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With the higher than avg volume, and the steep decline today, it feels an awful lot like capitulation. I guess we will know whether or not that is the case, at 4pm.
As always, simply my opinion.
GRCU
I would expect that this size and type deal (if they decide to go forward with the acquisition) would be structured by Investment Bankers. Muscle Pharm now has stronger relationships with traditional banks, and banks have capital markets structuring staff. I know because I used to work with some I.B. transactional structuring folks on their associated legal transactional expenses.
As always, simply my opinion.
Is anyone else having trouble bringing up iHub's level 2 this am? I'm receiving a 'page not found' error. I'm getting the same error when I try to bring up data tools like iHub 'charts', or 'trades'.
Just trying to confirm that they are having the issue, and that it is not something w/ my computer.
update:
Please ignore message above...seems they've cleared up the issue.
Thanks.
Is anyone else having trouble bringing up iHub's level 2 this am? I'm receiving a 'page not found' error. I'm getting the same error when I try to bring up data tools like iHub 'charts', or 'trades'.
For those who frequently scan bodybuilding.com's top 50 best selling products list (to get the pulse of the changing popularity of Muscle Pharm's family of products) as I do, I have some information that may be of interest.
While bodybuilding.com is still a very important indicator of the strength of MP's online product sales (due to the volume of business done on that site), the results may be vastly different at other popular fitness product web stores. For example, here's what I came across this morning on another popular (but not nearly to the scale of bodybuilding.com) online supplement store, muscleandstrength.com.
For the month of Feb 2015, Muscle Pharm's family of products (MP, The Schwarzenegger Series, and FitMiss), Muscle Pharm occupies 10 of the top 50 spots. Considering that this site sells thousands of products from a couple of hundred brands, claiming 20 percent of the top 50 most popular is solid performance. Strong sales results on sites like muscleandstregth.com seem to indicate that despite the extreme expansion by Muscle Pharm into big box retailers (such as WalMart, Costco, and Sams Club), the online sales channel may still be very strong.
As always, simply my opinion.
link:
https://www.muscleandstrength.com/store/top-sellers.html
MSLP
What you are suggesting is that Green Cures is committing the clearest form of fraud, as to their reporting of their own share structure (each and every time that they have reported it). If you have a single piece of evidence to support that, I'd like you to post it here for all to review.
Below, you have characterized my post of their reported share structure as wishful thinking. It is only wishful thinking if the company is committing fraud. If you have no evidence that they are doing so, then you would appear to be the one engaging in wishful thinking (suggesting fraud, where no such evidence exists).
Stability of GRCU O/S common shares is quite impressive.
When performing an analysis of an OTC company, most areas of discussion are highly subjective. Since this is the case, any objective measures that exist become critically important in the overall assessment of future potential.
Here's an objective evaluation of one of the most success determinant measures for an OTC company... the growth of the common shares outstanding since inception.
'On February 25, 2014, control of the Company was transferred from Gregory Lykiardopoulos to Green Cures, Inc., a California corporation, pursuant to a Stock Purchase Agreement entered on February 5,2014.'
There have been three quarterly filings, since Green Cures took over the ticker (the qtrs ended March, June and September). The total common shares outstanding, reported on these filings, is detailed below.
Total common shares outstanding: 1,633,695,597 as of: 4/23/14 (filing for the quarter ended 3/31/2014, filed on 5/15/2014)
Total common shares outstanding: 1,636,233,097 as of: 07/28/14 (filing for the quarter ended 6/30/2014, filed on 8/14/2014) - less than a one percent increase in common shares outstanding, over the quarter
Total common shares outstanding: 1,660,316,671 as of: 11/14/14 (filing for the most recently reported period, ended 9/30/2014) - less than a two percent increase in common shares outstanding, over the quarter
Total common shares outstanding: 1,660,316,671 as of: 2/9/15 (update provided on the OTCmarkets website) - zero percent increase in common shares outstanding, over the quarter
In the fog of the OTC, some things are truly telling about the essence of a company. As is detailed above, total common shares outstanding for Green Cures has increased by about 2% through more than three fiscal quarters
So here's the objective question I would ask, for those that have had numerous positions in other OTC companies in your trading/investing history. How many of those companies have a similar history of outstanding common share increases as I have detailed above for Green Cures (GRCU)?
