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Almost too many facts and quotes in the article to pick out just one or two, that's why I think it's a must-read.
However, this stuck in my mind:
I thought that I knew something about their financial empire, but some of the things in this article are just mind-boggling.
No wonder it's causing such a storm of controversy.
Yes, you officially have my permission.
I'm in the process of retroactively correcting every personal and financial mistake I've made in the past 64 years.
I have high hopes for the project, will let you know how it goes.
Fed knew about Libor cheating in 2008:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/new-york-fed-knew-of-libor-cheating-in-2008-2012-07-13?link=MW_story_latest_news
More and more, we see that the Bush administration motto was "Just blame it on the next guy."
Perhaps, but I tend to reject over-complicating simple business decisions or reading too much into them.
Occam's razor: A principle urging one to select from among competing hypotheses that which makes the fewest assumptions and thereby offers the simplest explanation of the effect.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam's_razor
(OT: Why in the world don't the few rational, coherent, and informed posters on the YMB come over here? Do they actually enjoy all the "library" nonsense or the spam?)
gb- Sorry to butt in, I realize you were asking D.A.
CEO has been guaranteeing a return to profitability this year. They just moved their Q2 earnings announcement up one week, next Tuesday, IMHO it will be very good news.
Latest poll: Obama lead widens.
Gee, I guess Hate & Lies isn't the answer.
My crystal ball is in the shop, so all very much IMHO, FWIW:
1. A minor run-up, maybe mid-$0.90's, to July 17 earnings.
2. Decent news: +$0.01
3. Some profit-taking (this has to be expected, perhaps even for the next year or two, much less the next month or two) but not the sharp retreat we've seen after the past few CC's.
4. Totally guessing here: trading in the $1 to $1.10 range.
5. Not enough to cure the deficiency, we see a RS.
Best of luck.
FWIW, possible FBC play:
Since last year, and most recently during the QI CC in May, the CEO has said that the bank will return to profitability in 2012.
The Q2 earnings report has been scheduled for July 25. Yesterday, surprisingly, they moved the report up to next Tuesday, July 17.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/flagstar-bancorp-announces-second-quarter-210000053.html
Usually companies are in no hurry to release bad news.
Currently $0.80, still looking for $1+.
I'm taking a more cautious approach on the earnings, and I'm expecting the much-promoted-by-Campanelli Return to Profitability not to occur until the last quarter of this year.
Most importantly, however, is that IMO it will occur.
The last part of your post is just crystal ball stuff, and mine is in the shop.
Suffice it to say that sooner or later this bank will recover. I've got one of the largest positions I've ever had in 40+ years of investing, so I'm obviously making a large bet on it.
Best of luck to you.
FWIW: Since the NYSE gave them through the annual meeting to cure the listing deficiency, the company is obviously delaying the meeting, hoping that the stock will trade for an average of $1 for 30 consecutive trading days.
Doable, but challenging.
I'm as far from a statistician as a person can be, but it seems to me that assigning probabilities to things like this, with so many variables and for so far out, is less mathematics and more—as you yourself said—wild guessing.
Stephanie- That is very kind of you to say. I didn't mean to come across as too preachy or heavy-handed, especially since in real life I'm something of a joker! -Gary
Susie- I like iHub precisely because of the diversity.
Now if someone would just invent a simple device that gives the keyboardist a mild shock every time he or she posts some ridiculous, illogical, unsubstantiated nonsense as a fact, why we'd have one hell of a site. -Gary
Actually, he got about half and Manchester United--the team that sold him--got about half.
Yes, their skill level is amazing. They can almost literally put the ball on a dime from across the pitch, much the same way that an American baseball player can hit the catcher with a throw from left field.
I'm a big fan and regularly watch the English Premier League; it's the best European soccer and contains the teams that most of the players you're seeing--regardless of nationality--play for.
Ronaldo was the best player in the league until 2009 when he signed with a Spanish team for...wait for it...$131 million for six years.
Re "Young Republicans": I live in a fairly upscale area and I'm basically surrounded by Republicans of all ages. It's almost impossible for me to keep even a small Democratic-candidate sign in my yard, they keep magically disappearing, even though my neighbor's Republican signs remain.
The older ones (my age!) realize that I'm on the same economic level as they are but I'm not a Republican, something they seem to view as some strange ex-hippie aberration to the natural order of things. I greatly enjoy their discomfiture.
I understand them: they will not go beyond their long-held beliefs. Perhaps they cannot.
But we have a steadily-growing influx of younger (30 to 40) successful professionals who buy the houses of those Republicans who move on to Republican Heaven (are there blacks there? Poor people? Liberals? But I digress.)
These folks are the staunchest, most conservative Republicans that you can imagine. They amaze me! One recently told me, in a condescending tone of voice, that it has been unquestionably proved that Obama's birth certificate is a forgery, so nothing that he does as President is legal. I kid you not, this crap from an educated person in their 30's. When I said that just the opposite is true, he gave me a withering look and walked away.
I personally knew Young Republicans in Nixon's day, and thought them a strange and exotic breed back then. I assumed that they'd gone extinct, but as it turns out they're great breeders and seem to be flourishing.
I've been monitoring another site that I use only for business, chock full of Young Republicans (an oxymoron that has always perplexed me: how can there be such a thing?) and older ultra-conservative businessmen.
The overwhelming opinion there: Socialism wins again! Socialism is taking over our country. Our country is now officially Socialist. Evil Socialist Obama is continuing his Evil Socialist Agenda.
On and on, you get the picture.
Most of them, without Googling, would not be able to write a correct, lucid definition of the word.
A great day for all Americans, even for those that don't realize it. A beginning, just a beginning, of health care reform.
Since this is probably the most right-wing Supreme Court in U.S. history, this is a huge blow to those conservatives who opposed the law.