances.
NOTES:
1 Gross margin is a non-GAAP measure. Refer to "Revenue and Gross Margin" in the Company's interim MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, for reconciliation to measures reported in the Company's financial statements.
2 Non-IFRS operating expenses is a non-GAAP measure which includes research and development, sales and marketing, general and administrative expenses and depreciation and amortization for capital equipment and right-of-use assets and excludes share-based compensation expense, non-recurring termination costs, interest and related financing costs, change in fair value of warrant liabilities, foreign exchange gain/loss and gain/loss from property and equipment disposal. Refer to "Non-GAAP Measures" in the Company's interim MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, for reconciliation to measures reported in the Company's financial statements.
3 EBITDA or earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization is a non-GAAP measure. EBITDA excludes share-based compensation, amortization, depreciation, interest, and tax expenses. Refer to "Non-GAAP Measures" in the Company's interim MD&A for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, for reconciliation to measures reported in the Company's financial statements.
4 This is forward-looking information and is based on a number of assumptions which includes the current customer purchase orders received, supply outlook and anticipated operational expenditures. See "Cautionary Notes".
5 The disclosure under the heading "Early Warning" is being included pursuant to National Instrument 62-103 – The Early Warning System and Related Take-Over Bid and Insider Reporting Issues. A copy of the early warning report relating to the Grant will be available on www.SEDAR.com or may be obtained by contacting Mr. Pasek or the Company by telephone at 408-770-2915 or at their offices at 181 Bay Street, Suite 1800, Toronto, Ontario M5J 2T9.
6 All references to the number of issued and outstanding Common Shares under the heading "Early Warning" are calculated on a partially diluted basis.
I agree that taking investment advice from anonymous posters in a chat room is dangerous at best. Not the best way to grow your assets - good old individual dd is really the only wise way to wealth.
But since you asked, I am invested in all 4 companies you referenced. My investment in poe** and rkl* are minuscule by comparison- and my largest by far is *not spectra7*. That has worked extremely well for me so far. But there’s a distinct possibility in my eyes that spectra7 outperforms all of the other 3 in 2022.
I am very happy to be heavily overweighted in lwl*. But I can see a potential quadruple in spectra7 in 2022 alone.
Let me end by affirming that this post is worth every cent you paid for it - and not a penny more.
~yanqui
According to Jose’s LinkedIn account, Nokia just joined EPIC. Another hugely influential name buying in to the inevitability of photonics.
Congrats , Steve!
Spot on.
Didn’t have to wait too long, after all!