As I've opined before, 'Investment wisdom could be defined as the ability to recognize the building of a future empire, even as the earliest bricks are being laid.' I believe those words hold a fundamental truth.
As always, simply my opinion.
GRCU
Very well stated, Splifie.
I've just given first mark to you.
As Warren Buffett has said (but with original credit given to Ben Graham), 'The stock market has a very efficient way of transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient.' On a daily basis, I see the continual transfer of shares from the impatient to the patient.
Unfortunately for many, I feel that Green Cures will be the one that got away. There are clearly no cookie cutter formulas when it comes to a successful outcome for an OTC company. But the are enough indicators here that point to a real shot at a big future. And when firing on all cylinders, I could see the GRCU stock price make phenomenal gains.
I don't know when that might occur. It could be a week, it could be a month, it could be a year. Either way, I'll be here when it happens.
As always, simply my opinion.
GRCU
*All images are for entertainment purposes only.
My search for CBD Tinctures yielded slightly different results. I used Google Chrome's 'incognito' feature, so that it would ignore any personal history I may have had visiting the allcbd.com site in the past. This type of search is a better way to get a link result set that is more objective when performing a query.
When I performed that search, allcbd.com was the 22nd item down from the top. So here's the good news and the bad news on that, based upon my knowledge of user behavior while performing searches. The vast majority of those performing a search (with a goal of completing a transaction based upon the search results) will never make it to the top of the third page of the results set (which is where the Green Cures allcbd.com CBD Tincture link #22 was displayed). The good news, on the other hand, was that being 22nd out of the approx 68,000 links returned, in an objective search, is pretty impressive considering that Green Cures has been only selling CBD products for about 9 months.
If the product quality is good (I haven't used any myself), and the price is competitive, it would not take much for Green Cures allcbd.com site to move up about 10 spots. That would place them at 12th instead of 22nd, which would increase exponentially the likelihood of getting customer traffic (and resulting sales) via Google searches. A bit of SEO (Search Engine Optimization) could also help move them nearer to the top of the search results.
Another fast track would of course be to pay for a sponsored link, which would move the link closer to the top of the search results. The trouble with that approach is that I think many internet users avoid clicking on those sponsored links, because those links are not organic (the companies have not earned the right to be at the top, they have merely paid Google to be there). And the other issue would be whether or not they had money available in their operating budget for that purpose.
With a current organic search result of 22nd of 68,000 total links, I must admit that I am sort of impressed. I say this result set link number 680 would place them in the 99th percentile (the top 1%). And clearly the 22nd spot is a whole lot better than 680.
As always, simply my opinion.
Now you're talking above my pay grade. But we are in agreement that GRCU is tightly coiled, and will at some point leap upward.
As always, simply my opinion.
IMO the price has been dragged to where it is because some members of the investing/trading public have their hearts set on owning more shares. And there's no better way to accomplish that than to cause people to lose interest with a perpetually declining share price. In the OTC, new interest is generally not sparked while stocks are in a declining pattern.
The long term interested ones, however, will watch the declining stock price like a hawk (or set specific price alerts) to obtain shares at the right moment.
I could be naive with this view, but I don't think I am. The relatively low volume jut makes it that much easier to accomplish the task at hand.
As always, simply my opinion.
The current trading in GRCU reminds me of some similar trading cycles in FIT*. On the multi-year chart below, I've highlighted and commented on some periods of similarity.
When I was holding a small position in FIT*, at some point it began to feel like it would never go up. And it didn't. Until it did. And when it did, it went up big. IMO, that will be what we will experience, at some point, with Green Cures. I'll still be in GRCU when it happens.
As always, simply my opinion.
GRCU
It wouldn't be so funny to you if you had a better understanding of how brand name recognition works. The neurons in the brain fire off when the recognizable name is seen on the can of Green Cures hemp-infused energy drink, regardless of whether the potential customer had any idea that Green Cures had produced a 'Rico Suave' beverage. I posted the number of links in Google (10 million plus) to simply reflect the fact that 'Rico Suave' is a widely known phrase.
A perfect example of this phenomenon is Paul Newman's likeness and name that's on salad dressings, yogurts, sauces, etc. In that case, Paul Newman has actually facilitated the production of those products (100% of the profits go to educational and charitable organizations). So people are more apt to notice those products because of the familiar name and face. But it makes no difference with respect to how the brain reacts to a recognizable image or name.
I do appreciate, however, your insight below.
Thank you for sharing this information, new_beginnings. I look forward to your updates, and I've marked you for your efforts. Best of luck to you.
Glad you (and the pet monkey) enjoyed it, Rick. Since my creative juices are not always flowing, I appreciate your creative posts which often serve as an inspiration for episodes of the GRCU cartoon adventures.
The phenomenon of deflation, and how it relates to GRCU...
As many know, Japan's economy has been in a deflationary cycle for quite some time. Deflation is defined as a general decrease in the level of prices for goods and services over a period of time.
So an obvious question is how can this be a bad thing, if purchasing power continues to go up as prices continue to descend. Doesn't this create an excellent opportunity for those with money and the intent to buy. The short answer is yes and no. Because when prices have been deflating (declining) for some period of time, the logical expectation is that they will continue on that path for some time. And if that is the case, then postponing a purchase results in additional reward, since purchasing power continues to go up with time. The end result is a sort of buying paralysis, which creates a severe drag on economic activity.
A similar phenomenon is experienced in a stock that has been in a prolonged downward trend (deflationary period), such as GRCU. As long as the downtrend continues, those with an intent to own shares in the future experience a greater reward, the longer they postpone their share purchase.
And with a stock, this deflationary phenomenon is even more powerful than with consumable goods and services. Take, for example, a television. Even if the price has been declining for an extended period of time, and is expected to do so into the foreseeable future, postponing the purchase in anticipation of future price declines means not getting to use that television for viewing enjoyment while waiting.
But with a stock, where the only enjoyment has to do with eventually selling for a higher price than was paid when it was bought, the buyer can conceivable wait forever, while watching their buying power increase as the stock price continues to decline. For this reason, the catalyst needed for genuine buying to resume is a perception that the stock price will no longer get cheaper. An expectation that the price is now on an inflationary path (rising price) provides the motivation for accelerated buying.
Due to the protracted deflationary trend for GRCU (since it peaked back in April '14), there is obviously no real sense of urgency now for those interested in owning GRCU (for the potentially bright future) to rush into buying. But I believe that the only catalyst required for GRCU to return to a nicely up-trending chart, is for the downward share price trend to stabilize. And I believe that over the past few months, that stabilization process has been progressing.
As always, simply my opinion.
GRCU
Much appreciated.
Returned the favor.
Agreed, GEMINI97... Marco is too smart a man to allow this window of opportunity to slip through his fingers. Making money with OTC stocks is all about timing, more so than in any other market.
As always, simply my opinion.
Market makers, operating within their obligation to keep an orderly and liquid market in a stock, often sell shares they do not currently own. Most of those sell transactions will not show up in the bi-weekly FINRA short report because it shows net short positions. Since it is very common for the market markets to buy back later in the same day (the shares that they shorted earlier in the day), short transactions of that type will never appear on a bi-weekly net shares short report (although these shares do show up in the reporting of daily shorting totals).
So if an OTC market maker covers most of their short sales within the same day, why should it even be of a concern to the shareholders of that OTC stock? Here's why. Because of the low level of investor confidence on most OTC companies, a market maker can create the impression of lack-of-demand for a stock by selling short against many of the retail buys as they are coming in at the ask, which keeps the ask from rising. As a result, other retail investors tend to become nervous and some lose confidence in their otherwise long holding, and as a result sell into the bid. It is at this time that the original market makers that sold short at the ask can then cover at the bid. That allows the market makers to make money for their work. But it also generally leads to the stock going lower. But because the short sold shares were covered during the same day, the will have no visibility on a bi-weekly net short report. And IMO, this process has undoubtedly contributed to the downward slide in Green Cures & Botanical Distribution (GRCU)
As always, simply my opinion.
I actually agree with you that many other energy drinks on the market may taste the same or similar, which is precisely why a recognizable brand is critical. When I performed an incognito search in Google for 'Rico Suave', more than 10 million items were in the results set (see below).
This is one thing that Green Cures got correct. A brand that is instantly recognizable on the shelf, even if the energy drink buyer has never heard of Green Cures (which is most of the world). And it hasn't hurt that Gerardo and his family very recently completed a season of 'Suave Says' (a reality show, which aired on VH1).
As always, simply my opinion.
Up one tick is better than 'a stick in the eye'.
Please hold on to your GRCU shares. I expect that there are enough qualified astronauts on the planet to allow Green Cures to ship out another 20-30 cases of Rico safely - lol.
I think that Green Cures mgmt should pack an astronaut in every box. The astronaut could then hold the Rico cans during shipping to prevent them from shaking - lol.
Isn't that why they wrap astronauts in bubble wrap just prior to a launch. It reduces the G-force that they are exposed to - lol.
Not quite sure about that. It is sort of like a 'damned if you do, damned if you don't' situation. If it sold out almost immediately, the criticism might be that it is a repeat of CBD capsules situation.
In other words, why couldn't they effectively manage their inventory and anticipate demand properly.
I think we should pay a whole lot of attention to how quickly the Rico product is selling at the current retail locations (gas stations, etc). If those locations are restocking rather quickly, we should prepare for a wonderfully favorable reaction reflected in the GRCU share price. The reason being that the total number of retail locations could change rapidly.
Regarding the demand thus far, I have no idea.
As always, simply my opinion.
With each case of Rico shipped/received, I can feel the launch thrusters kick in a bit more. I am convinced that this OTC stock will be the one that people are looking back on, and wondering how they missed all of the clear signals that they should have accumulated more shares when it was under a penny.
As always, simply my opinion.
GRCU
*All images are for entertainment purposes only.
The VOIS ear mounted hands-free controller could create a revolution in gaming, IMO. As was pointed out during a CNBC interview, the current expectation for most gamers is a clunky, bulky, uncomfortable helmet type device to enjoy mind driven gaming. If VOIS can truly deliver with the accuracy and comfort on their final production version of this ear-mounted controller device, I think this company can scale quickly, and become extremely valuable. Additionally, the application of mind-controlled devices goes far beyond the gaming industry.
As one indication of demand within the innovative controller category, more than 24 million units of the Xbox Kinect motion controller have been sold.
If Mind Solutions Inc. (VOIS) could eventually sell just one million units of their ear-mounted mind controller, that would likely equate to more than $125 million in wholesale revenue. But the reality is that the number sold could be one tenth of that (even 100k units), and we'd still likely see an exponential increase in the share price.
Experiments from several years ago have proven that simple primates can use mind control to accomplish tasks. So wouldn't it seem logical that people will be using these techniques to control video games in the near future? And at that point, button controllers (the current standard in the industry), could seem as ridiculously outdated as phones tethered to the wall. When the "SYNAPSE" from Mind Solutions is ready and available for mass distribution, the upside here could be tremendous. The applications for their small, ear-mounted controller device are endless.
VOIS